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Brighton vs Bournemouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 19 January, 2026 15:00
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10
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(18 total)
xG
1.60
(16.3 total)
Shots per Match
14
(140 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(35% acc)
Corners
5
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(107 total)
Offsides
1.9
(19 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(13 total)
xG
1.40
(15.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(130 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(32% acc)
Corners
4.3
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.1
(144 total)
Offsides
1.6
(18 total)
21
Played
7
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(31 total)
xG
1.50
(32.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(270 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(34% acc)
Corners
4.6
(97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12
(251 total)
Offsides
1.8
(37 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(16 total)
xG
1.40
(15.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(145 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(31% acc)
Corners
5.1
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.7
(140 total)
Offsides
2.3
(25 total)
10
Played
1
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(18 total)
xG
1.70
(17.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(135 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(43% acc)
Corners
6.2
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.9
per match
xGa
2.10
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(115 total)
Offsides
1.9
(19 total)
21
Played
6
Wins
8
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(34 total)
xG
1.50
(32.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(280 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(37% acc)
Corners
5.6
(118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
12.1
(255 total)
Offsides
2.1
(44 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.53 vs 2.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.42%
0:1
2.54%
0:2
2.28%
0:3
1.36%
0:4
0.61%
⭐
0:5
0.22%
⭐
1
1:0
3.1%
1:1
6.04%
1:2
5.85%
1:3
3.76%
⭐
1:4
1.8%
⭐
1:5
0.69%
⭐
2
2:0
3.38%
2:1
7.13%
2:2
7.44%
🔥
2:3
5.12%
⭐
2:4
2.62%
⭐
2:5
1.06%
⭐
3
3:0
2.45%
3:1
5.57%
3:2
6.23%
⭐
3:3
4.59%
⭐
3:4
2.5%
⭐
3:5
1.08%
⭐
4
4:0
1.34%
4:1
3.25%
4:2
3.89%
⭐
4:3
3.05%
⭐
4:4
1.76%
⭐
4:5
0.81%
⭐
5
5:0
0.58%
5:1
1.51%
⭐
5:2
1.92%
⭐
5:3
1.6%
⭐
5:4
0.98%
⭐
5:5
0.47%
⭐
Hotspot:
2:2 (7.4%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Brighton will take on Bournemouth as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-01-19 at 2026-01-19 in the famous The American Express Community Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Brighton, and the visiting side, Bournemouth. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Brighton or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-19
Time: 20:00
Location: The American Express Community Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Brighton vs Bournemouth Monday, Jan 19th, 2026 at 15:00 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Brighton vs Bournemouth Football 19 Jan, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Brighton vs Bournemouth, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Bournemouth @ 4.00 ✅ 
Bournemouth
- High xG PerformanceH2H7/7100%Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 7 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Bournemouth score 1.88 goals/match in away matches (+33% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Bournemouth demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.51 ⚠️ 
Brighton(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Brighton score (1.78/match) and concede (1.22/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 53%)
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%Bournemouth score (1.88/match) and concede (2.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.53 ✅ 
Brighton(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/973%Brighton score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Bournemouth(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Bournemouth score 1.88 goals/match in away matches (+33% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Both teams average 3.7 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
⚡ Team Total Goals — Brighton Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.65 ✅
Brighton
- Above League AverageLeague9/973%Brighton score 1.78 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent13/1776%Brighton scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Brighton's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.50 ✅
Brighton(3 trends) — avg 2.4 (+26% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Brighton receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Brighton average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.9) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1776%Brighton receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Bournemouth(2 trends) — avg 2.6 (+36% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Bournemouth average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.9) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent14/1782%Bournemouth receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.7 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.50
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.68 ⚠️
Bournemouth(1 trends) — avg 5.5 (+14% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/879%Bournemouth average 5.5 corners/match in away matches (+14% above league avg 4.8)
Bournemouth drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.68
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Brighton vs Bournemouth
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (16 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Brighton
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Bournemouth
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.37
Pressure
0.19
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Brighton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Bournemouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Brighton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Bournemouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bournemouth shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bournemouth winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bournemouth excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bournemouth scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Brighton has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Brighton handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.388
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.047
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.083
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Brighton):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bournemouth):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Brighton vs Bournemouth Head-to-head statistics for Mon 19 Jan, 2026 @ 15:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▼
9
4
9
30
31
-1
31
12
▼
7
8
6
31
28
3
29
13
7
7
8
23
25
-2
28
14
7
6
9
31
29
2
27
15
6
8
7
34
40
-6
26
16
6
7
9
30
37
-7
25
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Brighton
VS
Bournemouth
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (11)
1.1 (8)
xG
1.30
1.50
Shots
12.1 (85)
14.9 (104)
Shots on Target
3.9 (27)
4.3 (30)
Corners
3.3 (23)
5.7 (40)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (8)
1.6 (11)
xGa
1.50
1.30
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (18)
2 (14)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
10.4 (73)
13.1 (92)
Offsides
0.4 (3)
2 (14)
Last 6 Matches
Brighton
VS
Bournemouth
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.67
50%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.48
Avg xG
1.90
Brighton vs Bournemouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Brighton and away matches for Bournemouth
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Bournemouth
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Brighton
Bournemouth
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Brighton
Bournemouth
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
10%
1
4+
20%
2
70%
7
Total Corners
Brighton
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Bournemouth
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Brighton
Bournemouth
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Brighton
Bournemouth
xG
1.48
1.93
xGa
1.68
1.52
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Bournemouth
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Brighton
Bournemouth
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Brighton
Bournemouth
0-1
80%
8
30%
3
2-3
10%
1
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Bournemouth
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Number of goals
Brighton
Under
Over
Bournemouth
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Brighton
Bournemouth
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Brighton
Bournemouth
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Brighton
Bournemouth
0-1
60%
6
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Brighton
Bournemouth
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Toe Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
2.68
xG
1.97
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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