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AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 11:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
20
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(45 total)
xG
1.80
(36.4 total)
Shots per Match
16.5
(330 total)
Shots on Target
6.3
(38% acc)
Corners
6.2
(123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10
(200 total)
Offsides
1.7
(33 total)
22
Played
10
Wins
1
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(29 total)
xG
1.40
(31.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(298 total)
Shots on Target
5
(37% acc)
Corners
4.8
(105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.1
(245 total)
Offsides
0.9
(19 total)
42
Played
22
Wins
7
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(74 total)
xG
1.60
(67.4 total)
Shots per Match
15
(628 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(38% acc)
Corners
5.4
(228 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
15
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.6
(445 total)
Offsides
1.2
(52 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(23 total)
xG
1.50
(21.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.1
(211 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(30% acc)
Corners
5
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(167 total)
Offsides
1.6
(23 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(20 total)
xG
1.00
(13.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(147 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(44% acc)
Corners
3.7
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.5
(175 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
28
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(43 total)
xG
1.20
(34.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(358 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(36% acc)
Corners
4.4
(122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
12.2
(342 total)
Offsides
1.5
(42 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.29 vs 1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.3%
0:1
1.53%
0:2
0.91%
0:3
0.36%
0:4
0.11%
⭐
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
3.97%
1:1
4.99%
1:2
3.12%
1:3
1.3%
⭐
1:4
0.4%
⭐
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
6.08%
2:1
8.09%
2:2
5.35%
2:3
2.34%
⭐
2:4
0.77%
⭐
2:5
0.2%
⭐
3
3:0
6.2%
3:1
8.72%
🔥
3:2
6.07%
⭐
3:3
2.8%
⭐
3:4
0.96%
⭐
3:5
0.26%
4
4:0
4.75%
4:1
7.02%
⭐
4:2
5.15%
⭐
4:3
2.49%
⭐
4:4
0.9%
⭐
4:5
0.26%
5
5:0
2.91%
5:1
4.52%
⭐
5:2
3.47%
⭐
5:3
1.76%
⭐
5:4
0.66%
⭐
5:5
0.2%
Hotspot:
3:1 (8.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on Fortuna Sittard as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous AFAS Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, Fortuna Sittard. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-04
Time: 16:45
Location: AFAS Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Saturday, Apr 4th, 2026 at 11:45 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Football 4 Apr, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard.
🏆 Match Winner — AZ Alkmaar @ 1.38 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar
High xG PerformanceH2H
AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 5 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 5100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends16 / 16100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AZ Alkmaar demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.68 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
AZ Alkmaar score (2.57/match) and concede (2.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.47 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 2.6 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — AZ Alkmaar Win or Draw @ 1.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.34 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar
Above League AverageLeague
AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 775%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AZ Alkmaar's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 Trends — avg 2 (+23% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
AZ Alkmaar average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+39% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends16 / 1690%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFortuna Sittard3 Trends — avg 2.1 (+29% above league)Many CardsH2H
Fortuna Sittard receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Fortuna Sittard average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+37% above league avg 1.8) — rank #2 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 1790%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Fortuna Sittard receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1776%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar2 Trends — avg 6.7 (+31% above league)Corner DominanceH2H
AZ Alkmaar dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CornersLeague
AZ Alkmaar average 6.7 corners/match at home (+31% above league avg 5.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 785%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFortuna Sittard1 Trends — avg 3.9 (-24% below league)Few CornersH2H
Fortuna Sittard win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AZ Alkmaar drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Fortuna Sittard is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the second half (15 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the second half (15 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.18
✈️ Fortuna Sittard
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.2
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Fortuna Sittard - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Fortuna Sittard - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
16
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Fortuna Sittard often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 6)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Fortuna Sittard scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: AZ Alkmaar shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of AZ Alkmaar winning the second half
- Overall Result: AZ Alkmaar has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider AZ Alkmaar handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.018
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Fortuna Sittard):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 11:45 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Fortuna Sittard
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (10)
1.2 (6)
xG
2.00
1.30
Shots
15.2 (76)
11 (55)
Shots on Target
6 (30)
3.8 (19)
Corners
6.6 (33)
2.8 (14)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (6)
2 (10)
xGa
1.30
2.00
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 (6)
2.8 (14)
Fouls
11.2 (56)
12.6 (63)
Offsides
0.8 (4)
1.4 (7)
Last 6 Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Fortuna Sittard
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.50
PPG
1.50
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.33
33%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
2.22
Avg xG
1.86
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for Fortuna Sittard
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
40%
4
100%
10
No
60%
6
0%
0
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
0%
0
10%
1
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
12
100%
10
90%
9
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
10%
1
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
xG
1.81
1.38
xGa
1.13
1.79
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
10%
1
60%
6
No
90%
9
40%
4
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
60%
6
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
2.89
xG
1.19
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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