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Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 7 October, 2026 13:00
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Trends for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Football 7 Oct, 2026 13:00
Team Form Comparison
Atletico Paranaense
Home
Form Index
67
Goals
10:3
PPG
2.20
Atletico-MG
Away
Form Index
43
Goals
7:5
PPG
1.20
BOTWCHAWVITWGREDFLAD
FLULCHAWSANLCORLCRUW
3/5
Won
2/5
4/5
Scored
2/5
3/5
Scored 2+
2/5
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
3/5
BTTS
1/5
Atletico Paranaense
BOTWCHAWVITWGREDFLAD
Won
3/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
Over 2.5
2/5
BTTS
3/5
Atletico-MG
FLULCHAWSANLCORLCRUW
Won
2/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
BTTS
1/5
Atletico Paranaense
Home
Form Index
67
Goals
16:6
PPG
2.22
Atletico-MG
Away
Form Index
43
Goals
8:13
PPG
0.60
SANWCORLCRUWCORWBOTWCHAWVITWGREDFLAD
BRALFORLBRALGRELVITLFLULCHAWSANLCORLCRUW
6/9
Won
2/10
7/9
Scored
3/10
6/9
Scored 2+
2/10
3/9
Clean sheet
1/10
0/9
Conceded 2+
4/10
4/9
Over 2.5
3/10
5/9
BTTS
2/10
Atletico Paranaense
SANWCORLCRUWCORWBOTWCHAWVITWGREDFLAD
Won
6/9
Scored
7/9
Scored 2+
6/9
Clean sheet
3/9
Conceded 2+
0/9
Over 2.5
4/9
BTTS
5/9
Atletico-MG
BRALFORLBRALGRELVITLFLULCHAWSANLCORLCRUW
Won
2/10
Scored
3/10
Scored 2+
2/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
Over 2.5
3/10
BTTS
2/10
Atletico Paranaense
Home team
Form Index
53
Goals
4:4
PPG
1.00
Atletico-MG
Away team
Form Index
54
Goals
7:9
PPG
1.40
PALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
CORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
1/5
Won
2/5
2/5
Scored
3/5
1/5
Scored 2+
2/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
2/5
BTTS
3/5
Atletico Paranaense
PALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
Won
1/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
Over 2.5
1/5
BTTS
2/5
Atletico-MG
CORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
Won
2/5
Scored
3/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
3/5
Atletico Paranaense
Home team
Form Index
53
Goals
13:10
PPG
1.40
Atletico-MG
Away team
Form Index
54
Goals
14:12
PPG
1.60
CORWBOTWBAHLATLLCHAWPALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
PAUWFLULCHAWATLWSANLCORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
4/10
Won
5/10
6/10
Scored
6/10
4/10
Scored 2+
4/10
3/10
Clean sheet
2/10
2/10
Conceded 2+
2/10
4/10
Over 2.5
5/10
4/10
BTTS
4/10
Atletico Paranaense
CORWBOTWBAHLATLLCHAWPALLVITWGREDVASLFLAD
Won
4/10
Scored
6/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
3/10
Conceded 2+
2/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
4/10
Atletico-MG
PAUWFLULCHAWATLWSANLCORLFLALCRUWBOTDMirasW
Won
5/10
Scored
6/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
2/10
Conceded 2+
2/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
4/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Atletico Paranaense have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Suppression
Atletico Paranaense rarely concede quality chances (0.80 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Atletico Paranaense
Home
Atletico-MG
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Match start: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
- First half: Atletico Paranaense is stronger (15 vs 8).
- Final stage: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the closing minutes (8 vs 5).
Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
9
0.56
Fast Start (0–15)
3
0.15
15
0.94
First Half (0–45)
8
0.40
11
0.69
Second Half (46–90)
8
0.40
8
0.50
Final Stage (76–90)
5
0.25
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Home +0.185
Strong
Pressure
Home +0.180
Strong
Timing
Home +0.041
Weak
Defense
Home +0.047
Weak
Momentum
Atletico Paranaense
Metric
Atletico-MG
3
Positive Sequences
1
2
Comeback Goals
3
0
Negative Sequences
3
7
Killer Goals
8
Pressure
Atletico Paranaense
Metric
Atletico-MG
9
Early Pressure
3
8
Late Pressure
5
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Atletico Paranaense
Metric
Atletico-MG
9
Fast Starts
3
6
Half-time Spurts
5
3
Second Half Starts
3
8
Late Surges
5
Defense
Atletico Paranaense
Metric
Atletico-MG
2
Early Conceded
3
3
Late Conceded
9
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Home fast start: Atletico Paranaense often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
- First goal: high probability of Atletico Paranaense scoring first.
- First half result: consider Atletico Paranaense to win the first half.
- Late goals: Atletico Paranaense excels after the 75th minute.
- Match outcome: Atletico Paranaense holds the overall timing advantage.
Summary
Atletico Paranaense
Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Atletico-MG
Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.
