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Bahia vs Corinthians: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 July, 2026 13:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.80 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.52%
0:1
5.35%
0:2
1.5%
0:3
0.28%
⭐
0:4
0.04%
⭐
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.54%
🔥
1:1
10.33%
⭐
1:2
3.35%
⭐
1:3
0.71%
⭐
1:4
0.11%
⭐
1:5
0.01%
⭐
2
2:0
12.68%
⭐
2:1
9.74%
⭐
2:2
3.6%
2:3
0.86%
⭐
2:4
0.15%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
6.9%
3:1
6.01%
⭐
3:2
2.51%
3:3
0.67%
⭐
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
2.82%
4:1
2.74%
4:2
1.27%
⭐
4:3
0.38%
⭐
4:4
0.08%
⭐
4:5
0.01%
⭐
5
5:0
0.92%
⭐
5:1
0.99%
5:2
0.51%
⭐
5:3
0.17%
5:4
0.04%
⭐
5:5
0.01%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Trends for Bahia vs Corinthians Football 26 Jul, 2026 13:00
Team Form Comparison
Bahia
Home
Form Index
56
Goals
8:7
PPG
1.00
Corinthians
Away
Form Index
39
Goals
3:8
PPG
0.40
ATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
CHADFLULVITDMirasLBOTL
1/5
Won
0/5
5/5
Scored
3/5
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
4/5
BTTS
3/5
Bahia
ATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
Won
1/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Corinthians
CHADFLULVITDMirasLBOTL
Won
0/5
Scored
3/5
Scored 2+
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
3/5
Bahia
Home
Form Index
56
Goals
15:9
PPG
1.60
Corinthians
Away
Form Index
39
Goals
7:15
PPG
0.70
VASWSPOWFLUDVITDBRAWATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
CRULFORLATLWCRUDSANDCHADFLULVITDMirasLBOTL
4/10
Won
1/10
10/10
Scored
7/10
4/10
Scored 2+
0/10
4/10
Clean sheet
3/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
4/10
Over 2.5
5/10
6/10
BTTS
6/10
Bahia
VASWSPOWFLUDVITDBRAWATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
Won
4/10
Scored
10/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
6/10
Corinthians
CRULFORLATLWCRUDSANDCHADFLULVITDMirasLBOTL
Won
1/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
0/10
Clean sheet
3/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Bahia
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
8:10
PPG
0.60
Corinthians
Away team
Form Index
46
Goals
6:7
PPG
1.40
SANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
VITDVASWMirasLPAUWBOTL
0/5
Won
2/5
5/5
Scored
4/5
3/5
Scored 2+
1/5
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
4/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
5/5
BTTS
3/5
Bahia
SANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
Won
0/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
5/5
Corinthians
VITDVASWMirasLPAUWBOTL
Won
2/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
3/5
Bahia
Home team
Form Index
45
Goals
15:19
PPG
0.90
Corinthians
Away team
Form Index
46
Goals
8:12
PPG
1.00
REMLATLWPALLMirasWFLALSANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
CHADFLADFLULINTLPALDVITDVASWMirasLPAUWBOTL
2/10
Won
2/10
9/10
Scored
6/10
5/10
Scored 2+
1/10
1/10
Clean sheet
4/10
7/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
8/10
Over 2.5
4/10
8/10
BTTS
5/10
Bahia
REMLATLWPALLMirasWFLALSANDPAUDCRULGREDCORL
Won
2/10
Scored
9/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
7/10
Over 2.5
8/10
BTTS
8/10
Corinthians
CHADFLADFLULINTLPALDVITDVASWMirasLPAUWBOTL
Won
2/10
Scored
6/10
Scored 2+
1/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
5/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (Bahia 0.93 xGA, Corinthians 0.96 xGA) — tactical stalemate likely
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Period Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Bahia
Home
Corinthians
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Second half: Bahia is stronger (12 vs 7).
- Final stage: Bahia is stronger in the closing minutes (7 vs 2).
Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
5
0.25
8
0.40
First Half (0–45)
9
0.45
12
0.60
Second Half (46–90)
7
0.35
7
0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
2
0.10
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Home +0.373
Strong
Pressure
Home +0.045
Weak
Timing
Home +0.010
Weak
Defense
Home +0.038
Weak
Momentum
Bahia
Metric
Corinthians
6
Positive Sequences
2
9
Comeback Goals
3
0
Negative Sequences
1
6
Killer Goals
10
Pressure
Bahia
Metric
Corinthians
3
Early Pressure
5
7
Late Pressure
2
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Bahia
Metric
Corinthians
3
Fast Starts
5
5
Half-time Spurts
4
5
Second Half Starts
5
7
Late Surges
2
Defense
Bahia
Metric
Corinthians
0
Early Conceded
2
5
Late Conceded
6
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Second half winner: high probability of Bahia winning the second half.
- Late goals: Bahia excels after the 75th minute.
- Match outcome: Bahia holds the overall timing advantage.
Summary
Bahia
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Corinthians
Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Final advice
Bahia is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.
