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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 34
Preview
Brighton
Brighton
9th place
Form
VS
19:00
21 Apr 2026
Chelsea
Chelsea
6th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Brighton or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Brighton vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 21 April, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)-
Chelsea to Win
Probability 48%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 64%
Brighton Total1.74
Home Under 1.5
Probability 60%
Chelsea Total1.22
Away Under 2.5
Probability 72%
Double Chance-
Draw/Chelsea
Probability 71%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
19:00
Brighton W 29%
:
Chelsea W 48%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Brighton
w l w w w
16 Played
7 Wins
6 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (24 total)
xG
1.50 (24.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (216 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (35% acc)
Corners
5.1 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.9 (174 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
17 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.40 (23.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (201 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (35% acc)
Corners
4 (68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.6 (215 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
33 Played
13 Wins
10 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (45 total)
xG
1.40 (47.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (417 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (35% acc)
Corners
4.5 (149 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.8 (389 total)
Offsides
1.8 (61 total)
Chelsea
l l l l l
21 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (33 total)
xG
1.80 (38.6 total)
Shots per Match
15.1 (318 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (32% acc)
Corners
7 (147 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
10.8 (226 total)
Offsides
1.7 (35 total)
22 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (44 total)
xG
1.80 (38.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (280 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (41% acc)
Corners
5 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
10.9 (240 total)
Offsides
1.5 (34 total)
43 Played
19 Wins
10 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (77 total)
xG
1.80 (77.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.9 (598 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (36% acc)
Corners
6 (256 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (9 total)
Fouls
10.8 (466 total)
Offsides
1.6 (69 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.38 vs 1.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.15%
0:1
8.24%
0:2
6.6%
0:3
3.52%
0:4
1.41%
0:5
0.45%
1
1:0
5.87%
1:1
10.63%
🔥
1:2
9.5%
1:3
5.59%
1:4
2.45%
1:5
0.85%
2
2:0
3.35%
2:1
6.77%
2:2
6.69%
2:3
4.33%
2:4
2.07%
2:5
0.78%
3
3:0
1.27%
3:1
2.84%
3:2
3.08%
3:3
2.18%
3:4
1.13%
3:5
0.46%
4
4:0
0.36%
4:1
0.89%
4:2
1.05%
4:3
0.81%
4:4
0.45%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.22%
5:2
0.28%
5:3
0.23%
5:4
0.14%
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.1%
0
14.1%
1
20.6%
2
21.1%
3
16.9%
4
11.3%
5
6.4%
6
3.0%
7
1.1%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BrightonHDPChelsea
4.5%
Very Low@ 9.80
-2.5
12.1%
@ 11.00Very Low
8.6%
Very Low@ 9.30
-2
19.4%
@ 9.80Very Low
12.7%
Very Low@ 4.70
-1.5
26.8%
@ 5.15Low
20.8%
Low@ 3.93
-1
37.6%
@ 4.30Low
28.9%
Low@ 2.47
-0.5
48.4%
@ 2.61Medium
51.6%
Medium@ 1.52
+0.5
71.1%
@ 1.57High
62.4%
High@ 1.23
+1
79.2%
@ 1.36High
73.2%
High@ 1.17
+1.5
87.3%
@ 1.18Very High
80.6%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
91.4%
@ 1.04Very High
87.9%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
95.5%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

BrightonOutcomeChelsea
40.1%
Medium@ 2.11
Over 1.5
54.9%
@ 2.20Medium
59.9%
Medium@ 1.74
Under 1.5
45.1%
@ 1.68Medium
16.2%
Very Low@ 4.65
Over 2.5
28.0%
@ 5.00Low
83.8%
Very High@ 1.22
Under 2.5
72.0%
@ 1.22High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Brighton vs Chelsea Tuesday, Apr 21st, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 70.8%
EV: +11.2%
Stake: $4.39
1.57
Asian Handicap Chelsea +1
Value
Prob: 79.2%
EV: +7.7%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 60.7%
EV: +5.0%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Asian Handicap Chelsea +1.5
Value
Prob: 87.3%
EV: +3.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Win to Nil Brighton NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 89.2%
EV: +2.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.15
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 77.2%
EV: +1.1%
Stake: $8.06
1.31
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-14 03:16:07
spinner

