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Alverca
Alverca vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 12 April, 2026 9:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(12 total)
xG
1.30
(18.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(146 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
4
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.6
(176 total)
Offsides
0.9
(13 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
0.90
(13.0 total)
Shots per Match
8.6
(120 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(40% acc)
Corners
3.5
(49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.3
(158 total)
Offsides
1.2
(17 total)
28
Played
8
Wins
8
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(29 total)
xG
1.10
(31.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.5
(266 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(36% acc)
Corners
3.8
(105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
11.9
(334 total)
Offsides
1.1
(30 total)
12
Played
2
Wins
6
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(16 total)
xG
0.90
(10.9 total)
Shots per Match
7.5
(90 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(36% acc)
Corners
2.7
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.9
(191 total)
Offsides
0.8
(10 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(10 total)
xG
0.90
(12.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.7
(122 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(31% acc)
Corners
3.9
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.6
(205 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
26
Played
5
Wins
9
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(26 total)
xG
0.90
(23.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(212 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(33% acc)
Corners
3.3
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
15.2
(396 total)
Offsides
1.3
(35 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.33 vs 0.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.54%
⭐
0:1
9.39%
0:2
3.52%
0:3
0.88%
0:4
0.16%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
15.29%
🔥
1:1
12.84%
1:2
5.33%
1:3
1.46%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
9.32%
2:1
8.67%
2:2
3.96%
2:3
1.19%
2:4
0.26%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
3.79%
3:1
3.87%
3:2
1.93%
3:3
0.63%
3:4
0.15%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.15%
4:1
1.28%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.24%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.28%
5:1
0.34%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Alverca will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-04-12 at 2026-04-12 in the famous Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alverca, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Alverca or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-12
Time: 14:30
Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alverca vs Casa Pia Sunday, Apr 12th, 2026 at 9:30 Football
AI Value Bets
2 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Alverca vs Casa Pia Football 12 Apr, 2026 9:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Alverca struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Alverca vs Casa Pia.
🏆 Match Winner — Alverca @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia
Not WinRecent
Casa Pia have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alverca confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.90 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlverca1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Alverca struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlverca1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Alverca struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Alverca Win or Draw @ 1.28 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia
Not WinRecent
Casa Pia have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alverca confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia2 Trends — avg 3 (+13% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.7) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1590%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1587%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Alverca disciplined play balances Casa Pia aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsAlverca1 Trends — avg 3.9 (-16% below league)Few CornersLeague
Alverca average 3.9 corners/match at home (-16% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 881%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia1 Trends — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)Few CornersLeague
Casa Pia average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 883%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 7.7 corners/match (Alverca 3.9 + Casa Pia 3.8) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Alverca vs Casa Pia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Casa Pia is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (17 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (17 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Alverca
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Casa Pia
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Alverca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Alverca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Casa Pia often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Casa Pia scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (17 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Casa Pia to win the first half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.084
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.081
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alverca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Alverca vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Sun 12 Apr, 2026 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
▲
9
5
14
37
57
-20
32
11
▲
8
8
12
29
46
-17
32
12
▼
7
9
12
29
48
-19
30
15
▲
6
7
15
31
39
-8
25
16
▼
5
9
12
26
48
-22
24
17
4
8
15
19
44
-25
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Alverca or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Alverca
VS
Casa Pia
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
0 (0)
xG
0.90
0.20
Shots
10 (10)
5 (5)
Shots on Target
5 (5)
0 (0)
Corners
4 (4)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
2 (2)
xGa
0.20
0.90
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (4)
4 (4)
Red Cards
0 (0)
1 (1)
Fouls
17 (17)
8 (8)
Offsides
4 (4)
0 (0)
Last 6 Matches
Alverca
VS
Casa Pia
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.32
Avg xG
1.05
Alverca vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alverca and away matches for Casa Pia
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Casa Pia
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
1X2
Alverca
Casa Pia
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Alverca
Casa Pia
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Alverca
Casa Pia
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Alverca
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Casa Pia
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Alverca
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Alverca
Casa Pia
xG
1.1
1.09
xGa
1.35
1.91
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Casa Pia
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Alverca
Casa Pia
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Alverca
Casa Pia
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Alverca
Casa Pia
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Casa Pia
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Casa Pia
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Alverca
Casa Pia
1
10%
1
0%
0
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
60%
6
70%
7
Double Chance
Alverca
Casa Pia
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
40%
4
30%
3
X2
90%
9
100%
10
Total Goals
Alverca
Casa Pia
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
0%
0
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Casa Pia
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1.26
xG
0.76
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
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