Login
Register
Oxford United
0
0
Bristol City
Bristol City vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 30 January, 2026 15:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(23 total)
xG
1.30
(18.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(192 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(29% acc)
Corners
4.8
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8.8
(123 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(15 total)
xG
1.10
(14.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(157 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
5.2
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.5
(136 total)
Offsides
2.9
(38 total)
27
Played
11
Wins
7
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(38 total)
xG
1.20
(32.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(349 total)
Shots on Target
4
(31% acc)
Corners
5
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.6
(259 total)
Offsides
2.1
(57 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
13
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(19 total)
xG
0.90
(11.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.4
(109 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(33% acc)
Corners
4.2
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.3
(160 total)
Offsides
1
(13 total)
27
Played
10
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(36 total)
xG
1.00
(25.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(253 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
5
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(310 total)
Offsides
1.4
(38 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.52 vs 1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.08%
0:1
8.03%
0:2
4.55%
0:3
1.72%
⭐
0:4
0.49%
⭐
0:5
0.11%
1
1:0
10.08%
⭐
1:1
12.12%
🔥
1:2
7.26%
1:3
2.89%
⭐
1:4
0.86%
⭐
1:5
0.2%
⭐
2
2:0
7.18%
2:1
9.11%
⭐
2:2
5.75%
⭐
2:3
2.4%
⭐
2:4
0.75%
2:5
0.19%
⭐
3
3:0
3.41%
⭐
3:1
4.55%
3:2
3.02%
3:3
1.32%
⭐
3:4
0.43%
⭐
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
1.21%
⭐
4:1
1.7%
⭐
4:2
1.18%
⭐
4:3
0.54%
⭐
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.35%
5:1
0.51%
⭐
5:2
0.37%
⭐
5:3
0.18%
5:4
0.06%
⭐
5:5
0.02%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Bristol City will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 30 and will take place on 2026-01-30 at 2026-01-30 in the famous Ashton Gate Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bristol City, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Bristol City or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-30
Time: 20:00
Location: Ashton Gate Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Bristol City vs Derby Football 30 Jan, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Clinical Finishing
Derby convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
-
First Half Specialists
Derby score in 1st half 83% of matches — early goal threat before HT
Comprehensive betting trends for Bristol City vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Derby have not won in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Bristol City(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-24% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Bristol City average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 1.8) — rank #3 lowest in league
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.4 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Bristol City disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bristol City vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bristol City
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.1
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bristol City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bristol City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.012
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.075
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bristol City):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Bristol City vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Fri 30 Jan, 2026 @ 15:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
▼
11
8
7
37
31
6
41
9
▲
11
7
9
38
29
9
40
10
▼
10
10
7
39
34
5
40
11
11
6
10
38
39
-1
39
12
▲
10
8
9
36
35
1
38
13
▼
10
7
10
38
40
-2
37
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Bristol City or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Bristol City
VS
Derby
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
1 (5)
xG
1.10
0.80
Shots
12 (60)
10.6 (53)
Shots on Target
3.8 (19)
3 (15)
Corners
5.6 (28)
4.4 (22)
Defense
Conceded
1 (5)
1.2 (6)
xGa
0.80
1.10
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (9)
1.6 (8)
Fouls
9.2 (46)
12.4 (62)
Offsides
1.2 (6)
2.2 (11)
Last 6 Matches
Bristol City
VS
Derby
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.73
Avg xG
0.93
Bristol City vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bristol City and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Bristol City
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Bristol City
Derby
xG
1.1
1.06
xGa
1.21
1.12
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Bristol City
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Bristol City
Derby
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Bristol City
Derby
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Bristol City
Derby
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bristol City
Derby
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1.30
xG
1.13
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Plymouth Argyle 2, Bristol City 2: Full-Time Championship Match Summary