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Form
Form
AEL
AEL
7th place
Form
VS
15:00
14 Feb 2026
Pafos
Pafos
9th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

AEL vs Pafos: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)-
AEL to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 69%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 59%
AEL Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Pafos Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Double Chance-
AEL/Draw
Probability 72%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
1. Division 2025-2026
15:00
AEL W 37%
:
Pafos W 28%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
AEL
w l d
2 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (4 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
1 Played
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
1 (1 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
3 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
0 (0 total)
Shots on Target
0 (0% acc)
Corners
0 (0 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (1 total)
Fouls
0 (0 total)
Offsides
0 (0 total)
Pafos
w d l l w
8 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
0.50 (3.7 total)
Shots per Match
6.9 (55 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (38% acc)
Corners
2.4 (19 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8 (64 total)
Offsides
0.6 (5 total)
8 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (5 total)
xG
0.40 (3.4 total)
Shots per Match
5.6 (45 total)
Shots on Target
1.9 (33% acc)
Corners
1.8 (14 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (63%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
7.3 (58 total)
Offsides
0.6 (5 total)
16 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
0.40 (7.1 total)
Shots per Match
6.3 (100 total)
Shots on Target
2.3 (36% acc)
Corners
2.1 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
7.6 (122 total)
Offsides
0.6 (10 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.80 vs 0.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
23.07%
🔥
0:1
15.28%
0:2
5.06%
0:3
1.12%
0:4
0.18%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
15.63%
1:1
13.28%
1:2
5.37%
1:3
1.4%
1:4
0.27%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
5.3%
2:1
5.49%
2:2
2.66%
2:3
0.82%
2:4
0.18%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
1.2%
3:1
1.47%
3:2
0.83%
3:3
0.3%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.2%
4:1
0.29%
4:2
0.19%
4:3
0.08%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (23.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

23.1%
0
30.9%
1
23.6%
2
13.2%
3
5.9%
4
2.3%
5
0.7%
6
0.2%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AELHDPPafos
2.0%
Very Low
-2.5
1.9%
Very Low
5.7%
Very Low
-2
5.5%
Very Low
9.4%
Very Low
-1.5
9.0%
Very Low
20.4%
Low
-1
19.8%
Very Low
31.5%
Low
-0.5
30.7%
Low
69.3%
High
+0.5
68.6%
High
80.2%
Very High
+1
79.6%
High
91.0%
Very High
+1.5
90.6%
Very High
94.5%
Very High
+2
94.3%
Very High
98.1%
Very High
+2.5
98.0%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

AELOutcomePafos
20.1%
Low
Over 1.5
19.7%
Very Low
79.9%
High
Under 1.5
80.3%
Very High
5.2%
Very Low
Over 2.5
5.1%
Very Low
94.8%
Very High
Under 2.5
95.0%
Very High
In this exciting 1. Division 2025-2026 matchup, AEL will take on Pafos as part of the 2025-2026 season in 1. Division. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AEL, and the visiting side, Pafos. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-14 Time: 15:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AEL vs Pafos Saturday, Feb 14th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for AEL vs Pafos Football 14 Feb, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

AEL vs Pafos

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Pafos is stronger in the second half (12 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: Pafos is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 AEL

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
3
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Pafos

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 AEL - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67

✈️ Pafos - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 AEL - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
0
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
0

✈️ Pafos - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Pafos shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 2 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Pafos winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Pafos excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 2 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Pafos scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.304
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.071
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.029 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (AEL):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pafos):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

AEL
Pafos

AEL vs Pafos Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 1. Division

1. Division

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
AEL
VS
Pafos
1/3 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/3 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/3 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.33 PPG 1.50
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
33% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
- Avg xG 1.06
AEL
W L D
1. Division 2025-2026
14 Sep 2025 - 16:00
AEL
2 2
Ethnikos Achna
1. Division 2025-2026
31 Aug 2025 - 16:00
AEK Larnaca
2 0
AEL
1. Division 2025-2026
22 Aug 2025 - 17:00
AEL
2 0
Olympiakos
Pafos
W D L L W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Pafos
4 1
Slavia Praha
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Chelsea
1 0
Pafos
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Juventus
2 0
Pafos
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Pafos
2 2
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Pafos
1 0
Villarreal
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Oct 2025 - 16:45
Kairat Almaty
0 0
Pafos

AEL vs Pafos: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for AEL and away matches for Pafos

Number of goals
AEL
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
33% 1
67% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
33% 1
67% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 3
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 3
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AEL
Pafos
Yes
33% 1
30% 3
No
67% 2
70% 7
1X2
AEL
Pafos
1
33% 1
30% 3
X
33% 1
30% 3
2
33% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
AEL
Pafos
12
67% 2
70% 7
1X
67% 2
60% 6
X2
67% 2
70% 7
Total Goals
AEL
Pafos
0-1
0% 0
60% 6
2-3
67% 2
10% 1
4+
33% 1
30% 3
Total Corners
AEL
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
7.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
8.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
9.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
10.5
0% 0
0% 0
100% 8
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AEL
Pafos
Yes
33% 1
40% 4
No
67% 2
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
AEL
Pafos
HT 1 - FT 1
33% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
33% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
33% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
AEL
Pafos
xG
0
0.88
xGa
0
1.9
Number of goals
AEL
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
67% 2
33% 1
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
67% 2
33% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AEL
Pafos
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 3
70% 7
1X2
AEL
Pafos
1
33% 1
10% 1
X
0% 0
70% 7
2
67% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
AEL
Pafos
12
100% 3
30% 3
1X
33% 1
80% 8
X2
67% 2
90% 9
Total Goals
AEL
Pafos
0-1
67% 2
70% 7
2-3
33% 1
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
AEL
Pafos
Yes
33% 1
70% 7
No
67% 2
30% 3
Number of goals
AEL
Under
Over
Pafos
Under
Over
0.5
67% 2
33% 1
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
67% 2
33% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 3
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 3
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AEL
Pafos
Yes
33% 1
0% 0
No
67% 2
100% 10
1X2
AEL
Pafos
1
33% 1
30% 3
X
33% 1
30% 3
2
33% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
AEL
Pafos
12
67% 2
70% 7
1X
67% 2
60% 6
X2
67% 2
70% 7
Total Goals
AEL
Pafos
0-1
67% 2
80% 8
2-3
33% 1
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AEL
Pafos
Yes
33% 1
60% 6
No
67% 2
40% 4
1.31 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots Off Goal 3
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found