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Watford
Birmingham vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 26 December, 2025 6:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
▲
7
7
4
30
19
11
28
8
▼
8
4
6
27
20
7
28
9
▼
8
4
6
30
30
0
28
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
Last 6 Matches
Birmingham
VS
Derby
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.17
PPG
2.00
2.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.86
Avg xG
0.94
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.98
xG [Total: 2.77]
0.79
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
6
Corners [Total: 9]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
13
Fouls [Total: 26]
13
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Birmingham will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2025-12-26 at 2025-12-26 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Birmingham, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-26
Time: 12:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Birmingham vs Derby Football 26 Dec, 2025 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Birmingham have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Birmingham score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Birmingham vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Birmingham(5 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Birmingham efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Derby
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Birmingham score 2.33 goals/match at home (+78% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Birmingham concede only 0.89 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Birmingham create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(3 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Derby have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Birmingham
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Derby score (1.44/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Birmingham score 2.33 goals/match at home (+78% above league average)
Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Birmingham(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Birmingham are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Birmingham concede only 0.89 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Derby have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Birmingham
⚡ Team Total Goals
Birmingham(7 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- Scored 2+H2H2/2100%Birmingham scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- First Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Birmingham score in first half in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Birmingham score in second half in their last 2 2 matches vs Derby
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Birmingham score 2.33 goals/match at home (+78% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Birmingham concede only 0.89 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Birmingham rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Birmingham(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Birmingham receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches vs Derby
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1889%Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Derby receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 4.5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Birmingham(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+13% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/978%Birmingham average 5.6 corners/match at home (+13% above league avg 4.9)
Derby(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/976%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (Birmingham 5.6 + Derby 4.4)
+28 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Birmingham vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Birmingham is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Birmingham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Birmingham often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Birmingham scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Birmingham to win the first half
- Overall Result: Birmingham has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Birmingham handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.174
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.032
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Birmingham vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Fri 26 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Championship
Birmingham vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Birmingham and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Birmingham
Derby
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Birmingham
Derby
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Birmingham
Derby
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Birmingham
Derby
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Birmingham
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
Derby
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Birmingham
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Birmingham
Derby
xG
1.54
0.98
xGa
0.89
1.28
Number of goals
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Birmingham
Derby
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Birmingham
Derby
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
0%
0
20%
2
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Birmingham
Derby
12
100%
10
80%
8
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Birmingham
Derby
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
Derby
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Birmingham
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Birmingham
Derby
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Birmingham
Derby
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Birmingham
Derby
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Birmingham
Derby
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Birmingham
Derby
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Birmingham
Derby
Played:
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
2
Goals
1
2
2
1
Goals Conceded
2
4
6
3
Yellow Cards
1.5
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.5
Clean Sheets
0
8
4
Corners
4.5
9
37
18.5
Fouls
5
10
2
1
Offsides
3
6
26
13
Shots
11.5
23
8
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 21 | 0.7 | 6 | 1.5 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 8 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.1 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 36 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 50 | 4.4 | 40 | 5 | 90 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 115 | 11.3 | 102 | 12.1 | 217 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 12 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.3 | 24 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 151 | 9.6 | 86 | 13.2 | 237 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 45 | 2.1 | 19 | 3.6 | 64 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |