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Ajax vs Groningen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 21 May, 2026 11:45
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21
Played
9
Wins
4
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(33 total)
xG
1.60
(32.9 total)
Shots per Match
14
(294 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(41% acc)
Corners
5.1
(108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.4
(218 total)
Offsides
1.4
(29 total)
21
Played
7
Wins
10
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(37 total)
xG
1.30
(26.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(267 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(38% acc)
Corners
4.2
(89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
9.8
(205 total)
Offsides
1
(21 total)
42
Played
16
Wins
14
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(70 total)
xG
1.40
(59.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(561 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(40% acc)
Corners
4.7
(197 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.1
(423 total)
Offsides
1.2
(50 total)
17
Played
7
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(27 total)
xG
1.50
(25.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(264 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(34% acc)
Corners
6.8
(116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(164 total)
Offsides
1.8
(31 total)
17
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(22 total)
xG
1.60
(27.9 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(252 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(41% acc)
Corners
5.6
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.9
(186 total)
Offsides
1.5
(25 total)
34
Played
14
Wins
6
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(49 total)
xG
1.60
(53.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(516 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(37% acc)
Corners
6.2
(211 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(350 total)
Offsides
1.6
(56 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.32 vs 1.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.56%
0:1
3.54%
0:2
2.45%
0:3
1.13%
0:4
0.39%
0:5
0.11%
1
1:0
5.18%
1:1
7.93%
1:2
6.01%
1:3
3.01%
1:4
1.13%
⭐
1:5
0.33%
⭐
2
2:0
5.24%
2:1
8.79%
🔥
2:2
7.26%
2:3
3.94%
⭐
2:4
1.59%
⭐
2:5
0.51%
⭐
3
3:0
3.54%
3:1
6.45%
3:2
5.76%
⭐
3:3
3.37%
⭐
3:4
1.46%
⭐
3:5
0.5%
⭐
4
4:0
1.79%
4:1
3.52%
⭐
4:2
3.39%
⭐
4:3
2.13%
⭐
4:4
0.99%
⭐
4:5
0.36%
⭐
5
5:0
0.72%
5:1
1.53%
⭐
5:2
1.58%
⭐
5:3
1.06%
⭐
5:4
0.53%
⭐
5:5
0.2%
⭐
Hotspot:
2:1 (8.8%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Ajax vs Groningen Thursday, May 21st, 2026 at 11:45 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Ajax vs Groningen Football 21 May, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Ajax vs Groningen.
🏆 Match Winner — Ajax @ 1.89 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAjax
High xG PerformanceH2H
Ajax create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 4100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Ajax are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
Ajax create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends30 / 30100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Ajax are unbeaten in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends24 / 3080%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGroningen
Not WinH2H
Groningen have not won in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Ajax dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.55 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAjax1 TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Balanced match with potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Ajax Win or Draw @ 1.28 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAjax
Undefeated at HTH2H
Ajax are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 4100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Ajax are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Ajax are unbeaten in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends24 / 3080%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGroningen
Not WinH2H
Groningen have not won in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Ajax demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Ajax Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.67 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAjax
Scored 1+Recent
Ajax scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 4100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
Ajax score in first half in their last 4 4 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Ajax scored 1+ goals in 27 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends27 / 3090%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 2+Recent
Ajax scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Ajax score in second half in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Ajax maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 3.5 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.77 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGroningen1 Trends — avg 6.0 (+16% above league)Many CornersLeague
Groningen average 6.0 corners/match in away matches (+16% above league avg 5.2)
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1581%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Groningen drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.77
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Ajax vs Groningen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Ajax is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Ajax is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.17
✈️ Groningen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Groningen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Groningen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
11
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Ajax excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Ajax scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Ajax has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Ajax handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.195
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.069
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Groningen):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Ajax vs Groningen Head-to-head statistics for Thu 21 May, 2026 @ 11:45 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Ajax
VS
Groningen
Last 4 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (8)
1.5 (6)
xG
1.70
1.40
Shots
12.8 (51)
13.5 (54)
Shots on Target
5.3 (21)
5.3 (21)
Corners
4.5 (18)
4.3 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (6)
2 (8)
xGa
1.40
1.70
Clean Sheets
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (7)
1.5 (6)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
10.3 (41)
9.8 (39)
Offsides
0.8 (3)
0.3 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
Groningen
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.67
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
-
Avg xG
-
Ajax vs Groningen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for Groningen
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Groningen
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
1X2
Ajax
Groningen
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Ajax
Groningen
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Ajax
Groningen
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Groningen
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
Groningen
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT X
40%
4
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Ajax
Groningen
xG
1.49
1.97
xGa
1.31
1.53
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Groningen
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Ajax
Groningen
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
70%
7
60%
6
2
0%
0
10%
1
Double Chance
Ajax
Groningen
12
30%
3
40%
4
1X
100%
10
90%
9
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Ajax
Groningen
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Groningen
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Groningen
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Ajax
Groningen
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Ajax
Groningen
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Ajax
Groningen
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Groningen
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Arm Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Arm Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
2.13
xG
1.60
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Ajax will take on Groningen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-21 at 2026-05-21 in the famous Kras Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, Groningen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Ajax or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-21
Time: 16:45
Location: Kras Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!