Midweek Football Essentials: Top Picks for Premier League Matchday 14 |

Tuesday Premier League tips and predictions

19:30 – Bournemouth v Everton: Cherries’ games are a feast for goal lovers

Mark Stinchcombe: Seven of Bournemouth's last eight matches have had over 2.5 goals scored, making their games a veritable goldmine for those backing the over. With a remarkable total of 44 goals scored in their matches this season—a staggering average of 3.38 goals per game—you’d be brave to think this one won’t see its fair share of net-bulging action. The odds are 1/2 for three or more goals in this encounter.

Everton, on the other hand, have a 39% strike rate for Over 2.5 goals—the lowest in the league, sharing the dubious honour with Arsenal and Sunderland. But let’s not forget, Bournemouth recently put five past Sunderland, so facing a side struggling in front of goal could open the floodgates.

Interestingly, Everton seem to be underperforming offensively while their defence is somehow overachieving, with a difference of seven goals against expected goals. This hints that we might’ve seen more high-scoring matches from them this season than what we’ve actually witnessed. In fact, eight of their 13 games have seen more than 2.5 xG, a respectable 62% strike rate.

19:30 – Fulham v Manchester City: Expect a City victory but not a walkover

Mike Norman: Manchester City are hot favourites to win, but don't be lulled into a false sense of security; it won’t be as simple as their 18-game winning streak against Fulham suggests.

City have had a few thumping wins during that streak, including a spell where they won seven matches on the trot without conceding. However, in recent encounters, Fulham have been able to find the net in five of their last seven losses to City, which shows they can cause a bit of trouble.

Therefore, betting on a City win with both teams to score looks like a savvy move for a little Bet Builder, particularly with Erling Haaland, who’s netted six times in six Premier League outings against Fulham, poised to get back on the scoresheet after a couple of quiet games.

20:15 – Newcastle v Tottenham: Magpies to soar in this one

Opta: The odds have Newcastle as the clear front-runners, priced at 8/13. A Spurs win sits at 10/3, while the draw is 12/5. The Opta supercomputer indicates Newcastle's got a 54.7% chance of emerging victorious, compared to only 22% for Spurs, with a 23.3% likelihood of a draw.

Newcastle have dominated this fixture of late, claiming victory in five of their last six encounters, including each of the last three. In fact, that’s as many losses as Spurs have suffered in their last 17 matches against the Magpies (10 wins, two draws).

It’s worth noting that this is the first time Spurs have fallen to three consecutive Premier League defeats against Newcastle since a six-match streak of their own between April 2006 and December 2008. The aggregate score from Newcastle’s last three wins over Spurs? A resounding 12-2.

Wednesday Premier League tips and predictions

19:30 – Arsenal v Brentford: Back the Bees to nab a goal

Kevin Hatchard: Brentford have been a formidable attacking force, scoring in all but two of their competitive matches this season—only Manchester City and Crystal Palace have managed to keep them out. With Arsenal potentially missing key defenders Gabriel and possibly William Saliba, they may struggle to cope with set pieces and long throws.

Arsenal are probably the best out-of-possession team in Europe, but they’ve still conceded in their last four games and faced a tough run lately. I fancy Brentford to find the net, even if they leave empty-handed in the end. Backing Both Teams To Score offers an appealing price of 2.18.

19:30 – Wolves v West Ham: Keep an eye on Mosquera

Lewis Jones: Yerson Mosquera has only averaged 0.6 shots per match over the last three seasons, which is a reflection of his market price for Wolves' face-off against Nottingham Forest on Wednesday. The market is a tad slow to react, but we're in a prime window where the demand has changed without any price adjustment.

However, Mosquera has the potential to be a real danger—he's tall, athletic, and thrives in aerial battles, as demonstrated when he was prominent in Wolves' set-piece plans against Villa. He had two efforts in that match, narrowly denied a goal by a fantastic save from Emiliano Martinez.

If Edwards plays to those strengths again, we could see Mosquera finding the net in the shots market at a cracking value at 10/11 for one or more, and 9/2 for two or more.

20:15 – Leeds v Chelsea: Whites to hit early

The Opta Stat: Five out of Leeds United's seven Premier League goals at Elland Road this season have come in the first half (71%). They boast a 10% conversion rate in the first 45 minutes but that drops to 4.7% in the second half. They know where the goal is in the opening stages!

20:15 – Liverpool v Sunderland: A potential card fest at Anfield

Dave Tindall: Granit Xhaka has picked up three yellows in his last nine Premier League outings, and all have been against the big boys: Villa, Manchester United, and Arsenal. There could be something worth noting there.

He once got sent off in a League Cup tie against Liverpool and has been booked in half of his 12 meetings with the Reds. Currently sitting on four yellow cards this season, he'll be keeping an eye on things, as he can afford another one without facing a ban. I suspect he wouldn't hesitate should the need arise at Anfield.

If you fancy a double, consider combining him with Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister, who often finds himself outmuscled against tougher opponents. Mac Allister received a staggering 11 bookings last season and has already seen yellow in three of his last six matches. The referee for this one, Stuart Atwell, has been the most card-happy in the league with 45 bookings across nine matches.