Bahia vs Corinthians Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings (all competitions)
2
Bahia
1
Draws
0
Corinthians
8
Played
8
25% 2-4-2
Win Rate
13% 1-4-3
52
Form Index
40
6.92
Team Rating
6.69
68
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Corinthians
Results
81
19
Attack
100
0
Defense
59
41
Control
54
46
Discipline
52
48
Efficiency
62
38
Average
68
32
32
Attack
1.50
Goals
0.75
1.44
Expected Goals
0.49
13.8
Shots
9.3
5.6
Shots on Target
2.1
5.4
Corners
3.9
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1.25
1.04
Expected Goals Against
1.08
10.9
Shots Allowed
13.1
+0.38
Goal Difference
-0.50
25%
Clean Sheets
38%
Possession & Passing
55%
Possession
53%
86%
Pass Accuracy
83%
436
Passes
412
376
Accurate Passes
343
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
2.63
0.13
Red Cards
0.13
15.4
Fouls
11.9
1.4
Offsides
1.6
Efficiency
1.25
PPG
0.88
+0.06
Goals vs xG
+0.27
11%
Shot Conversion
8%
77%
Save %
78%
8
Played
8
25% 2-4-2
Win Rate
38% 3-2-3
52
Form Index
51
6.92
Team Rating
6.91
58
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Corinthians
Results
33
67
Attack
85
15
Defense
36
64
Control
57
43
Discipline
72
28
Efficiency
66
34
Average
58
42
42
Attack
1.50
Goals
1
1.44
Expected Goals
0.98
13.8
Shots
12
5.6
Shots on Target
3.8
5.4
Corners
5
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1
1.04
Expected Goals Against
0.80
10.9
Shots Allowed
9.9
+0.38
Goal Difference
0
25%
Clean Sheets
38%
Possession & Passing
55%
Possession
54%
86%
Pass Accuracy
84%
436
Passes
398
376
Accurate Passes
333
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
2.50
0.13
Red Cards
0.38
15.4
Fouls
15.4
1.4
Offsides
1.6
Efficiency
1.25
PPG
1.38
+0.06
Goals vs xG
+0.02
11%
Shot Conversion
8%
77%
Save %
86%
8
Played
8
50% 4-1-3
Win Rate
13% 1-4-3
50
Form Index
40
6.81
Team Rating
6.69
63
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Corinthians
Results
79
21
Attack
95
5
Defense
23
77
Control
50
50
Discipline
56
44
Efficiency
75
25
Average
63
37
37
Attack
1.38
Goals
0.75
1.11
Expected Goals
0.49
11.9
Shots
9.3
4.3
Shots on Target
2.1
4.9
Corners
3.9
Defense
1.63
Conceded
1.25
1.57
Expected Goals Against
1.08
17.1
Shots Allowed
13.1
-0.25
Goal Difference
-0.50
25%
Clean Sheets
38%
Possession & Passing
52%
Possession
53%
84%
Pass Accuracy
83%
421
Passes
412
355
Accurate Passes
343
Discipline
2.38
Yellow Cards
2.63
0.13
Red Cards
0.13
13.1
Fouls
11.9
1.4
Offsides
1.6
Efficiency
1.63
PPG
0.88
+0.27
Goals vs xG
+0.27
12%
Shot Conversion
8%
76%
Save %
78%
16
Played
16
38% 6-5-5
Win Rate
25% 4-6-6
45
Form Index
46
6.87
Team Rating
6.80
64
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Corinthians
Results
67
33
Attack
90
10
Defense
28
72
Control
53
47
Discipline
71
29
Efficiency
75
25
Average
64
36
36
Attack
1.44
Goals
0.88
1.27
Expected Goals
0.73
12.8
Shots
10.6
4.9
Shots on Target
2.9
5.1
Corners
4.4
Defense
1.38
Conceded
1.13
1.30
Expected Goals Against
0.94
14
Shots Allowed
11.5
+0.06
Goal Difference
-0.25
25%
Clean Sheets
38%
Possession & Passing
53%
Possession
54%
85%
Pass Accuracy
83%
428
Passes
405
365
Accurate Passes
338
Discipline
2.31
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.13
Red Cards
0.25
14.3
Fouls
13.6
1.4
Offsides
1.6
Efficiency
1.44
PPG
1.13
+0.16
Goals vs xG
+0.14
11%
Shot Conversion
8%
76%
Save %
82%
3
Played
3
67% 2-1-0
Win Rate
0% 0-1-2
—
Form Index
—
7.01
Team Rating
6.99
50
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Bahia
Corinthians
Results
75
25
Attack
35
65
Defense
55
45
Control
10
90
Discipline
32
68
Efficiency
94
6
Average
50
50
50
Attack
1.67
Goals
1
1.34
Expected Goals
1.58
11
Shots
17
5.3
Shots on Target
5.3
3.3
Corners
6
Defense
1
Conceded
1.67
1.58
Expected Goals Against
1.34
17
Shots Allowed
11
+0.67
Goal Difference
-0.67
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
39%
Possession
61%
81%
Pass Accuracy
88%
331
Passes
509
270
Accurate Passes
451
Discipline
4
Yellow Cards
2.33
0.67
Red Cards
0
17
Fouls
14.7
0.7
Offsides
3.3
Efficiency
2.33
PPG
0.33
+0.33
Goals vs xG
-0.58
15%
Shot Conversion
6%
81%
Save %
69%
Bahia vs Corinthians: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bahia and away matches for Corinthians
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
1X2
Bahia
Corinthians
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Bahia
Corinthians
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Bahia
Corinthians
0-1
0%
0
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Bahia
Corinthians
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Bahia
Corinthians
xG
1.25
0.77
xGa
1.23
0.78
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Bahia
Corinthians
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Bahia
Corinthians
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Bahia
Corinthians
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Bahia
Corinthians
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
60%
6
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Bahia
Corinthians
12
80%
8
40%
4
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Bahia
Corinthians
0-1
30%
3
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1.38
Expected goals
0.72
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Bahia will take on Corinthians as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-26 at 2026-07-26 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bahia, and the visiting side, Corinthians. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-07-26
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.