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Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 34
Preview
Burnley
Burnley
19th place
Form
VS
19:00
22 Apr 2026
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Manchester City
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Burnley vs Manchester City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 22 April, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)-
Manchester City to Win
Probability 68%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 65%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 59%
Burnley Total1.03
Home Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Manchester City Total2.00
Away Under 2.5
Probability 57%
Double Chance-
Draw/Manchester City
Probability 86%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
19:00
Burnley W 14%
:
Manchester City W 68%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Burnley
l l d l l
17 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (20 total)
xG
1.00 (17.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (176 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (31% acc)
Corners
3.7 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.8 (150 total)
Offsides
1.2 (20 total)
16 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (18 total)
xG
0.70 (11.0 total)
Shots per Match
7.7 (123 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (37% acc)
Corners
3.6 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4 per match
xGa
2.10 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.1 (162 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
33 Played
5 Wins
8 Draws
20 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (38 total)
xG
0.90 (28.6 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (299 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (34% acc)
Corners
3.7 (121 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.5 (312 total)
Offsides
1.5 (50 total)
Manchester City
d l d l w
21 Played
15 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6 (55 total)
xG
1.80 (37.8 total)
Shots per Match
16.3 (342 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (40% acc)
Corners
6.5 (136 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.1 (191 total)
Offsides
1.1 (24 total)
21 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (34 total)
xG
1.60 (33.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (278 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (35% acc)
Corners
5.2 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (216 total)
Offsides
1.3 (27 total)
42 Played
25 Wins
8 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (89 total)
xG
1.70 (71.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.8 (620 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (38% acc)
Corners
5.8 (245 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
16 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (2 total)
Fouls
9.7 (407 total)
Offsides
1.2 (51 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.02 vs 2.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.13%
0:1
9.1%
0:2
10.03%
0:3
7.38%
0:4
4.07%
0:5
1.79%
1
1:0
3.36%
1:1
8.26%
1:2
10.04%
🔥
1:3
8.07%
1:4
4.83%
1:5
2.29%
2
2:0
1.37%
2:1
3.71%
2:2
4.94%
2:3
4.32%
2:4
2.79%
2:5
1.43%
3
3:0
0.37%
3:1
1.1%
3:2
1.6%
3:3
1.51%
3:4
1.05%
3:5
0.58%
4
4:0
0.08%
4:1
0.24%
4:2
0.38%
4:3
0.39%
4:4
0.29%
4:5
0.17%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:2 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.1%
0
12.5%
1
19.7%
2
21.5%
3
18.3%
4
12.8%
5
7.0%
6
2.9%
7
1.0%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BurnleyHDPManchester City
1.3%
Very Low
-2.5
25.9%
@ 2.64Low
3.1%
Very Low
-2
35.8%
@ 2.06Low
4.9%
Very Low@ 13.00
-1.5
45.8%
@ 1.70Medium
9.6%
Very Low
-1
56.9%
@ 1.42Medium
14.3%
Very Low
-0.5
68.0%
@ 1.31High
32.0%
Low@ 4.00
+0.5
85.7%
Very High
43.1%
Medium@ 3.34
+1
90.4%
Very High
54.2%
Medium@ 2.34
+1.5
95.1%
@ 1.01Very High
64.2%
High@ 1.80
+2
96.9%
Very High
74.1%
High@ 1.53
+2.5
98.7%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

BurnleyOutcomeManchester City
27.2%
Low@ 5.10
Over 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.27High
72.8%
High@ 1.20
Under 1.5
30.6%
@ 3.86Low
8.4%
Very Low@ 17.00
Over 2.5
43.3%
@ 1.83Medium
91.6%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 2.5
56.7%
@ 2.00Medium

