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Casa Pia
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2
Alverca
Casa Pia vs Arouca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 15 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
Arouca
0/6 (0%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
0.33
PPG
0.17
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
2.83
Avg Goals Conceded
3.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.86
Avg xG
0.50
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.09
xG [Total: 1.94]
0.85
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
4
Corners [Total: 7]
3
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
15
Fouls [Total: 29]
14
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on Arouca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-02-15 at 2026-02-15 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, Arouca. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-15
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Casa Pia vs Arouca Football 15 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Casa Pia vs Arouca, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Arouca(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H6/786%Arouca have not won in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Efficient ScoringRecent11/1479%Arouca efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Casa Pia(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/650%Casa Pia score (1.00/match) and concede (2.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 45%)
Arouca(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/560%Arouca score (1.20/match) and concede (3.40/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 60% of matches (league avg: 45%)
🛡️ Double Chance
Casa Pia(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/7100%Casa Pia are undefeated at half time in their last 7 7 matches vs Arouca
Arouca(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H6/786%Arouca have not won in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent11/1479%Arouca scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Casa Pia(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches vs Arouca
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+17% above league avg 2.7) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent11/1479%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 5.1 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Casa Pia(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/677%Casa Pia average 4.0 corners/match at home (-12% below league avg 4.5)
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (-52% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/585%Arouca average 2.2 corners/match in away matches (-52% below league avg 4.5)
Combined average: 6.2 corners/match (Casa Pia 4.0 + Arouca 2.2) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+14 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Casa Pia vs Arouca
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Casa Pia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Arouca
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arouca shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Arouca winning the second half
- Overall Result: Casa Pia has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Casa Pia handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Casa Pia vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Sun 15 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Casa Pia vs Arouca: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for Arouca
Number of goals
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Arouca
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
60%
6
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Arouca
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
40%
4
40%
4
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Arouca
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
50%
5
50%
5
Total Corners
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Arouca
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
Arouca
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
Arouca
xG
0.85
0.53
xGa
1.62
1.92
Number of goals
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Arouca
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Arouca
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
Arouca
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Casa Pia
Arouca
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
40%
4
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Casa Pia
Arouca
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
Arouca
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Casa Pia
Arouca
Played:
7
Wins
4
4
Draws
2
2
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1
Goals
0.4
3
3
0.4
Goals Conceded
1
7
21
3
Yellow Cards
1.9
13
2
0.3
Red Cards
0
5
0.7
Clean Sheets
0.4
3
38
5.4
Corners
3.9
27
82
11.7
Fouls
12.9
90
19
2.7
Offsides
1.1
8
65
9.3
Shots
10.7
75
18
2.6
Shots on Goal
3.4
24
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 2.2 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 16 | 3.5 | 21 | 3.1 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4 | 24 | 3.5 | 21 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Shots | 8.3 | 50 | 8.7 | 52 | 8.5 | 102 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.8 | 17 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.8 | 34 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 | 17 | 2.8 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.1 | 22 | 1.6 | 8 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 4 | 28 | 2.2 | 11 | 3.3 | 39 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 101 | 14.2 | 71 | 14.3 | 172 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Shots | 8.6 | 60 | 8 | 40 | 8.3 | 100 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.9 | 20 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.6 | 31 |
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