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Bahia vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 October, 2026 14:00
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Trends for Bahia vs Sao Paulo Football 28 Oct, 2026 14:00
Team Form Comparison
Bahia
Home
Form Index
56
Goals
8:7
PPG
1.00
Sao Paulo
Away
Form Index
44
Goals
5:10
PPG
0.20
ATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
INTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
1/5
Won
0/5
5/5
Scored
4/5
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Bahia
ATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
Won
1/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Sao Paulo
INTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
Won
0/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
4/5
Bahia
Home
Form Index
56
Goals
15:9
PPG
1.60
Sao Paulo
Away
Form Index
44
Goals
9:14
PPG
0.80
VASWSPOWFLUDVITDBRAWATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
VITLSANDCORWBRAWATLLINTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
4/10
Won
2/10
10/10
Scored
7/10
4/10
Scored 2+
2/10
4/10
Clean sheet
1/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
4/10
Over 2.5
4/10
6/10
BTTS
6/10
Bahia
VASWSPOWFLUDVITDBRAWATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
Won
4/10
Scored
10/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
6/10
Sao Paulo
VITLSANDCORWBRAWATLLINTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
Won
2/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
2/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
6/10
Bahia
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
8:10
PPG
0.60
Sao Paulo
Away team
Form Index
45
Goals
7:9
PPG
0.80
SANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
0/5
Won
1/5
5/5
Scored
5/5
3/5
Scored 2+
2/5
0/5
Clean sheet
1/5
4/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
5/5
BTTS
4/5
Bahia
SANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
Won
0/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
5/5
Sao Paulo
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
1/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Bahia
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
15:19
PPG
0.90
Sao Paulo
Away team
Form Index
45
Goals
12:15
PPG
0.80
REMLATLWPALLMirasWFLALSANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
2/10
Won
2/10
9/10
Scored
7/10
5/10
Scored 2+
3/10
1/10
Clean sheet
1/10
7/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
8/10
Over 2.5
5/10
8/10
BTTS
6/10
Bahia
REMLATLWPALLMirasWFLALSANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
Won
2/10
Scored
9/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
7/10
Over 2.5
8/10
BTTS
8/10
Sao Paulo
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
2/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
3/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
6/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Sao Paulo score in 2nd half 100% of away matches — expect late goals
-
Chance Suppression
Bahia rarely concede quality chances (0.93 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Bahia
Home
Sao Paulo
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
No clear period advantage between the teams.
Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3
0.15
8
0.40
First Half (0–45)
8
0.40
12
0.60
Second Half (46–90)
13
0.65
7
0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
7
0.35
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Home +0.142
Strong
Pressure
Home +0.000
Weak
Timing
Away +0.003
Weak
Defense
Home +0.030
Weak
Momentum
Bahia
Metric
Sao Paulo
6
Positive Sequences
8
9
Comeback Goals
2
0
Negative Sequences
0
6
Killer Goals
10
Pressure
Bahia
Metric
Sao Paulo
3
Early Pressure
3
7
Late Pressure
7
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Bahia
Metric
Sao Paulo
3
Fast Starts
3
5
Half-time Spurts
5
5
Second Half Starts
6
7
Late Surges
7
Defense
Bahia
Metric
Sao Paulo
0
Early Conceded
2
5
Late Conceded
5
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.
Summary
Bahia
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Sao Paulo
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Final advice
Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.
