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Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Bahia
Bahia
8th place
Form
VS
20:00
26 Jul 2026
Corinthians
Corinthians
17th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Bahia vs Corinthians: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 July, 2026 15:00

Winner (1x2)-
Bahia to Win
Probability 62%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 55%
Bahia Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 73%
Corinthians Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 96%
Double Chance-
Bahia/Draw
Probability 85%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:00
Bahia W 62%
:
Corinthians W 15%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Bahia
d d l d l
8 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (110 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (41% acc)
Corners
5.4 (43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.4 (123 total)
Offsides
1.4 (11 total)
8 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (11 total)
xG
1.10 (8.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (95 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.1 (105 total)
Offsides
1.4 (11 total)
16 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (23 total)
xG
1.30 (20.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (205 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (39% acc)
Corners
5.1 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.3 (228 total)
Offsides
1.4 (22 total)
Corinthians
d w l w l
8 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (8 total)
xG
1.00 (7.8 total)
Shots per Match
12 (96 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (31% acc)
Corners
5 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (3 total)
Fouls
15.4 (123 total)
Offsides
1.6 (13 total)
8 Played
1 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (6 total)
xG
0.50 (3.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (74 total)
Shots on Target
2.1 (23% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.9 (95 total)
Offsides
1.6 (13 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
6 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (14 total)
xG
0.70 (11.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (170 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (28% acc)
Corners
4.4 (71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (218 total)
Offsides
1.6 (26 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.80 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.52%
0:1
5.35%
0:2
1.5%
0:3
0.28%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.54%
🔥
1:1
10.33%
1:2
3.35%
1:3
0.71%
1:4
0.11%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.68%
2:1
9.74%
2:2
3.6%
2:3
0.86%
2:4
0.15%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
6.9%
3:1
6.01%
3:2
2.51%
3:3
0.67%
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
2.82%
4:1
2.74%
4:2
1.27%
4:3
0.38%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.92%
5:1
0.99%
5:2
0.51%
5:3
0.17%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (15.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.5%
0
20.9%
1
24.5%
2
20.3%
3
13.2%
4
7.1%
5
3.1%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BahiaHDPCorinthians
16.9%
Very Low
-2.5
0.7%
Very Low
26.7%
Low
-2
2.2%
Very Low
36.6%
Low
-1.5
3.7%
Very Low
49.8%
Medium
-1
8.9%
Very Low
63.1%
High
-0.5
14.1%
Very Low
85.9%
Very High
+0.5
36.9%
Low
91.1%
Very High
+1
50.2%
Medium
96.3%
Very High
+1.5
63.4%
High
97.8%
Very High
+2
73.3%
High
99.3%
Very High
+2.5
83.1%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

BahiaOutcomeCorinthians
53.7%
Medium
Over 1.5
16.6%
Very Low
46.3%
Medium
Under 1.5
83.4%
Very High
26.9%
Low
Over 2.5
3.8%
Very Low
73.1%
High
Under 2.5
96.2%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bahia vs Corinthians Sunday, Jul 26th, 2026 at 15:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Bahia vs Corinthians Football 26 Jul, 2026 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Corinthians convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

🎯 Betting Analysis

Bahia vs Corinthians

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Bahia is stronger in the second half (12 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Bahia is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Bahia

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Corinthians

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Bahia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Corinthians - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Bahia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Corinthians - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bahia shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Bahia winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bahia excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 2 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bahia scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Bahia has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Bahia handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.373
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bahia):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Corinthians):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Bahia
Corinthians

Bahia vs Corinthians Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Jul, 2026 @ 15:00 Serie A BR

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Bahia
VS
Corinthians
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5)
1 (3)
xG
1.30
1.60
Shots
11 (33)
17 (51)
Shots on Target
5.3 (16)
5.3 (16)
Corners
3.3 (10)
6 (18)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
1.7 (5)
xGa
1.60
1.30
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 (10)
2.3 (7)
Red Cards
0.7 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
17 (51)
14.7 (44)
Offsides
0.7 (2)
3.3 (10)
28 Jan
- 23:00
Corinthians
Bahia
1.69
xG
1.58
1
2
17 Aug
- 00:00
Corinthians
Bahia
2.26
xG
1.05
1
2
30 Mar
- 23:00
Bahia
Corinthians
1.39
xG
0.79
1
1
Last 6 Matches
Bahia
VS
Corinthians
0/6 (0%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.50 PPG 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
83% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.18 Avg xG 0.69
Bahia
D D L D L
Serie A BR 2026
25 May 2026 - 23:00
Coritiba
3 2
Bahia
Serie A BR 2026
17 May 2026 - 19:00
Bahia
1 1
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
10 May 2026 - 00:00
Bahia
1 2
Cruzeiro
Serie A BR 2026
3 May 2026 - 19:00
Sao Paulo
2 2
Bahia
Serie A BR 2026
25 Apr 2026 - 21:30
Bahia
2 2
Santos
Serie A BR 2026
19 Apr 2026 - 22:30
Flamengo
2 0
Bahia
Corinthians
D W L W L
Serie A BR 2026
17 May 2026 - 19:00
Botafogo
3 1
Corinthians
Serie A BR 2026
10 May 2026 - 21:30
Corinthians
3 2
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
3 May 2026 - 23:30
Mirassol
2 1
Corinthians
Serie A BR 2026
26 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Corinthians
1 0
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A BR 2026
18 Apr 2026 - 23:00
Vitoria
0 0
Corinthians
Serie A BR 2026
12 Apr 2026 - 21:30
Corinthians
0 0
Palmeiras

Bahia vs Corinthians: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bahia and away matches for Corinthians

Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
80% 8
50% 5
No
20% 2
50% 5
1X2
Bahia
Corinthians
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Bahia
Corinthians
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Bahia
Corinthians
0-1
0% 0
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
40% 4
30% 3
Total Corners
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Bahia
Corinthians
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Bahia
Corinthians
xG
1.25
0.77
xGa
1.23
0.78
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Bahia
Corinthians
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Bahia
Corinthians
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Bahia
Corinthians
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Corinthians
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Bahia
Corinthians
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Bahia
Corinthians
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Bahia
Corinthians
0-1
30% 3
80% 8
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Corinthians
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1.77 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Bahia will take on Corinthians as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-26 at 2026-07-26 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bahia, and the visiting side, Corinthians. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-26 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!