Final advice
Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Head-to-head statistics for Wed 7 Oct, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 1 meetings (all competitions)
0
Atletico Paranaense
0
Draws
1
Atletico-MG
9
Played
8
67% 6-2-1
Win Rate
25% 2-0-6
67
Form Index
47
6.93
Team Rating
6.75
74
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Results
83
17
Attack
82
18
Defense
100
0
Control
44
56
Discipline
43
57
Efficiency
93
7
Average
74
26
26
Attack
1.78
Goals
1
1.52
Expected Goals
1.05
13.1
Shots
12.5
5.8
Shots on Target
4.1
5.9
Corners
5.5
Defense
0.67
Conceded
1.25
0.69
Expected Goals Against
1.11
8.2
Shots Allowed
14
+1.11
Goal Difference
-0.25
33%
Clean Sheets
13%
Possession & Passing
51%
Possession
52%
83%
Pass Accuracy
83%
372
Passes
408
309
Accurate Passes
340
Discipline
2.11
Yellow Cards
2.25
0.11
Red Cards
0.38
14.3
Fouls
10.9
1.4
Offsides
1.1
Efficiency
2.22
PPG
0.75
+0.26
Goals vs xG
-0.05
14%
Shot Conversion
8%
75%
Save %
64%
9
Played
8
67% 6-2-1
Win Rate
50% 4-3-1
67
Form Index
55
6.93
Team Rating
6.85
63
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Results
76
24
Attack
65
35
Defense
99
1
Control
53
47
Discipline
27
73
Efficiency
59
41
Average
63
37
37
Attack
1.78
Goals
1.63
1.52
Expected Goals
1.31
13.1
Shots
14.6
5.8
Shots on Target
5.1
5.9
Corners
4.6
Defense
0.67
Conceded
1.50
0.69
Expected Goals Against
1.35
8.2
Shots Allowed
13.4
+1.11
Goal Difference
+0.13
33%
Clean Sheets
25%
Possession & Passing
51%
Possession
47%
83%
Pass Accuracy
85%
372
Passes
380
309
Accurate Passes
321
Discipline
2.11
Yellow Cards
1
0.11
Red Cards
0
14.3
Fouls
11.1
1.4
Offsides
2.6
Efficiency
2.22
PPG
1.88
+0.26
Goals vs xG
+0.32
14%
Shot Conversion
11%
75%
Save %
68%
7
Played
8
14% 1-1-5
Win Rate
25% 2-0-6
36
Form Index
47
6.73
Team Rating
6.75
31
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Results
19
81
Attack
2
98
Defense
30
70
Control
31
69
Discipline
52
48
Efficiency
50
50
Average
31
69
69
Attack
0.71
Goals
1
0.64
Expected Goals
1.05
9.6
Shots
12.5
3.1
Shots on Target
4.1
3.3
Corners
5.5
Defense
1.57
Conceded
1.25
1.36
Expected Goals Against
1.11
13.7
Shots Allowed
14
-0.86
Goal Difference
-0.25
14%
Clean Sheets
13%
Possession & Passing
43%
Possession
52%
83%
Pass Accuracy
83%
347
Passes
408
289
Accurate Passes
340
Discipline
2
Yellow Cards
2.25
0.14
Red Cards
0.38
13.9
Fouls
10.9
1.3
Offsides
1.1
Efficiency
0.57
PPG
0.75
+0.07
Goals vs xG
-0.05
7%
Shot Conversion
8%
68%
Save %
64%
16
Played
16
44% 7-3-6
Win Rate
38% 6-3-7
53
Form Index
54
6.85
Team Rating
6.80
61
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Results
58
42
Attack
44
56
Defense
93
7
Control
44
56
Discipline
55
45
Efficiency
73
27
Average
61
39
39
Attack
1.31
Goals
1.31
1.14
Expected Goals
1.18
11.6
Shots
13.6
4.6
Shots on Target
4.6
4.8
Corners
5.1
Defense
1.06
Conceded
1.38
0.98
Expected Goals Against
1.23
10.6
Shots Allowed
13.7
+0.25
Goal Difference
-0.06
25%
Clean Sheets
19%
Possession & Passing
48%
Possession
49%
83%
Pass Accuracy
84%
361
Passes
394
300
Accurate Passes
331
Discipline
2.06
Yellow Cards
1.63
0.13
Red Cards
0.19
14.1
Fouls
11
1.4
Offsides
1.9
Efficiency
1.50
PPG
1.31
+0.17
Goals vs xG
+0.13
11%
Shot Conversion
10%
70%
Save %
66%
1
Played
1
0% 0-0-1
Win Rate
100% 1-0-0
—
Form Index
—
6.69
Team Rating
7.01
26
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Results
23
77
Attack
23
77
Defense
13
87
Control
50
50
Discipline
38
62
Efficiency
12
88
Average
26
74
74
Attack
1
Goals
2
0.42
Expected Goals
1.27
12
Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
5
8
Corners
2
Defense
2
Conceded
1
1.27
Expected Goals Against
0.42
15
Shots Allowed
12
-1
Goal Difference
+1
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
50%
90%
Pass Accuracy
90%
462
Passes
477
414
Accurate Passes
428
Discipline
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
13
Fouls
9
0
Offsides
3
Efficiency
0
PPG
3
+0.58
Goals vs xG
+0.73
8%
Shot Conversion
13%
60%
Save %
67%
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico Paranaense and away matches for Atletico-MG
Number of goals
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
xG
1.02
1.31
xGa
0.91
1.17
Number of goals
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1.56
Expected goals
0.79
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Atletico Paranaense will take on Atletico-MG as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-10-07 at 2026-10-07 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico Paranaense, and the visiting side, Atletico-MG. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-10-07
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
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eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.