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Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 5 December, 2025 10:00
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Total - Home
Zorya Luhansk Under 1.5 Goals
Odds:
1.57
71.9%
EV: +12.9%
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.95 vs 1.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.22%
⭐
0:1
14.21%
🔥
⭐
0:2
7.63%
⭐
0:3
2.73%
0:4
0.73%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
12.49%
⭐
1:1
13.49%
1:2
7.29%
1:3
2.62%
1:4
0.71%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
5.9%
2:1
6.41%
2:2
3.48%
2:3
1.26%
2:4
0.34%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
1.86%
3:1
2.03%
3:2
1.11%
3:3
0.4%
3:4
0.11%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
0.44%
4:1
0.48%
4:2
0.26%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:1 (14.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
5
5
4
30
20
10
20
8
▼
5
5
4
18
16
2
20
9
4
7
3
18
17
1
19
10
4
6
4
13
14
-1
18
Last 6 Matches
Zorya Luhansk
VS
Karpaty
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Nov 2025
- 16:00
Zorya Luhansk
2
2
Oleksandria
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025
- 11:00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
3
Zorya Luhansk
0.95
xG [Total: 2.03]
1.08
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
0
Corners [Total: 0]
0
0
Offsides [Total: 0]
0
1
Fouls [Total: 1]
0
1
Shots on Goal [Total: 1]
0
In this exciting Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Zorya Luhansk will take on Karpaty as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ukrainian Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-05 at 2025-12-05 in the famous Stadion Livyi Bereh.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Zorya Luhansk, and the visiting side, Karpaty. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Zorya Luhansk or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-05
Time: 16:00
Location: Stadion Livyi Bereh
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty Friday, Dec 5th, 2025 at 10:00 Football
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Trends for Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty Football 5 Dec, 2025 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Karpaty have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Zorya Luhansk @ 2.72 ✅ 
Zorya Luhansk
- WonH2H2/2100%Zorya Luhansk have won their last 2 2 matches vs Karpaty
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Zorya Luhansk are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Karpaty
Karpaty
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Karpaty have not won their last 2 2 matches vs Zorya Luhansk
- LostH2H2/2100%Karpaty have lost their last 2 2 matches vs Zorya Luhansk
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Zorya Luhansk to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
Zorya Luhansk(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Zorya Luhansk score (1.13/match) and concede (1.25/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 47%)
Karpaty(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/667%Karpaty score well (1.33/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in their last 2 Ukrainian Premier League H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.05 ⚠️
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 2 Ukrainian Premier League H2H matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Karpaty Win or Draw @ 1.52 ✅ 
Karpaty
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Karpaty are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches vs Zorya Luhansk
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Karpaty concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
Karpaty demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Karpaty Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.55 ✅ 
Karpaty
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%Karpaty scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Zorya Luhansk
- First Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Karpaty score in first half in their last 2 2 matches vs Zorya Luhansk
- Scored 1+Recent23/3077%Karpaty scored 1+ goals in 23 of their last 30 Ukrainian Premier League matches
Karpaty's attack remains potent — consistently scoring against quality opposition.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Zorya Luhansk(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Zorya Luhansk receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Ukrainian Premier League matches vs Karpaty
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1489%Zorya Luhansk average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-16% below league avg 1.9) — rank #5 lowest in league
Karpaty(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Karpaty average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 1.9) — rank #4 in league
Zorya Luhansk disciplined play balances Karpaty aggression — • H2H average: 5.5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74 ✅
Zorya Luhansk(2 trends) — avg 5.3 (+10% above league)
- Few CornersRecent2/2100%Zorya Luhansk win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Ukrainian Premier League (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent3/3100%Zorya Luhansk win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Ukrainian Premier League matches
Karpaty(2 trends) — avg 3 (-38% below league)
- Few CornersRecent2/2100%Karpaty win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Ukrainian Premier League (Away) matches
- Few CornersRecent2/2100%Karpaty win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Ukrainian Premier League matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74
+6 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Zorya Luhansk
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Karpaty
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Zorya Luhansk - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Karpaty - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Zorya Luhansk - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Karpaty - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Karpaty has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Karpaty handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.09
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Zorya Luhansk):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Karpaty):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty Head-to-head statistics for Fri 5 Dec, 2025 @ 10:00 Ukrainian Premier League
Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Zorya Luhansk and away matches for Karpaty
Number of goals
Number of goals
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
7.5
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
8.5
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
9.5
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
10.5
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
40%
4
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Number of goals
Number of goals
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Zorya Luhansk
Under
Over
Karpaty
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
10%
1
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 24.59% | Low | 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.41% | High | 1.53 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 29.36% | Low | 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 70.64% | High | 1.51 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 7.13% | Low | 6.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.87% | High | 1.12 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 9.56% | Low | 6.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.44% | High | 1.12 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Played:
2
Wins
2
2
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
2.5
Goals
1
2
2
1
Goals Conceded
2.5
5
6
3
Yellow Cards
2.5
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
4
2
Corners
0.5
1
14
7
Fouls
4.5
9
0
Offsides
0.5
1
13
6.5
Shots
4
8
3
1.5
Shots on Goal
2.5
5
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 9 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.3 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Fouls | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Offsides | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Shots | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Shots on Goal | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 10 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.3 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 14 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 13 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.1 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Fouls | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Offsides | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Shots | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Shots on Goal | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
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