Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Botafogo
Botafogo
Form
VS
20:00
29 Jul 2026
Gremio
Gremio
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Botafogo vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 29 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Botafogo to Win
Probability 66%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 58%
Botafogo Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 67%
Gremio Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Double Chance-
Botafogo/Draw
Probability 85%
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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:00
Botafogo W 53%
:
Gremio W 23%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.29 vs 1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.71%
0:1
3.75%
0:2
1.49%
0:3
0.39%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
9.83%
1:1
8.78%
1:2
3.87%
1:3
1.13%
1:4
0.24%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
10.25%
🔥
2:1
10.16%
2:2
4.94%
2:3
1.57%
2:4
0.37%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
7.12%
3:1
7.76%
3:2
4.13%
3:3
1.43%
3:4
0.37%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
3.71%
4:1
4.41%
4:2
2.55%
4:3
0.96%
4:4
0.26%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
1.55%
5:1
1.99%
5:2
1.24%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.15%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 2:0 (10.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.7%
0
13.6%
1
20.5%
2
21.6%
3
17.6%
4
11.9%
5
6.4%
6
2.6%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BotafogoHDPGremio
23.4%
Low
-2.5
1.2%
Very Low
33.4%
Low
-2
3.0%
Very Low
43.3%
Medium
-1.5
4.8%
Very Low
54.9%
Medium
-1
9.7%
Very Low
66.6%
High
-0.5
14.6%
Very Low
85.4%
Very High
+0.5
33.4%
Low
90.3%
Very High
+1
45.1%
Medium
95.2%
Very High
+1.5
56.7%
Medium
97.0%
Very High
+2
66.6%
High
98.8%
Very High
+2.5
76.6%
High

Team Total Predictions

BotafogoOutcomeGremio
66.7%
High
Over 1.5
26.4%
Low
33.3%
Low
Under 1.5
73.6%
High
40.1%
Medium
Over 2.5
8.0%
Very Low
59.9%
Medium
Under 2.5
92.0%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Botafogo vs Gremio Wednesday, Jul 29th, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Botafogo vs Gremio Football 29 Jul, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Botafogo Home
Form Index 57
Goals 11:9
PPG 1.60
Gremio Away
Form Index 38
Goals 2:5
PPG 0.60
MirasWCORDINTDREMLCORW
PALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
2/5
Won
0/5
5/5
Scored
2/5
4/5
Scored 2+
0/5
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
4/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
5/5
Over 2.5
1/5
5/5
BTTS
2/5

Botafogo

MirasWCORDINTDREMLCORW
Won 2/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 4/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
BTTS 5/5

Gremio

PALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
Won 0/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 0/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 3/3
Over 2.5 2/3

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Botafogo rarely concede quality chances (1.00 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Botafogo Home
Gremio Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Botafogo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
  • First half: Botafogo is stronger (14 vs 7).
  • Second half: Botafogo is stronger (23 vs 13).
  • Final stage: Botafogo is stronger in the closing minutes (11 vs 3).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.22 factor
Home Pressure 0.23 Away 0.05

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
9 0.45
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
14 0.70
First Half (0–45)
7 0.35
23 1.15
Second Half (46–90)
13 0.65
11 0.55
Final Stage (76–90)
3 0.15

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.138 Strong
Pressure Home +0.175 Strong
Timing Home +0.043 Weak
Defense Away +0.135 Strong

Momentum

Botafogo Metric Gremio
8 Positive Sequences 3
9 Comeback Goals 5
4 Negative Sequences 2
18 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Botafogo Metric Gremio
9 Early Pressure 3
11 Late Pressure 3
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Botafogo Metric Gremio
9 Fast Starts 3
5 Half-time Spurts 4
12 Second Half Starts 10
11 Late Surges 3

Defense

Botafogo Metric Gremio
6 Early Conceded 0
9 Late Conceded 3
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: Botafogo often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
  • First goal: high probability of Botafogo scoring first.
  • First half result: consider Botafogo to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Botafogo winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Botafogo excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Botafogo holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Botafogo

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Gremio

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Botafogo has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and home win markets.

Botafogo
Gremio

Botafogo vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Wed 29 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

7 Played 9
43% 3-2-2 Win Rate 0% 0-4-5
53 Form Index 34
6.84 Team Rating 6.75
70 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Botafogo Gremio Results 83 17 Attack 100 0 Defense 46 54 Control 38 62 Discipline 68 32 Efficiency 85 15 Average 70 30 30

Attack

2.14
Goals
0.56
1.28
Expected Goals
0.61
13.3
Shots
7.6
5.1
Shots on Target
2.1
4.1
Corners
2.9

Defense

1.71
Conceded
1.33
1.08
Expected Goals Against
1.69
15.3
Shots Allowed
12.7
+0.43
Goal Difference
-0.78
14%
Clean Sheets
22%

Possession & Passing

47%
Possession
51%
82%
Pass Accuracy
85%
364
Passes
410
300
Accurate Passes
347

Discipline

2.71
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.14
Red Cards
0.33
14.9
Fouls
12.7
0.4
Offsides
1.7

Efficiency

1.57
PPG
0.44
+0.86
Goals vs xG
-0.05
16%
Shot Conversion
7%
63%
Save %
69%

Botafogo vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Botafogo and away matches for Gremio

Number of goals
Botafogo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Botafogo
Gremio
Yes
100% 10
30% 3
No
0% 0
70% 7
1X2
Botafogo
Gremio
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Botafogo
Gremio
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Botafogo
Gremio
0-1
0% 0
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
60% 6
0% 0
Total Corners
Botafogo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Botafogo
Gremio
Yes
0% 0
50% 5
No
100% 10
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Botafogo
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Botafogo
Gremio
xG
1.3
0.69
xGa
1.11
1.28
Number of goals
Botafogo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Botafogo
Gremio
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Botafogo
Gremio
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Botafogo
Gremio
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Botafogo
Gremio
0-1
50% 5
90% 9
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Botafogo
Gremio
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
Number of goals
Botafogo
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Botafogo
Gremio
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Botafogo
Gremio
1
60% 6
10% 1
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Botafogo
Gremio
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
40% 4
90% 9
Total Goals
Botafogo
Gremio
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Botafogo
Gremio
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1.79 Expected goals 1.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Botafogo will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-29 at 2026-07-29 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Botafogo, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-29 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!