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Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 28 February, 2026 6:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(20 total)
xG
1.40
(18.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(172 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.2
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.6
(151 total)
Offsides
2.2
(28 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
6
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(25 total)
xG
1.70
(24.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(189 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(43% acc)
Corners
5.8
(81 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4
per match
xGa
2.00
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.1
(170 total)
Offsides
1.6
(23 total)
27
Played
9
Wins
11
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(45 total)
xG
1.60
(43.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(361 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(39% acc)
Corners
5.5
(149 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(321 total)
Offsides
1.9
(51 total)
13
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(21 total)
xG
1.00
(12.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(138 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(34% acc)
Corners
3.4
(44 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(129 total)
Offsides
1.1
(14 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5
(7 total)
xG
0.70
(10.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(128 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
3.6
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.4
(146 total)
Offsides
1.7
(24 total)
27
Played
9
Wins
10
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(28 total)
xG
0.80
(22.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(266 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(34% acc)
Corners
3.5
(94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.2
(275 total)
Offsides
1.4
(38 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.60 vs 0.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.54%
⭐
0:1
6.1%
0:2
1.49%
0:3
0.24%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
18.17%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.68%
1:2
3.05%
1:3
0.57%
1:4
0.08%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
13.16%
⭐
2:1
9.07%
2:2
2.99%
2:3
0.63%
2:4
0.1%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
6.36%
⭐
3:1
5.02%
3:2
1.89%
3:3
0.45%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.3%
4:1
2.05%
4:2
0.87%
4:3
0.23%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.67%
5:1
0.66%
5:2
0.31%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (18.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Bournemouth will take on Sunderland as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-02-28 at 2026-02-28 in the famous Vitality Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bournemouth, and the visiting side, Sunderland. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Bournemouth or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-28
Time: 12:30
Location: Vitality Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bournemouth vs Sunderland Saturday, Feb 28th, 2026 at 6:30 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Bournemouth vs Sunderland Football 28 Feb, 2026 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Bournemouth have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Toothless Attack
Sunderland struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/9 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Bournemouth vs Sunderland.
🏆 Match Winner — Bournemouth @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
Bournemouth
League Best DefenseLeague
Bournemouth concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
9 / 970%
High xG PerformanceRecent
Bournemouth create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
17 / 17100%
💡Bournemouth demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.12 ⚠️ 
Bournemouth1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Bournemouth score well (1.22/match) but have strong defense at home (0.67 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
5 / 956%
Sunderland1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Sunderland struggle to score in away matches (0.44/match) - fail to score in 78% of matches
7 / 978%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ⚠️
Sunderland1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Sunderland struggle to score in away matches (0.44/match) - fail to score in 78% of matches
7 / 978%
💡Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Bournemouth Win or Draw @ 1.26 ⚠️ 
Bournemouth
League Best DefenseLeague
Bournemouth concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
9 / 970%
💡Bournemouth demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Bournemouth Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.86 ⚠️
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Bournemouth2 Trends — avg 2.4 (+26% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Bournemouth average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.9) — rank #3 in league
17 / 1790%
Many CardsRecent
Bournemouth receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
14 / 1782%
Sunderland1 Trends — avg 2.1 (+10% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Sunderland average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.9)
17 / 1781.5%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.14 ⚠️
Sunderland2 Trends — avg 3.2 (-33% below league)Few CornersLeague
Sunderland average 3.2 corners/match in away matches (-33% below league avg 4.8)
9 / 985%
Few CornersRecent
Sunderland win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
13 / 1776%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.14
🎯 Betting Analysis
Bournemouth vs Sunderland
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Bournemouth is stronger in the second half (17 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: Bournemouth is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bournemouth
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.17
✈️ Sunderland
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bournemouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
✈️ Sunderland - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bournemouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Sunderland - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bournemouth shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bournemouth winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bournemouth excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bournemouth scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.066
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.098
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.083 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bournemouth):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sunderland):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Head-to-head statistics for Sat 28 Feb, 2026 @ 6:30 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
10
7
9
29
30
-1
37
9
▲
9
10
7
43
45
-2
37
10
▲
10
6
10
37
37
0
36
11
▼
9
9
8
27
30
-3
36
12
▼
10
4
12
35
40
-5
34
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Bournemouth or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Bournemouth
VS
Sunderland
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
3 (3)
xG
1.90
1.20
Shots
18 (18)
11 (11)
Shots on Target
6 (6)
6 (6)
Corners
3 (3)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
3 (3)
2 (2)
xGa
1.20
1.90
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (4)
5 (5)
Red Cards
1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
13 (13)
14 (14)
Offsides
2 (2)
1 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Bournemouth
VS
Sunderland
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.33
PPG
1.00
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.79
Avg xG
0.91
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bournemouth and away matches for Sunderland
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Yes
90%
9
50%
5
No
10%
1
50%
5
1X2
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Sunderland
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Sunderland
0-1
0%
0
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
60%
6
10%
1
Total Corners
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Bournemouth
Sunderland
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Bournemouth
Sunderland
xG
1.87
0.88
xGa
1.65
1.45
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Sunderland
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Sunderland
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
Bournemouth
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Yes
50%
5
0%
0
No
50%
5
100%
10
1X2
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Bournemouth
Sunderland
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Bournemouth
Sunderland
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Shoulder injury
1.85
xG
0.62
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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