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Ajax
Ajax
4th place
Form
VS
days
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hours
:
minutes
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seconds
Utrecht
Utrecht
8th place
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AI Prediction Double chance : Ajax or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Ajax vs Utrecht: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 10 May, 2026 9:45

Winner (1x2)1.68
Ajax to Win
Probability 66%
Total Goals1.40
Over 2.5
Probability 78%
Both Teams to Score1.44
Yes
Probability 73%
Ajax Total1.21
Home Under 3.5
Probability 69%
Utrecht Total1.30
Away Over 0.5
Probability 77%
Double Chance1.22
Ajax/Draw
Probability 83%
Asian Handicap1.26
Utrecht +2
Probability 64%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Eredivisie 2025-2026
9:45
Ajax W 66%
:
Utrecht W 17%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Ajax
d l w w d
20 Played
9 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (32 total)
xG
1.60 (32.9 total)
Shots per Match
14 (279 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (41% acc)
Corners
5.2 (104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.5 (209 total)
Offsides
1.5 (29 total)
20 Played
7 Wins
9 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (37 total)
xG
1.20 (24.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (246 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (39% acc)
Corners
4.2 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
9.9 (197 total)
Offsides
1.1 (21 total)
40 Played
16 Wins
13 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (69 total)
xG
1.40 (57.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (525 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (40% acc)
Corners
4.7 (187 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.2 (406 total)
Offsides
1.3 (50 total)
Utrecht
w l w l w
22 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (33 total)
xG
1.30 (28.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (316 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (33% acc)
Corners
4.6 (101 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.9 (240 total)
Offsides
1.1 (25 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (30 total)
xG
0.90 (20.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (240 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (39% acc)
Corners
4.4 (96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.9 (218 total)
Offsides
0.9 (20 total)
44 Played
16 Wins
10 Draws
18 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (63 total)
xG
1.10 (48.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (556 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.5 (197 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.4 (458 total)
Offsides
1 (45 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.79 vs 1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2%
0:1
2.38%
0:2
1.42%
0:3
0.56%
0:4
0.17%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
5.05%
1:1
6.55%
1:2
4.22%
1:3
1.8%
1:4
0.57%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
6.36%
2:1
8.93%
🔥
2:2
6.2%
2:3
2.84%
2:4
0.97%
2:5
0.26%
3
3:0
5.35%
3:1
8.08%
3:2
6.01%
3:3
2.94%
3:4
1.07%
3:5
0.31%
4
4:0
3.37%
4:1
5.45%
4:2
4.33%
4:3
2.26%
4:4
0.87%
4:5
0.26%
5
5:0
1.7%
5:1
2.93%
5:2
2.48%
5:3
1.37%
5:4
0.56%
5:5
0.18%
Hotspot: 2:1 (8.9%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.0%
0
7.4%
1
14.3%
2
19.1%
3
19.6%
4
16.6%
5
11.3%
6
6.1%
7
2.5%
8
0.8%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AjaxHDPUtrecht
26.1%
Low@ 4.50
-2.5
2.0%
@ 13.00Very Low
35.5%
Low@ 3.91
-2
4.2%
Very Low
45.0%
Medium@ 2.63
-1.5
6.4%
@ 9.30Very Low
55.5%
Medium@ 2.07
-1
11.5%
@ 9.00Very Low
66.1%
High@ 1.65
-0.5
16.6%
@ 4.40Very Low
83.4%
Very High@ 1.20
+0.5
33.9%
@ 2.40Low
88.5%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
44.5%
@ 1.88Medium
93.6%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
55.0%
@ 1.55Medium
95.8%
Very High
+2
64.5%
@ 1.27High
98.0%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
73.9%
@ 1.19High

