Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Bahia
Bahia
Form
VS
20:30
30 May 2026
Botafogo
Botafogo
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Botafogo
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Bahia vs Botafogo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 30 May, 2026 13:30

Winner (1x2)-
Bahia to Win
Probability 45%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 66%
Bahia Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 71%
Botafogo Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 81%
Double Chance-
Bahia/Draw
Probability 68%
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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:30
Bahia W 37%
:
Botafogo W 37%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.87 vs 1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.58%
0:1
5.63%
0:2
3.47%
0:3
1.42%
0:4
0.44%
0:5
0.11%
1
1:0
7.42%
1:1
10.27%
🔥
1:2
7.02%
1:3
3.17%
1:4
1.06%
1:5
0.28%
2
2:0
6.01%
2:1
9.25%
2:2
6.97%
2:3
3.44%
2:4
1.26%
2:5
0.36%
3
3:0
3.25%
3:1
5.49%
3:2
4.53%
3:3
2.44%
3:4
0.97%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
1.32%
4:1
2.43%
4:2
2.18%
4:3
1.27%
4:4
0.54%
4:5
0.18%
5
5:0
0.43%
5:1
0.85%
5:2
0.83%
5:3
0.52%
5:4
0.24%
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.6%
0
13.0%
1
19.7%
2
20.9%
3
17.4%
4
12.0%
5
7.0%
6
3.4%
7
1.4%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BahiaHDPBotafogo
11.3%
Very Low
-2.5
4.9%
Very Low
18.4%
Very Low
-2
9.2%
Very Low
25.5%
Low
-1.5
13.6%
Very Low
36.2%
Low
-1
21.9%
Low
46.8%
Medium
-0.5
30.3%
Low
69.7%
High
+0.5
53.2%
Medium
78.1%
High
+1
63.8%
High
86.4%
Very High
+1.5
74.5%
High
90.8%
Very High
+2
81.6%
Very High
95.1%
Very High
+2.5
88.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

BahiaOutcomeBotafogo
55.8%
Medium
Over 1.5
43.6%
Medium
44.2%
Medium
Under 1.5
56.5%
Medium
28.8%
Low
Over 2.5
18.6%
Very Low
71.2%
High
Under 2.5
81.4%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bahia vs Botafogo Saturday, May 30th, 2026 at 13:30 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Bahia vs Botafogo Football 30 May, 2026 13:30

Team Form Comparison

Bahia Home
Form Index 56
Goals 8:7
PPG 1.00
Botafogo Away
Form Index 50
Goals 10:8
PPG 2.00
ATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
BRAWATLLVASWCHAWATLD
1/5
Won
3/5
5/5
Scored
5/5
2/5
Scored 2+
3/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
4/5
BTTS
5/5

Bahia

ATLWPALLSANDCRULGRED
Won 1/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5

Botafogo

BRAWATLLVASWCHAWATLD
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 5/5
Head-to-Head · Last 2
BTTS 1/2
Over 2.5 1/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Botafogo score in 2nd half 100% of away matches — expect late goals

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Bahia rarely concede quality chances (0.93 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Bahia Home
Botafogo Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Botafogo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
  • First half: Botafogo is stronger (14 vs 8).
  • Second half: Botafogo is stronger (23 vs 12).
  • Final stage: Botafogo is stronger in the closing minutes (11 vs 7).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.40 factor
Home Pressure 0.11 Away 0.23

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
9 0.45
8 0.40
First Half (0–45)
14 0.70
12 0.60
Second Half (46–90)
23 1.15
7 0.35
Final Stage (76–90)
11 0.55

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.184 Strong
Pressure Away +0.118 Strong
Timing Away +0.043 Weak
Defense Home +0.120 Strong

Momentum

Bahia Metric Botafogo
6 Positive Sequences 8
9 Comeback Goals 9
0 Negative Sequences 4
6 Killer Goals 18

Pressure

Bahia Metric Botafogo
3 Early Pressure 9
7 Late Pressure 11
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Bahia Metric Botafogo
3 Fast Starts 9
5 Half-time Spurts 5
5 Second Half Starts 12
7 Late Surges 11

Defense

Bahia Metric Botafogo
0 Early Conceded 6
5 Late Conceded 9
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Away fast start: Botafogo often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
  • First goal: high probability of Botafogo scoring first.
  • First half result: consider Botafogo to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Botafogo winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Botafogo excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Botafogo holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Bahia

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Botafogo

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Botafogo has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Bahia
Botafogo

Bahia vs Botafogo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 30 May, 2026 @ 13:30 Serie A BR

8 Played 8
25% 2-4-2 Win Rate 38% 3-1-4
52 Form Index 50
6.92 Team Rating 6.77
56 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Bahia Botafogo Results 34 66 Attack 79 21 Defense 98 2 Control 65 35 Discipline 29 71 Efficiency 30 70 Average 56 44 44

Attack

1.50
Goals
1.75
1.44
Expected Goals
0.97
13.8
Shots
10.9
5.6
Shots on Target
4.6
5.4
Corners
3.4

Defense

1.13
Conceded
2
1.04
Expected Goals Against
1.56
10.9
Shots Allowed
13.9
+0.38
Goal Difference
-0.25
25%
Clean Sheets
0%

Possession & Passing

55%
Possession
49%
86%
Pass Accuracy
83%
436
Passes
383
376
Accurate Passes
317

Discipline

2.25
Yellow Cards
2.50
0.13
Red Cards
0.13
15.4
Fouls
11.4
1.4
Offsides
0.5

Efficiency

1.25
PPG
1.25
+0.06
Goals vs xG
+0.78
11%
Shot Conversion
16%
77%
Save %
67%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Botafogo
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Bahia vs Botafogo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bahia and away matches for Botafogo

Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Botafogo
Yes
80% 8
100% 10
No
20% 2
0% 0
1X2
Bahia
Botafogo
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Bahia
Botafogo
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Bahia
Botafogo
0-1
0% 0
0% 0
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
40% 4
60% 6
Total Corners
Bahia
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Botafogo
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
Bahia
Botafogo
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Bahia
Botafogo
xG
1.25
1.3
xGa
1.23
1.11
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Botafogo
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2
Bahia
Botafogo
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Bahia
Botafogo
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Bahia
Botafogo
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Botafogo
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
Number of goals
Bahia
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bahia
Botafogo
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Bahia
Botafogo
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Bahia
Botafogo
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
40% 4
Total Goals
Bahia
Botafogo
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Bahia
Botafogo
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1.36 Expected goals 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Bahia will take on Botafogo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-30 at 2026-05-30 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bahia, and the visiting side, Botafogo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Botafogo. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-30 Time: 20:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!