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Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Burnley
Burnley
19th place
Form
VS
15:00
28 Feb 2026
Brentford
Brentford
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Brentford
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Burnley vs Brentford: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 28 February, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)1.87
Brentford to Win
Probability 57%
Total Goals1.91
Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score2.02
No (NG)
Probability 56%
Burnley Total1.36
Home Under 1.5
Probability 76%
Brentford Total1.28
Away Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Double Chance1.28
Draw/Brentford
Probability 80%
Asian Handicap1.28
Brentford +0.5
Probability 80%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
15:00
Burnley W 20%
:
Brentford W 57%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Burnley
d d l l w
14 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (14.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.9 (138 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (32% acc)
Corners
3.3 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.9 (124 total)
Offsides
1.1 (15 total)
13 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (16 total)
xG
0.70 (9.1 total)
Shots per Match
7.8 (101 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (36% acc)
Corners
3.5 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5 per match
xGa
2.20 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (131 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
27 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (33 total)
xG
0.90 (23.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.9 (239 total)
Shots on Target
3 (33% acc)
Corners
3.4 (92 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.4 (255 total)
Offsides
1.5 (40 total)
Brentford
l l w w d
13 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (24 total)
xG
1.70 (22.6 total)
Shots per Match
11 (143 total)
Shots on Target
4 (36% acc)
Corners
4.1 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.2 (146 total)
Offsides
1.6 (21 total)
14 Played
6 Wins
0 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (18 total)
xG
1.40 (19.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (135 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (44% acc)
Corners
5.6 (79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.5 (147 total)
Offsides
1.9 (27 total)
27 Played
13 Wins
4 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (42 total)
xG
1.50 (41.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (278 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (40% acc)
Corners
4.9 (132 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
10.9 (293 total)
Offsides
1.8 (48 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.94 vs 1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.57%
0:1
13.12%
🔥
0:2
10.05%
0:3
5.13%
0:4
1.96%
0:5
0.6%
1
1:0
6.09%
1:1
11.25%
1:2
10.09%
1:3
5.9%
1:4
2.55%
1:5
0.87%
2
2:0
2.16%
2:1
4.68%
2:2
4.85%
2:3
3.23%
2:4
1.57%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
0.51%
3:1
1.27%
3:2
1.5%
3:3
1.13%
3:4
0.61%
3:5
0.26%
4
4:0
0.09%
4:1
0.25%
4:2
0.34%
4:3
0.28%
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.06%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 0:1 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.6%
0
19.2%
1
23.5%
2
20.4%
3
14.1%
4
8.2%
5
3.9%
6
1.6%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BurnleyHDPBrentford
1.3%
Very Low
-2.5
10.8%
@ 6.45Very Low
3.5%
Very Low@ 15.00
-2
19.1%
@ 5.75Very Low
5.7%
Very Low@ 9.50
-1.5
27.3%
@ 3.37Low
12.6%
Very Low@ 7.50
-1
40.5%
@ 2.59Medium
19.5%
Very Low@ 4.10
-0.5
53.8%
@ 1.85Medium
46.3%
Medium@ 2.10
+0.5
80.5%
@ 1.28Very High
59.5%
Medium@ 1.55
+1
87.4%
@ 1.03Very High
72.7%
High@ 1.37
+1.5
94.3%
@ 1.04Very High
80.9%
Very High@ 1.14
+2
96.5%
@ 1.01Very High
89.2%
Very High@ 1.12
+2.5
98.7%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

BurnleyOutcomeBrentford
24.1%
Low@ 3.25
Over 1.5
47.0%
@ 1.90Medium
76.0%
High@ 1.36
Under 1.5
53.0%
@ 2.00Medium
7.1%
Very Low@ 10.00
Over 2.5
22.5%
@ 3.80Low
93.0%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
77.5%
@ 1.28High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Burnley will take on Brentford as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-02-28 at 2026-02-28 in the famous Turf Moor. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Burnley, and the visiting side, Brentford. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Brentford. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-28 Time: 15:00 Location: Turf Moor Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Burnley vs Brentford Saturday, Feb 28th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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BTTS No
Value
Prob: 56.1%
EV: +13.3%
Stake: $2.45
2.02
Correct Score 0:1
Value
Prob: 13%
EV: +10.5%
Stake: $0.33
8.50
Match Winner Brentford
Value
Prob: 57.1%
EV: +6.8%
Stake: $2.87
1.87
Home Total Burnley Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 76%
EV: +3.3%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 80.1%
EV: +2.6%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 02:02:14
spinner