Bahia vs Sao Paulo Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Oct, 2026 @ 14:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings (all competitions)
1
Bahia
1
Draws
1
Sao Paulo
8
Played
9
25% 2-4-2
Win Rate
22% 2-2-5
52
Form Index
45
6.92
Team Rating
6.66
69
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Results
63
37
Attack
89
11
Defense
88
12
Control
50
50
Discipline
38
62
Efficiency
87
13
Average
69
31
31
Attack
1.50
Goals
1
1.44
Expected Goals
1.06
13.8
Shots
10.4
5.6
Shots on Target
4
5.4
Corners
5.3
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1.44
1.04
Expected Goals Against
1.20
10.9
Shots Allowed
13
+0.38
Goal Difference
-0.44
25%
Clean Sheets
11%
Possession & Passing
55%
Possession
55%
86%
Pass Accuracy
84%
436
Passes
439
376
Accurate Passes
370
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.13
Red Cards
0.11
15.4
Fouls
14.9
1.4
Offsides
0.8
Efficiency
1.25
PPG
0.89
+0.06
Goals vs xG
-0.06
11%
Shot Conversion
10%
77%
Save %
63%
8
Played
7
25% 2-4-2
Win Rate
71% 5-1-1
52
Form Index
66
6.92
Team Rating
7.08
30
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Results
21
79
Attack
39
61
Defense
15
85
Control
56
44
Discipline
32
68
Efficiency
14
86
Average
30
70
70
Attack
1.50
Goals
1.86
1.44
Expected Goals
1.67
13.8
Shots
13.1
5.6
Shots on Target
4.1
5.4
Corners
8.1
Defense
1.13
Conceded
0.71
1.04
Expected Goals Against
0.93
10.9
Shots Allowed
10
+0.38
Goal Difference
+1.14
25%
Clean Sheets
43%
Possession & Passing
55%
Possession
50%
86%
Pass Accuracy
84%
436
Passes
413
376
Accurate Passes
347
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
1.57
0.13
Red Cards
0
15.4
Fouls
13.3
1.4
Offsides
2
Efficiency
1.25
PPG
2.29
+0.06
Goals vs xG
+0.18
11%
Shot Conversion
14%
77%
Save %
77%
8
Played
9
50% 4-1-3
Win Rate
22% 2-2-5
50
Form Index
45
6.81
Team Rating
6.66
60
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Results
71
29
Attack
63
37
Defense
49
51
Control
48
52
Discipline
40
60
Efficiency
89
11
Average
60
40
40
Attack
1.38
Goals
1
1.11
Expected Goals
1.06
11.9
Shots
10.4
4.3
Shots on Target
4
4.9
Corners
5.3
Defense
1.63
Conceded
1.44
1.57
Expected Goals Against
1.20
17.1
Shots Allowed
13
-0.25
Goal Difference
-0.44
25%
Clean Sheets
11%
Possession & Passing
52%
Possession
55%
84%
Pass Accuracy
84%
421
Passes
439
355
Accurate Passes
370
Discipline
2.38
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.13
Red Cards
0.11
13.1
Fouls
14.9
1.4
Offsides
0.8
Efficiency
1.63
PPG
0.89
+0.27
Goals vs xG
-0.06
12%
Shot Conversion
10%
76%
Save %
63%
16
Played
16
38% 6-5-5
Win Rate
44% 7-3-6
45
Form Index
45
6.87
Team Rating
6.85
44
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Results
42
58
Attack
51
49
Defense
22
78
Control
50
50
Discipline
34
66
Efficiency
64
36
Average
44
56
56
Attack
1.44
Goals
1.38
1.27
Expected Goals
1.33
12.8
Shots
11.6
4.9
Shots on Target
4.1
5.1
Corners
6.6
Defense
1.38
Conceded
1.13
1.30
Expected Goals Against
1.08
14
Shots Allowed
11.7
+0.06
Goal Difference
+0.25
25%
Clean Sheets
25%
Possession & Passing
53%
Possession
53%
85%
Pass Accuracy
84%
428
Passes
427
365
Accurate Passes
360
Discipline
2.31
Yellow Cards
2.13
0.13
Red Cards
0.06
14.3
Fouls
14.2
1.4
Offsides
1.3
Efficiency
1.44
PPG
1.50
+0.16
Goals vs xG
+0.05
11%
Shot Conversion
12%
76%
Save %
68%
3
Played
3
33% 1-1-1
Win Rate
33% 1-1-1
—
Form Index
—
6.95
Team Rating
7.10
45
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Results
50
50
Attack
30
70
Defense
13
87
Control
67
33
Discipline
58
42
Efficiency
55
45
Average
45
55
55
Attack
1.33
Goals
1.67
1.41
Expected Goals
1.77
13.7
Shots
15.3
5.7
Shots on Target
5.7
6.3
Corners
7
Defense
1.67
Conceded
1.33
1.77
Expected Goals Against
1.41
15.3
Shots Allowed
13.7
-0.33
Goal Difference
+0.33
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
Possession & Passing
54%
Possession
46%
87%
Pass Accuracy
85%
461
Passes
403
401
Accurate Passes
344
Discipline
2.67
Yellow Cards
2.33
0
Red Cards
0
11
Fouls
11
1
Offsides
2
Efficiency
1.33
PPG
1.33
-0.08
Goals vs xG
-0.10
10%
Shot Conversion
11%
71%
Save %
71%
Bahia vs Sao Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bahia and away matches for Sao Paulo
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
1X2
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Bahia
Sao Paulo
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0-1
0%
0
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Bahia
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Bahia
Sao Paulo
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Bahia
Sao Paulo
xG
1.25
1.2
xGa
1.23
1.16
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Bahia
Sao Paulo
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Bahia
Sao Paulo
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1.51
Expected goals
0.99
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Bahia will take on Sao Paulo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-10-28 at 2026-10-28 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bahia, and the visiting side, Sao Paulo. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-10-28
Time: 21:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.