Login
Show privacy policy

— OR SIGN UP WITH —

Already subscribed? This will create your account and activate Premium!

Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
10th place
Form
VS
20:00
22 Jul 2026
Bahia
Bahia
8th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Atletico-MG vs Bahia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 22 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Atletico-MG to Win
Probability 65%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 68%
Atletico-MG Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 72%
Bahia Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 85%
Double Chance-
Atletico-MG/Draw
Probability 83%
Best Tip PREMIUM

Today free quota for this competition is already allocated.

Upgrade to Premium
Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:00
Atletico-MG W 65%
:
Bahia W 17%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Atletico-MG
l l w d w
8 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (13 total)
xG
1.30 (10.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.6 (117 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (35% acc)
Corners
4.6 (37 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.1 (89 total)
Offsides
2.6 (21 total)
8 Played
2 Wins
0 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (8 total)
xG
1.00 (8.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (100 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (33% acc)
Corners
5.5 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (3 total)
Fouls
10.9 (87 total)
Offsides
1.1 (9 total)
16 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (18.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (217 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (34% acc)
Corners
5.1 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11 (176 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
Bahia
d d l d l
8 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (110 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (41% acc)
Corners
5.4 (43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.4 (123 total)
Offsides
1.4 (11 total)
8 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (11 total)
xG
1.10 (8.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (95 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.1 (105 total)
Offsides
1.4 (11 total)
16 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (23 total)
xG
1.30 (20.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (205 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (39% acc)
Corners
5.1 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.3 (228 total)
Offsides
1.4 (22 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.54 vs 1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.87%
0:1
3.04%
0:2
1.61%
0:3
0.57%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
6.57%
1:1
7.68%
1:2
4.44%
1:3
1.7%
1:4
0.49%
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
7.52%
2:1
9.61%
🔥
2:2
6.05%
2:3
2.51%
2:4
0.77%
2:5
0.19%
3
3:0
5.73%
3:1
7.96%
3:2
5.42%
3:3
2.42%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.21%
4
4:0
3.28%
4:1
4.91%
4:2
3.6%
4:3
1.73%
4:4
0.61%
4:5
0.17%
5
5:0
1.5%
5:1
2.41%
5:2
1.9%
5:3
0.97%
5:4
0.37%
5:5
0.11%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.6%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.9%
0
9.6%
1
16.8%
2
20.4%
3
19.1%
4
14.9%
5
9.3%
6
4.6%
7
1.8%
8
0.5%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Atletico-MGHDPBahia
24.2%
Low
-2.5
2.2%
Very Low
33.5%
Low
-2
4.5%
Very Low
42.9%
Medium
-1.5
6.9%
Very Low
53.6%
Medium
-1
12.3%
Very Low
64.3%
High
-0.5
17.6%
Very Low
82.3%
Very High
+0.5
35.7%
Low
87.7%
Very High
+1
46.4%
Medium
93.1%
Very High
+1.5
57.1%
Medium
95.5%
Very High
+2
66.5%
High
97.8%
Very High
+2.5
75.8%
High

Team Total Predictions

Atletico-MGOutcomeBahia
72.1%
High
Over 1.5
37.7%
Low
27.9%
Low
Under 1.5
62.3%
High
46.6%
Medium
Over 2.5
14.5%
Very Low
53.4%
Medium
Under 2.5
85.5%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico-MG vs Bahia Wednesday, Jul 22nd, 2026 at 13:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Atletico-MG vs Bahia Football 22 Jul, 2026 13:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Atletico-MG score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Atletico-MG vs Bahia

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Bahia is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Atletico-MG

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Bahia

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Atletico-MG - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Bahia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Atletico-MG - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Bahia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bahia shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Bahia winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Bahia has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Bahia handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.454
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.042
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.075 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atletico-MG):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bahia):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Atletico-MG
Bahia

Atletico-MG vs Bahia Head-to-head statistics for Wed 22 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (4)
1 (2)
xG
0.80
0.70
Shots
16.5 (33)
14.5 (29)
Shots on Target
4.5 (9)
4.5 (9)
Corners
10.5 (21)
3.5 (7)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
2 (4)
xGa
0.70
0.80
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (4)
2 (4)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.5 (1)
Fouls
8.5 (17)
10 (20)
Offsides
1 (2)
0.5 (1)
5 Nov
- 23:00
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1.30
xG
0.67
3
0
13 Jul
- 00:00
Bahia
Atletico-MG
0.67
xG
0.31
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
2/6 (33%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 0.50
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
50% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.30 Avg xG 1.18
Atletico-MG
L L W D W
Serie A BR 2026
16 May 2026 - 21:30
Atletico-MG
3 1
Mirassol
Serie A BR 2026
10 May 2026 - 19:00
Atletico-MG
1 1
Botafogo
Serie A BR 2026
3 May 2026 - 00:00
Cruzeiro
1 3
Atletico-MG
Serie A BR 2026
26 Apr 2026 - 23:30
Atletico-MG
0 4
Flamengo
Serie A BR 2026
19 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Coritiba
2 0
Atletico-MG
Serie A BR 2026
11 Apr 2026 - 23:00
Santos
1 0
Atletico-MG
Bahia
D D L D L
Serie A BR 2026
25 May 2026 - 23:00
Coritiba
3 2
Bahia
Serie A BR 2026
17 May 2026 - 19:00
Bahia
1 1
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
10 May 2026 - 00:00
Bahia
1 2
Cruzeiro
Serie A BR 2026
3 May 2026 - 19:00
Sao Paulo
2 2
Bahia
Serie A BR 2026
25 Apr 2026 - 21:30
Bahia
2 2
Santos
Serie A BR 2026
19 Apr 2026 - 22:30
Flamengo
2 0
Bahia

Atletico-MG vs Bahia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico-MG and away matches for Bahia

Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
1X2
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Bahia
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0-1
30% 3
0% 0
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico-MG
Bahia
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Atletico-MG
Bahia
xG
1.31
1.25
xGa
1.17
1.23
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Bahia
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Bahia
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0-1
70% 7
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
2.39 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Atletico-MG will take on Bahia as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-22 at 2026-07-22 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico-MG, and the visiting side, Bahia. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-22 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!