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Birmingham
Birmingham vs QPR: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 11 March, 2026 14:45
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17
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(31 total)
xG
1.70
(29.1 total)
Shots per Match
17.3
(294 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(30% acc)
Corners
6.4
(109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.6
(198 total)
Offsides
1.8
(30 total)
20
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(18 total)
xG
0.90
(17.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(196 total)
Shots on Target
2.5
(25% acc)
Corners
4.5
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.2
(224 total)
Offsides
1.5
(30 total)
37
Played
14
Wins
10
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(49 total)
xG
1.30
(46.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(490 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(28% acc)
Corners
5.4
(199 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(5 total)
Fouls
11.4
(422 total)
Offsides
1.6
(60 total)
18
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(29 total)
xG
1.40
(25.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.1
(253 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(30% acc)
Corners
5.6
(101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.4
(187 total)
Offsides
1.7
(31 total)
19
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(18 total)
xG
0.80
(15.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(195 total)
Shots on Target
3
(29% acc)
Corners
3.8
(73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(192 total)
Offsides
1.9
(37 total)
37
Played
13
Wins
8
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(47 total)
xG
1.10
(40.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(448 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(30% acc)
Corners
4.7
(174 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.2
(379 total)
Offsides
1.8
(68 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.76 vs 1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.62%
0:1
6.53%
0:2
2.38%
0:3
0.61%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.46%
🔥
1:1
11.05%
1:2
5.19%
1:3
1.54%
1:4
0.34%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
9.06%
2:1
10.12%
2:2
5.38%
2:3
1.83%
⭐
2:4
0.45%
⭐
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
4.52%
3:1
5.84%
3:2
3.57%
⭐
3:3
1.38%
⭐
3:4
0.39%
⭐
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
1.7%
4:1
2.49%
4:2
1.72%
⭐
4:3
0.75%
⭐
4:4
0.23%
⭐
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.51%
5:1
0.83%
5:2
0.64%
⭐
5:3
0.31%
⭐
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:0 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Birmingham will take on QPR as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 37 and will take place on 2026-03-11 at 2026-03-11 in the famous St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Birmingham, and the visiting side, QPR. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Birmingham or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-11
Time: 19:45
Location: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Birmingham vs QPR Wednesday, Mar 11th, 2026 at 14:45 Football
AI Value Bets
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Birmingham vs QPR Football 11 Mar, 2026 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Birmingham have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Birmingham create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Birmingham vs QPR.
🏆 Match Winner — Birmingham @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham
Above League AverageLeague
Birmingham score 2.20 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Birmingham concede only 0.90 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Birmingham to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Birmingham score 2.20 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Birmingham Win or Draw @ 1.21 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham
League Best DefenseLeague
Birmingham concede only 0.90 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Birmingham demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Birmingham Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.89 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham
Above League AverageLeague
Birmingham score 2.20 goals/match at home (+66% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Birmingham scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 2277%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Birmingham's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.72 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham1 Trends — avg 1.8 (-8% below league)High Card MatchesLeague
Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2289%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Birmingham aggressive drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.72
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.64 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham2 Trends — avg 6.0 (+20% above league)Few CornersH2H
Birmingham win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 7 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CornersLeague
Birmingham average 6.0 corners/match at home (+20% above league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak TrendsQPR1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-20% below league)Few CornersLeague
QPR average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends11 / 1185%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (Birmingham 6.0 + QPR 4.0) • Birmingham dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Birmingham vs QPR
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: QPR is stronger in the first half (17 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: QPR is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: QPR is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Birmingham
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.07
✈️ QPR
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ QPR - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ QPR - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
12
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: QPR is stronger in the first half (17 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider QPR to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: QPR excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of QPR scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.06
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.054
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (QPR):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Birmingham vs QPR Head-to-head statistics for Wed 11 Mar, 2026 @ 14:45 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▲
15
4
17
51
49
2
49
12
13
10
13
46
47
-1
49
13
▼
12
13
11
42
43
-1
49
15
▼
13
8
15
39
36
3
47
16
▼
13
8
15
46
58
-12
47
17
13
6
16
47
44
3
45
Team comparison
Prediction
QPR AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Birmingham
VS
QPR
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (6)
1.1 (8)
xG
0.30
1.40
Shots
9.4 (66)
13 (91)
Shots on Target
2.6 (18)
4.1 (29)
Corners
2.7 (19)
6.1 (43)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 (8)
0.9 (6)
xGa
1.40
0.30
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 (15)
2.3 (16)
Fouls
12.1 (85)
10.7 (75)
Offsides
1.9 (13)
1.7 (12)
Last 6 Matches
Birmingham
VS
QPR
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.17
PPG
0.67
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
2.50
50%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.90
Avg xG
0.98
Birmingham vs QPR: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Birmingham and away matches for QPR
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Birmingham
QPR
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
Birmingham
QPR
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Birmingham
QPR
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Birmingham
QPR
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
20%
2
4+
10%
1
50%
5
Total Corners
Birmingham
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
QPR
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Birmingham
QPR
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Birmingham
QPR
xG
1.15
0.86
xGa
0.81
1.28
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Birmingham
QPR
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Birmingham
QPR
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Birmingham
QPR
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Birmingham
QPR
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
QPR
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
QPR
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Birmingham
QPR
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Birmingham
QPR
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Birmingham
QPR
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Birmingham
QPR
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
QPR
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knock
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.42
xG
0.63
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
7
7
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Wolves Extend Premier League's Longest Winless Streak