Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
Form
VS
20:00
22 Jul 2026
Bahia
Bahia
Form
Match Info -
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Atletico-MG vs Bahia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 22 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Atletico-MG to Win
Probability 65%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 68%
Atletico-MG Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 72%
Bahia Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 85%
Double Chance-
Atletico-MG/Draw
Probability 83%
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
• 20:00
Atletico-MG W 52%
:
Bahia W 24%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.54 vs 1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.87%
⭐
0:1
3.04%
⭐
0:2
1.61%
0:3
0.57%
0:4
0.15%
⭐
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
6.57%
1:1
7.68%
⭐
1:2
4.44%
⭐
1:3
1.7%
⭐
1:4
0.49%
⭐
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
7.52%
2:1
9.61%
🔥
⭐
2:2
6.05%
⭐
2:3
2.51%
2:4
0.77%
2:5
0.19%
⭐
3
3:0
5.73%
3:1
7.96%
3:2
5.42%
3:3
2.42%
⭐
3:4
0.8%
⭐
3:5
0.21%
⭐
4
4:0
3.28%
⭐
4:1
4.91%
⭐
4:2
3.6%
⭐
4:3
1.73%
4:4
0.61%
⭐
4:5
0.17%
5
5:0
1.5%
5:1
2.41%
⭐
5:2
1.9%
⭐
5:3
0.97%
⭐
5:4
0.37%
⭐
5:5
0.11%
⭐
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.6%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.9%
0
9.6%
1
16.8%
2
20.4%
3
19.1%
4
14.9%
5
9.3%
6
4.6%
7
1.8%
8
0.5%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Atletico-MGHDPBahia
24.2%
Low
-2.5
2.2%
Very Low
33.5%
Low
-2
4.5%
Very Low
42.9%
Medium
-1.5
6.9%
Very Low
53.6%
Medium
-1
12.3%
Very Low
64.3%
High
-0.5
17.6%
Very Low
82.3%
Very High
+0.5
35.7%
Low
87.7%
Very High
+1
46.4%
Medium
93.1%
Very High
+1.5
57.1%
Medium
95.5%
Very High
+2
66.5%
High
97.8%
Very High
+2.5
75.8%
High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

Atletico-MGOutcomeBahia
72.1%
High
Over 1.5
37.7%
Low
27.9%
Low
Under 1.5
62.3%
High
46.6%
Medium
Over 2.5
14.5%
Very Low
53.4%
Medium
Under 2.5
85.5%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico-MG vs Bahia Wednesday, Jul 22nd, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Atletico-MG vs Bahia Football 22 Jul, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Atletico-MG Home
Form Index 54
Goals 7:7
PPG 2.00
Bahia Away
Form Index 49
Goals 7:12
PPG 0.80
PAUWATLWFLALBOTDMirasW
REMLMirasWFLALPAUDCORL
3/5
Won
1/5
4/5
Scored
4/5
2/5
Scored 2+
3/5
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
3/5
BTTS
4/5

Atletico-MG

PAUWATLWFLALBOTDMirasW
Won 3/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 3/5

Bahia

REMLMirasWFLALPAUDCORL
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 2
BTTS 1/2
Over 2.5 2/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • ⚡
    Second Half Surge

    Bahia score in 2nd half 100% of away matches — expect late goals

  • ⚽
    BTTS Magnet

    Both sides see BTTS regularly (Atletico-MG 100%, Bahia 100% — avg 100%) — strong BTTS pattern

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Atletico-MG Home
Bahia Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Bahia is stronger (12 vs 8).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum -0.05 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.11

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
8 0.40
First Half (0–45)
8 0.40
8 0.40
Second Half (46–90)
12 0.60
5 0.25
Final Stage (76–90)
7 0.35

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.454 Strong
Pressure Away +0.042 Weak
Timing Away +0.010 Weak
Defense Away +0.075 Moderate

Momentum

Atletico-MG Metric Bahia
1 Positive Sequences 6
3 Comeback Goals 9
3 Negative Sequences 0
8 Killer Goals 6

Pressure

Atletico-MG Metric Bahia
3 Early Pressure 3
5 Late Pressure 7
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Atletico-MG Metric Bahia
3 Fast Starts 3
5 Half-time Spurts 5
3 Second Half Starts 5
5 Late Surges 7

Defense

Atletico-MG Metric Bahia
3 Early Conceded 0
9 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Bahia winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: Bahia holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Atletico-MG

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Bahia

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Atletico-MG
Bahia

Atletico-MG vs Bahia Head-to-head statistics for Wed 22 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

8 Played 8
50% 4-3-1 Win Rate 50% 4-1-3
55 Form Index 50
6.85 Team Rating 6.81
61 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Atletico-MG Bahia Results 54 46 Attack 72 28 Defense 74 26 Control 40 60 Discipline 69 31 Efficiency 57 43 Average 61 39 39

Attack

1.63
Goals
1.38
1.31
Expected Goals
1.11
14.6
Shots
11.9
5.1
Shots on Target
4.3
4.6
Corners
4.9

Defense

1.50
Conceded
1.63
1.35
Expected Goals Against
1.57
13.4
Shots Allowed
17.1
+0.13
Goal Difference
-0.25
25%
Clean Sheets
25%

Possession & Passing

47%
Possession
52%
85%
Pass Accuracy
84%
380
Passes
421
321
Accurate Passes
355

Discipline

1
Yellow Cards
2.38
0
Red Cards
0.13
11.1
Fouls
13.1
2.6
Offsides
1.4

Efficiency

1.88
PPG
1.63
+0.32
Goals vs xG
+0.27
11%
Shot Conversion
12%
68%
Save %
76%

Atletico-MG vs Bahia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico-MG and away matches for Bahia

Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
1X2
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Bahia
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0-1
30% 3
0% 0
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico-MG
Bahia
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Atletico-MG
Bahia
xG
1.31
1.25
xGa
1.17
1.23
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Bahia
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Bahia
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0-1
70% 7
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1.86 Expected goals 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Atletico-MG will take on Bahia as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-22 at 2026-07-22 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico-MG, and the visiting side, Bahia. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-22 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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