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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Arouca
Arouca
11th place
Form
VS
17:45
6 Apr 2026
Estoril
Estoril
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Estoril
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Arouca vs Estoril: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 6 April, 2026 12:45

Winner (1x2)-
Estoril to Win
Probability 46%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 71%
Arouca Total1.17
Home Under 2.5
Probability 77%
Estoril Total2.33
Away Over 1.5
Probability 60%
Double Chance-
Draw/Estoril
Probability 70%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
17:45
Arouca W 30%
:
Estoril W 46%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Arouca
w l l l w
13 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (18 total)
xG
1.10 (14.4 total)
Shots per Match
10 (130 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (41% acc)
Corners
3.9 (51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
14.2 (185 total)
Offsides
1.1 (14 total)
14 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (16 total)
xG
0.80 (10.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (141 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (28% acc)
Corners
3.3 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
12.7 (178 total)
Offsides
1.5 (21 total)
27 Played
8 Wins
5 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (34 total)
xG
0.90 (25.2 total)
Shots per Match
10 (271 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (97 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (8 total)
Fouls
13.4 (363 total)
Offsides
1.3 (35 total)
Estoril
w l d w l
14 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (27 total)
xG
1.30 (18.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (167 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (37% acc)
Corners
4.6 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.8 (165 total)
Offsides
1.2 (17 total)
13 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (21 total)
xG
1.30 (16.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (146 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34% acc)
Corners
4.2 (55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.9 (168 total)
Offsides
1.5 (20 total)
27 Played
10 Wins
7 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (48 total)
xG
1.30 (34.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (313 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (35% acc)
Corners
4.4 (119 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.3 (333 total)
Offsides
1.4 (37 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.67 vs 2.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.31%
0:1
5.84%
0:2
5.15%
0:3
3.02%
0:4
1.33%
0:5
0.47%
1
1:0
4.61%
1:1
9.05%
🔥
1:2
8.79%
1:3
5.64%
1:4
2.69%
1:5
1.02%
2
2:0
3.21%
2:1
6.94%
2:2
7.37%
2:3
5.14%
2:4
2.66%
2:5
1.09%
3
3:0
1.49%
3:1
3.52%
3:2
4.06%
3:3
3.07%
3:4
1.71%
3:5
0.75%
4
4:0
0.52%
4:1
1.33%
4:2
1.66%
4:3
1.35%
4:4
0.81%
4:5
0.38%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.54%
5:3
0.47%
5:4
0.3%
5:5
0.15%
Hotspot: 1:1 (9.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.3%
0
10.5%
1
17.4%
2
20.2%
3
18.4%
4
13.8%
5
8.8%
6
4.7%
7
2.0%
8
0.7%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AroucaHDPEstoril
4.1%
Very Low@ 9.50
-2.5
9.8%
@ 10.00Very Low
8.2%
Very Low@ 9.50
-2
16.8%
@ 8.80Very Low
12.3%
Very Low@ 5.00
-1.5
23.8%
@ 5.50Low
20.9%
Low@ 4.22
-1
34.9%
@ 4.45Low
29.5%
Low@ 2.56
-0.5
46.0%
@ 2.67Medium
54.0%
Medium@ 1.52
+0.5
70.5%
@ 1.55High
65.1%
High@ 1.21
+1
79.1%
@ 1.24High
76.2%
High@ 1.15
+1.5
87.6%
@ 1.18Very High
83.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
91.8%
@ 1.01Very High
90.1%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
95.9%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

AroucaOutcomeEstoril
49.7%
Medium@ 2.27
Over 1.5
60.5%
@ 2.33High
50.3%
Medium@ 1.67
Under 1.5
39.5%
@ 1.62Low
23.5%
Low@ 5.00
Over 2.5
33.4%
@ 5.50Low
76.5%
High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
66.6%
@ 1.17High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Estoril as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-06 at 2026-04-06 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Estoril. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Estoril. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-06 Time: 17:45 Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs Estoril Monday, Apr 6th, 2026 at 12:45 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 69.6%
EV: +26.0%
Stake: $3.09
1.81
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 71.4%
EV: +15.7%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 70.1%
EV: +7.2%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Win to Nil Arouca NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 90.2%
EV: +6.5%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Asian Handicap Estoril +1.5
Value
Prob: 87.6%
EV: +3.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-28 02:52:15
spinner

Trends for Arouca vs Estoril Football 6 Apr, 2026 12:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

🎯 Betting Analysis

Arouca vs Estoril

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Arouca

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Estoril

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Arouca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Arouca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 13 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.015
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Arouca
Estoril

Arouca vs Estoril Head-to-head statistics for Mon 6 Apr, 2026 @ 12:45 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
GIL Vicente
l l d d l
>
27
11
9
7
39
28
11
42
7
Estoril
w l d w l
>
27
10
7
10
48
44
4
37
8
Moreirense
l d d l l
>
27
10
5
12
31
39
-8
35

10
Rio Ave
l d w w w
>
27
7
9
11
28
46
-18
30
11
Arouca
w l l l w
>
27
8
5
14
34
55
-21
29
12
Alverca
d d d d l
>
27
7
8
12
27
45
-18
29
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Estoril
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Arouca
VS
Estoril
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (13)
2.1 (15)
xG
1.10
2.10
Shots
12.1 (85)
13.1 (92)
Shots on Target
4.3 (30)
4.6 (32)
Corners
3.4 (24)
6 (42)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 (15)
1.9 (13)
xGa
2.10
1.10
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 (13)
1.9 (13)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
15.4 (108)
15.4 (108)
Offsides
2.9 (20)
1.7 (12)
7 Nov
- 20:15
Estoril
Arouca
1.76
xG
0.78
4
3
Prob 60%
Match Winner 1
Odd 2.09
16 Mar
- 15:30
Arouca
Estoril
0.82
xG
2.20
1
1
26 Oct
- 14:30
Estoril
Arouca
2.23
xG
1.69
4
1
20 Jan
- 15:30
Estoril
Arouca
1
2
13 Aug
- 19:30
Arouca
Estoril
4
3
15 May
- 19:15
Estoril
Arouca
2
0
7 Jan
- 15:30
Arouca
Estoril
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Estoril
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.00 PPG 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.40 Avg xG 1.10
Arouca
W L L L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Moreirense
0 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Arouca
1 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Mar 2026 - 20:15
Famalicao
1 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Feb 2026 - 18:45
FC Porto
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Arouca
3 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Casa Pia
3 2
Arouca
Estoril
W L D W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Estoril
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
0 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Estoril
0 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Sporting CP
3 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Estoril
3 1
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 18:00
AVS
3 0
Estoril

Arouca vs Estoril: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Estoril

Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Arouca
Estoril
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Arouca
Estoril
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
0% 0
20% 2
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Arouca
Estoril
12
100% 10
80% 8
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Arouca
Estoril
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
50% 5
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Estoril
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Estoril
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Estoril
xG
1.38
1.4
xGa
1.25
1.39
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Estoril
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Arouca
Estoril
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Arouca
Estoril
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Arouca
Estoril
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Estoril
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Estoril
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Arouca
Estoril
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Arouca
Estoril
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Arouca
Estoril
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Estoril
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
1.54 xG 1.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found