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Birmingham vs Southampton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 29 December, 2025 14:15
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.87 vs 1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.64%
0:1
2.16%
⭐
0:2
1.43%
⭐
0:3
0.63%
0:4
0.21%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
4.44%
⭐
1:1
6.12%
⭐
1:2
4.21%
1:3
1.93%
⭐
1:4
0.66%
1:5
0.18%
⭐
2
2:0
6.02%
2:1
8.65%
🔥
2:2
6.2%
⭐
2:3
2.95%
⭐
2:4
1.05%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
5.43%
3:1
8.13%
⭐
3:2
6.06%
3:3
3%
3:4
1.11%
3:5
0.33%
4
4:0
3.68%
4:1
5.73%
4:2
4.43%
⭐
4:3
2.27%
4:4
0.87%
⭐
4:5
0.27%
⭐
5
5:0
1.99%
5:1
3.22%
5:2
2.59%
5:3
1.37%
5:4
0.54%
⭐
5:5
0.17%
⭐
Hotspot:
2:1 (8.6%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
▲
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
14
▼
8
5
9
30
29
1
29
15
6
10
6
27
27
0
28
2.62
xG
1.23
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Birmingham
VS
Southampton
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.83
PPG
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
0.98
Avg xG
1.59
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Birmingham will take on Southampton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2025-12-29 at 2025-12-29 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Birmingham, and the visiting side, Southampton. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Southampton.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-29
Time: 20:15
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Birmingham vs Southampton Football 29 Dec, 2025 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Birmingham have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+7 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Birmingham vs Southampton, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Birmingham(5 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Birmingham have not won their last 3 3 matches
- LostH2H3/3100%Birmingham have lost their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Birmingham efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1075%Birmingham score 2.20 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague10/1070%Birmingham concede only 0.90 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Southampton(4 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Southampton have won their last 3 3 matches
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Southampton are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Southampton efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague11/1175%Southampton score 1.73 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Southampton(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague11/11100%Southampton score (1.73/match) and concede (1.82/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/3100%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 3 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1075%Birmingham score 2.20 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
Southampton(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague11/1175%Southampton score 1.73 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H3/3100%Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Both teams average 3.9 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance
Birmingham(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Birmingham have not won their last 3 3 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague10/1070%Birmingham concede only 0.90 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Southampton(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Southampton are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent17/2277%Southampton are undefeated at half time in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Birmingham(5 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1075%Birmingham score 2.20 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague10/1070%Birmingham concede only 0.90 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Birmingham score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 1+Recent17/2277%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
Southampton(5 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague11/1175%Southampton score 1.73 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Southampton scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 2+Recent3/3100%Southampton scored 2+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Southampton score in first half in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Southampton score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Birmingham(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+7% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2289%Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
Southampton(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-8% below league)
- Few CardsH2H3/3100%Southampton receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
Southampton disciplined play balances Birmingham aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Birmingham(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+20% above league)
- Many CornersLeague10/1085%Birmingham average 6.0 corners/match at home (+20% above league avg 5.0)
Southampton(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-13% below league)
- Few CornersLeague11/1178%Southampton average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-13% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 10.4 corners/match (Birmingham 6.0 + Southampton 4.4)
+9 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Birmingham vs Southampton
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Birmingham is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (16 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (16 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Birmingham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.17
✈️ Southampton
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Southampton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Southampton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Birmingham often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Birmingham scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (16 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Birmingham to win the first half
- Overall Result: Southampton has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Southampton handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.21
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.1
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Southampton):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Birmingham vs Southampton Head-to-head statistics for Mon 29 Dec, 2025 @ 14:15 Championship
Birmingham vs Southampton: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Birmingham and away matches for Southampton
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
3.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Birmingham
Southampton
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
Birmingham
Southampton
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Birmingham
Southampton
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Birmingham
Southampton
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
40%
4
50%
5
Total Corners
Birmingham
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
Southampton
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Birmingham
Southampton
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Birmingham
Southampton
xG
1.5
1.58
xGa
1.11
1.24
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Birmingham
Southampton
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Birmingham
Southampton
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Birmingham
Southampton
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Birmingham
Southampton
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
Southampton
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Birmingham
Southampton
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Birmingham
Southampton
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Birmingham
Southampton
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Birmingham
Southampton
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
Southampton
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Southampton
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.80%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 78.06% | High | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 21.94% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 43.55% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 56.45% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 54.71% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 45.29% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 18.61% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 81.39% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Birmingham
Southampton
Played:
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1.7
Goals
3.3
10
10
3.3
Goals Conceded
1.7
5
8
2.7
Yellow Cards
0.7
2
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
18
6
Corners
9
27
34
11.3
Fouls
8
24
6
2
Offsides
1
3
42
14
Shots
18.3
55
10
3.3
Shots on Goal
7.7
23
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.2 | 22 | 0.7 | 8 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 9 | 1.7 | 20 | 1.3 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 21 | 1.9 | 23 | 2 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 60 | 4.6 | 55 | 5.2 | 115 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 123 | 11.2 | 134 | 11.7 | 257 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 13 | 1.3 | 16 | 1.3 | 29 |
| Shots | 17.5 | 175 | 9.6 | 115 | 13.2 | 290 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 50 | 2.1 | 25 | 3.4 | 75 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 5 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 17 | 1.7 | 19 | 1.6 | 36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 11 | 1.8 | 20 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 16 | 2.3 | 25 | 1.9 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.3 | 69 | 4.4 | 48 | 5.3 | 117 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 109 | 10.6 | 117 | 10.3 | 226 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 12 | 2.2 | 24 | 1.6 | 36 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 169 | 12.6 | 139 | 14 | 308 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 114 |
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