Trends for Brighton vs Chelsea Football 21 Apr, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Late Goals Expected

    Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Brighton 75%, Chelsea 75%) — expect late drama

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Brighton vs Chelsea

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Brighton is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Brighton

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Chelsea

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.13
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Brighton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Chelsea - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Brighton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Chelsea - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
9
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Brighton often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Brighton scoring first
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.19
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Brighton):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Brighton
Chelsea

Brighton vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Tue 21 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Liverpool
w l d l w
>
32
15
7
10
52
42
10
52
6
Chelsea
l w l l l
>
32
13
9
10
53
41
12
48
7
Brentford
w d d d d
>
32
13
8
11
48
44
4
47
8
Everton
w w l w d
>
32
13
8
11
39
37
2
47
9
Brighton
w l w w w
>
32
12
10
10
43
37
6
46
10
Sunderland
d w l w w
>
32
12
10
10
33
36
-3
46
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Brighton or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Brighton
VS
Chelsea
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
4 Wins
3 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (20)
1.5 (17)
xG
1.50
2.00
Shots
15.2 (167)
11.2 (123)
Shots on Target
5.1 (56)
4.3 (47)
Corners
5.4 (59)
5.6 (62)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (17)
1.8 (20)
xGa
2.00
1.50
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (22)
2.5 (27)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.3 (3)
Fouls
10.9 (120)
11.1 (122)
Offsides
1.1 (12)
2 (22)
27 Sep
- 14:00
Chelsea
Brighton
1.34
xG
2.01
1
3
14 Feb
- 20:00
Brighton
Chelsea
1.42
xG
0.54
3
0
28 Sep
- 14:00
Chelsea
Brighton
4.16
xG
1.11
4
2
15 May
- 18:45
Brighton
Chelsea
1
2
3 Dec
- 14:00
Chelsea
Brighton
3
2
15 Apr
- 14:00
Chelsea
Brighton
1
2
29 Oct
- 14:00
Brighton
Chelsea
4
1
18 Jan
- 20:00
Brighton
Chelsea
1
1
29 Dec
- 19:30
Chelsea
Brighton
1
1
20 Apr
- 19:15
Chelsea
Brighton
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Brighton
VS
Chelsea
5/6 (83%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
2.50 PPG 0.67
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
33% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.47 Avg xG 1.69
Brighton
W L W W W
Premier League 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Burnley
0 2
Brighton
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Mar 2026 - 12:30
Brighton
2 1
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Sunderland
0 1
Brighton
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Brighton
0 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Brighton
2 1
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Brentford
0 2
Brighton
Chelsea
L L L L L
Premier League 2025-2026
12 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Chelsea
0 3
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Mar 2026 - 17:30
Everton
3 0
Chelsea
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
17 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Chelsea
0 3
Paris Saint Germain
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 17:30
Chelsea
0 1
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
11 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
5 2
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Aston Villa
1 4
Chelsea

Brighton vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Brighton and away matches for Chelsea

Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Chelsea
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Brighton
Chelsea
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Brighton
Chelsea
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Brighton
Chelsea
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
40% 4
Total Corners
Brighton
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
40% 4
60% 6
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Chelsea
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
Brighton
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Brighton
Chelsea
xG
1.29
1.98
xGa
0.96
1.1
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Chelsea
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Brighton
Chelsea
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Brighton
Chelsea
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Brighton
Chelsea
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Chelsea
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Chelsea
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Brighton
Chelsea
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
30% 3
80% 8
Double Chance
Brighton
Chelsea
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
70% 7
20% 2
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Brighton
Chelsea
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Chelsea
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
1.36 xG 1.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
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Bournemouth vs Chelsea: Team News and How to Watch the Premier League Match
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Weekend ACCA Insights: Top Betfair Selections for a 55/1 Multi-Bet Featuring EPL, FA Cup, and More
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In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Brighton will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-04-21 at 2026-04-21 in the famous The American Express Community Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Brighton, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Brighton or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-21 Time: 19:00 Location: The American Express Community Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!