Team Total Predictions

AjaxOutcomeUtrecht
76.7%
High@ 1.44
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 2.63Medium
23.3%
Low@ 2.77
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.52Medium
52.8%
Medium@ 2.46
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 6.50Very Low
47.2%
Medium@ 1.57
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.14Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Ajax vs Utrecht Sunday, May 10th, 2026 at 9:45 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Home Total Ajax Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 76.7%
EV: +10.5%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Total Home Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 76.4%
EV: +9.9%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Match Winner Ajax
Value
Prob: 65.6%
EV: +9.5%
Stake: $3.73
1.67
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 77.8%
EV: +9.0%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 72.5%
EV: +4.4%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 72.5%
EV: +4.4%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 83.4%
EV: +1.7%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-10 04:08:20
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Trends for Ajax vs Utrecht Football 10 May, 2026 9:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Ajax have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishers

    Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Ajax vs Utrecht

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Ajax is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Ajax

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.2

✈️ Utrecht

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Ajax - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Utrecht - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Ajax - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Utrecht - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Ajax excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Ajax scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Ajax has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Ajax handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.117
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ajax):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Utrecht):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Ajax
Utrecht

Ajax vs Utrecht Head-to-head statistics for Sun 10 May, 2026 @ 9:45 Eredivisie

Eredivisie

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Ajax
VS
Utrecht
Last 4 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (6)
3 (12)
xG
0.40
1.10
Shots
8.5 (34)
14.8 (59)
Shots on Target
3.3 (13)
6 (24)
Corners
6 (24)
5 (20)
Defense
Conceded
3 (12)
1.5 (6)
xGa
1.10
0.40
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (5)
0.8 (3)
Fouls
10.8 (43)
9.8 (39)
Offsides
1.5 (6)
0.5 (2)
9 Nov
- 11:15
Utrecht
Ajax
1.29
xG
0.27
2
1
20 Apr
- 10:15
Utrecht
Ajax
0.80
xG
0.33
4
0
4 Dec
- 19:00
Ajax
Utrecht
0.68
xG
1.23
2
2
22 Oct
- 10:15
Utrecht
Ajax
4
3
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
Utrecht
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.83 PPG 2.00
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
50% BTTS % 33%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.57 Avg xG 1.57
Ajax
D L W W D
Eredivisie 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 18:00
Ajax
2 2
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie 2025-2026
25 Apr 2026 - 18:00
NAC Breda
0 2
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Heracles
0 3
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
4 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Ajax
1 2
Twente
Eredivisie 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 13:30
Feyenoord
1 1
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Ajax
4 0
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
W L W L W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 14:30
Utrecht
2 0
NAC Breda
Eredivisie 2025-2026
26 Apr 2026 - 10:15
Excelsior
5 0
Utrecht
Eredivisie 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 14:30
Utrecht
4 1
Telstar
Eredivisie 2025-2026
4 Apr 2026 - 14:30
PSV Eindhoven
4 3
Utrecht
Eredivisie 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 13:30
Utrecht
2 0
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie 2025-2026
15 Mar 2026 - 11:15
Twente
0 2
Utrecht

Ajax vs Utrecht: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for Utrecht

Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Utrecht
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Ajax
Utrecht
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Ajax
Utrecht
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
40% 4
Total Goals
Ajax
Utrecht
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
40% 4
30% 3
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Utrecht
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
Utrecht
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Ajax
Utrecht
xG
1.42
1.74
xGa
1.21
1.19
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Utrecht
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2
Ajax
Utrecht
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
0% 0
10% 1
Double Chance
Ajax
Utrecht
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
100% 10
90% 9
X2
50% 5
40% 4
Total Goals
Ajax
Utrecht
0-1
30% 3
60% 6
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Utrecht
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Utrecht
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Ajax
Utrecht
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Ajax
Utrecht
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Ajax
Utrecht
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Utrecht
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Missing Players
Ajax
- Injured - Inactive
1
g
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Inactive
1
g
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Utrecht
- Injured - Injury
25
g
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
7
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Injury
20
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Injury
25
g
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
7
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Injury
20
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
2.75 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Ajax will take on Utrecht as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-10 at 2026-05-10 in the famous Johan Cruijff Arena. The referee for the game will be J. Manschot. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, Utrecht. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Ajax or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-10 Time: 14:45 Location: Johan Cruijff Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!