Form
Form
Eredivisie 2026-2027 • Matchweek 27
Preview
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1st place
Form
VS
16:00
21 Mar 2027
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 21 March, 2027 11:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16:00
AZ Alkmaar W 49%
:
Excelsior W 27%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

Eredivisie 2026-2027

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar
w w w
>
3
3
0
0
8
1
7
9
2
3
2
1
0
9
4
5
7

9
Heerenveen
w d l
>
3
1
1
1
3
4
-1
4
10
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3
11
2
1
0
1
5
3
2
3

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Sunday, Mar 21st, 2027 at 11:00 Football

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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

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Trends for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Football 21 Mar, 2027 11:00

Team Form Comparison

AZ Alkmaar Home
Form Index 65
Goals 12:7
PPG 1.80
Excelsior Away
Form Index 59
Goals 13:7
PPG 2.20
HEEWSHADTWEDBREDHAAW
HERDZWODGROWSPAWCAMW
2/5
Won
3/5
5/5
Scored
5/5
5/5
Scored 2+
4/5
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
3/5
BTTS
4/5

AZ Alkmaar

HEEWSHADTWEDBREDHAAW
Won 2/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 5/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 3/5

Excelsior

HERDZWODGROWSPAWCAMW
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 4/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 3/3
Over 2.5 1/3
AZ Alkmaar unbeaten 3/3

ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

AZ Alkmaar Home
Excelsior Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4).
  • First half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger (15 vs 10).
  • Second half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger (17 vs 12).
  • Final stage: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the closing minutes (13 vs 4).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.27 factor
Home Pressure 0.25 Away 0.07

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
10 0.50
Fast Start (0–15)
4 0.20
15 0.75
First Half (0–45)
10 0.50
17 0.85
Second Half (46–90)
12 0.60
13 0.65
Final Stage (76–90)
4 0.20

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.039 Weak
Pressure Home +0.181 Strong
Timing Home +0.025 Weak
Defense Home +0.008 Weak

Momentum

AZ Alkmaar Metric Excelsior
9 Positive Sequences 5
6 Comeback Goals 10
4 Negative Sequences 2
6 Killer Goals 9

Pressure

AZ Alkmaar Metric Excelsior
10 Early Pressure 4
13 Late Pressure 4
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

AZ Alkmaar Metric Excelsior
10 Fast Starts 4
5 Half-time Spurts 6
4 Second Half Starts 8
13 Late Surges 4

Defense

AZ Alkmaar Metric Excelsior
3 Early Conceded 3
5 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Home fast start: AZ Alkmaar often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4).
  • First goal: high probability of AZ Alkmaar scoring first.
  • First half result: consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of AZ Alkmaar winning the second half.
  • Late goals: AZ Alkmaar excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: AZ Alkmaar holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

AZ Alkmaar

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Excelsior

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.

AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Head-to-head statistics for Sun 21 Mar, 2027 @ 11:00 Eredivisie

1 Played 1
100% 1-0-0 Win Rate 100% 1-0-0
Form Index
7.24 Team Rating 7.55
39 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. AZ Alkmaar Excelsior Results 49 51 Attack 16 84 Defense 32 68 Control 55 45 Discipline 45 55 Efficiency 38 62 Average 39 61 61

Attack

2
Goals
4
2.67
Expected Goals
3.35
12
Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
9
9
Corners
8

Defense

0
Conceded
0
0.95
Expected Goals Against
0.70
10
Shots Allowed
11
+2
Goal Difference
+4
100%
Clean Sheets
100%

Possession & Passing

53%
Possession
53%
82%
Pass Accuracy
82%
470
Passes
430
387
Accurate Passes
354

Discipline

0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
9
Fouls
11
4
Offsides
1

Efficiency

3
PPG
3
-0.67
Goals vs xG
+0.65
17%
Shot Conversion
22%
100%
Save %
50%
Team comparison

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for Excelsior

Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
40% 4
50% 5
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
60% 6
40% 4
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
xG
1.77
1.57
xGa
0.95
1.69
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
100% 10
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Yes
90% 9
40% 4
No
10% 1
60% 6
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
30% 3
10% 1
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1.70 Expected goals 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found
In this exciting Eredivisie 2026-2027 matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on Excelsior as part of the 2026-2027 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2027-03-21 at 2027-03-21 in the famous AFAS Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, Excelsior. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2027-03-21 Time: 16:00 Location: AFAS Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!