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Burnley vs Manchester City Wednesday, Apr 22nd, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Asian Handicap Burnley +2
High Value
Prob: 64.2%
EV: +15.5%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 58.9%
EV: +13.7%
Stake: $2.69
1.93
Asian Handicap Burnley +2.5
Value
Prob: 74.1%
EV: +13.4%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Win to Nil Manchester City NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 67.9%
EV: +12.7%
Stake: $3.79
1.66
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-14 02:03:26
spinner

Trends for Burnley vs Manchester City Football 22 Apr, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Burnley struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Manchester City create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Burnley vs Manchester City

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Burnley

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Manchester City

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Burnley - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Manchester City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Burnley - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Manchester City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.276
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.036
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Burnley):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester City):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Burnley
Manchester City

Burnley vs Manchester City Head-to-head statistics for Wed 22 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
w w w w l
>
32
21
7
4
62
24
38
70
2
Manchester City
w w d d w
>
31
19
7
5
63
28
35
64
3
32
15
10
7
57
45
12
55

18
Tottenham
l l d l l
>
32
7
9
16
40
51
-11
30
19
Burnley
l l d l l
>
32
4
8
20
33
63
-30
20
20
Wolves
l w w d l
>
32
3
8
21
24
58
-34
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Manchester City
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Burnley
VS
Manchester City
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
7 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3 (2)
3.1 (22)
xG
0.40
1.60
Shots
6.3 (44)
16.7 (117)
Shots on Target
1.4 (10)
6.3 (44)
Corners
2.7 (19)
6.4 (45)
Defense
Conceded
3.1 (22)
0.3 (2)
xGa
1.60
0.40
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
5 (71%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 (8)
0.7 (5)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
8.4 (59)
7.1 (50)
Offsides
2.4 (17)
1.3 (9)
27 Sep
- 14:00
Manchester City
Burnley
1.62
xG
0.40
5
1
Prob 61%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.47
31 Jan
- 19:30
Manchester City
Burnley
3
1
11 Aug
- 19:00
Burnley
Manchester City
0
3
2 Apr
- 14:00
Burnley
Manchester City
0
2
16 Oct
- 14:00
Manchester City
Burnley
2
0
3 Feb
- 18:00
Burnley
Manchester City
0
2
28 Nov
- 15:00
Manchester City
Burnley
5
0
Last 6 Matches
Burnley
VS
Manchester City
0/6 (0%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.33 PPG 2.33
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.92 Avg xG 1.59
Burnley
L L D L L
Premier League 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Burnley
0 2
Brighton
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Fulham
3 1
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Burnley
0 0
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Everton
2 0
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
28 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Burnley
3 4
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Chelsea
1 1
Burnley
Manchester City
D L D L W
Premier League 2025-2026
12 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Chelsea
0 3
Manchester City
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
17 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Manchester City
1 2
Real Madrid
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 20:00
West Ham
1 1
Manchester City
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
11 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
3 0
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Manchester City
2 2
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2025-2026
28 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Leeds
0 1
Manchester City

Burnley vs Manchester City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Burnley and away matches for Manchester City

Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Manchester City
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Burnley
Manchester City
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
60% 6
20% 2
Double Chance
Burnley
Manchester City
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Burnley
Manchester City
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
70% 7
4+
40% 4
20% 2
Total Corners
Burnley
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Manchester City
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Burnley
Manchester City
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Burnley
Manchester City
xG
0.88
1.71
xGa
1.85
1.26
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Manchester City
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Burnley
Manchester City
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
60% 6
10% 1
Double Chance
Burnley
Manchester City
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
40% 4
90% 9
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Burnley
Manchester City
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Manchester City
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Manchester City
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Burnley
Manchester City
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Burnley
Manchester City
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Burnley
Manchester City
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Manchester City
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
0.82 xG 2.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots Off Goal 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Burnley will take on Manchester City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-04-22 at 2026-04-22 in the famous Turf Moor. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Burnley, and the visiting side, Manchester City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Manchester City. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-22 Time: 19:00 Location: Turf Moor Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!