Trends for Burnley vs Brentford Football 28 Feb, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Burnley struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Burnley vs Brentford

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Burnley is stronger in the first half (14 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Brentford is stronger in the second half (15 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Brentford is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Burnley

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Brentford

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Burnley - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Brentford - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Burnley - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Brentford - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Burnley is stronger in the first half (14 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Burnley to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Brentford shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Brentford winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Brentford excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Brentford scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Brentford has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Brentford handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.006
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.03
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Burnley):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Brentford):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Burnley
Brentford

Burnley vs Brentford Head-to-head statistics for Sat 28 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Liverpool
d l w l w
>
26
12
6
8
41
35
6
42
7
Brentford
l l w w d
>
26
12
4
10
40
35
5
40
8
Everton
w d d w l
>
26
10
7
9
29
30
-1
37

18
West Ham
w w l w d
>
26
6
6
14
32
49
-17
24
19
Burnley
d d l l w
>
26
4
6
16
28
51
-23
18
20
Wolves
d l l l d
>
26
1
6
19
16
48
-32
9
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Brentford
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Burnley
VS
Brentford
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
2 (10)
xG
0.90
2.70
Shots
10.2 (51)
14.2 (71)
Shots on Target
3.2 (16)
5.6 (28)
Corners
5.8 (29)
3.6 (18)
Defense
Conceded
2 (10)
1.2 (6)
xGa
2.70
0.90
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (9)
2.2 (11)
Red Cards
0.4 (2)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
10 (50)
10.8 (54)
Offsides
3 (15)
3.2 (16)
29 Nov
- 15:00
Brentford
Burnley
2.69
xG
0.94
3
1
Prob 60%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.90
16 Mar
- 15:00
Burnley
Brentford
2
1
21 Oct
- 14:00
Brentford
Burnley
3
0
12 Mar
- 15:00
Brentford
Burnley
2
0
30 Oct
- 14:00
Burnley
Brentford
3
1
Last 6 Matches
Burnley
VS
Brentford
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.00 PPG 1.67
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 33%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.98 Avg xG 1.67
Burnley
D D L L W
Premier League 2025-2026
11 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Crystal Palace
2 3
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Burnley
0 2
West Ham
Premier League 2025-2026
2 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Sunderland
3 0
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Burnley
2 2
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Liverpool
1 1
Burnley
FA Cup 2025-2026 - Knockout
10 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Burnley
5 1
Millwall
Brentford
L L W W D
Premier League 2025-2026
12 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Brentford
1 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Newcastle
2 3
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Aston Villa
0 1
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Brentford
0 2
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Chelsea
2 0
Brentford
FA Cup 2025-2026 - Knockout
10 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Sheffield Wednesday
0 2
Brentford

Burnley vs Brentford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Burnley and away matches for Brentford

Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Brentford
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Burnley
Brentford
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Burnley
Brentford
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Burnley
Brentford
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Burnley
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Brentford
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Burnley
Brentford
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Burnley
Brentford
xG
0.9
1.91
xGa
1.68
1.3
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Brentford
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Burnley
Brentford
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Burnley
Brentford
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Burnley
Brentford
0-1
40% 4
80% 8
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Brentford
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
Number of goals
Burnley
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Burnley
Brentford
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Burnley
Brentford
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Burnley
Brentford
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Burnley
Brentford
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Burnley
Brentford
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1.16 xG 1.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
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Arsenal: Arteta provides updates on Rice and Mosquera injuries as Gunners express anger with Premier League over scheduling -
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Weekend ACCA Insights: Top Betfair Selections for a 55/1 Multi-Bet Featuring EPL, FA Cup, and More
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Alan Shearer's Premier League Insights: Shearer's Forecasts for Matchday 15 on
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Leeds United and Everton target Frank Lampard's preferred player from Coventry City, with Brentford showing interest as well.
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Arteta's Definitive Choice on Two Arsenal Players Highlights Their Main Challenge in the Premier League Title Race
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Premier League Saturday Insights: How Many Chances Do the Black Cats Have?
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