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Watford
3
0
Birmingham
Watford vs Millwall: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 6:30
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13
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(23 total)
xG
1.50
(19.2 total)
Shots per Match
16.2
(211 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(35% acc)
Corners
5.1
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(130 total)
Offsides
1.4
(18 total)
12
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(14 total)
xG
1.10
(12.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(127 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(33% acc)
Corners
3.6
(43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.8
(130 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
25
Played
11
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(37 total)
xG
1.30
(31.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(338 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.4
(260 total)
Offsides
1.2
(29 total)
14
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.10
(15.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(183 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(33% acc)
Corners
5.6
(78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.6
(163 total)
Offsides
2.2
(31 total)
12
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(12 total)
xG
1.10
(13.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(129 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.8
(57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.5
(162 total)
Offsides
1.9
(23 total)
26
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(29 total)
xG
1.10
(28.8 total)
Shots per Match
12
(312 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(32% acc)
Corners
5.2
(135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.5
(325 total)
Offsides
2.1
(54 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.03 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.35%
0:1
4.73%
0:2
1.76%
0:3
0.44%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
12.35%
🔥
1:1
9.74%
1:2
3.83%
1:3
1%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
12.01%
⭐
2:1
10%
2:2
4.14%
2:3
1.14%
2:4
0.23%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
7.79%
⭐
3:1
6.82%
⭐
3:2
2.97%
⭐
3:3
0.85%
3:4
0.18%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
3.79%
⭐
4:1
3.48%
⭐
4:2
1.59%
⭐
4:3
0.48%
⭐
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
1.47%
⭐
5:1
1.42%
⭐
5:2
0.68%
⭐
5:3
0.21%
⭐
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (12.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Watford will take on Millwall as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Vicarage Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Watford, and the visiting side, Millwall. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Watford or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 12:30
Location: Vicarage Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Watford vs Millwall Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 6:30 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
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Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Watford vs Millwall Football 17 Jan, 2026 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Watford create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Watford vs Millwall, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Watford @ 2.07 ⚠️ 
Watford
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Watford demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
Watford(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Watford score (1.67/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.84 ⚠️ 
Watford(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
⚡ Team Total Goals — Millwall Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.40 ✅ 
Millwall
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%Millwall scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- Scored 1+Recent17/2277%Millwall scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
Millwall's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Watford(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2281.5%Watford average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Millwall disciplined play balances Watford aggression —
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Watford vs Millwall
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Watford is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (19 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (19 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Watford
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Millwall
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Watford - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Millwall - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Watford - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Millwall - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Watford often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Watford scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (19 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Watford to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Millwall excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Millwall scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Watford has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Watford handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.025
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Watford):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Millwall):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Watford vs Millwall Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 6:30 Championship
Team comparison
Prediction
Watford or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Watford
VS
Millwall
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
5
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (6)
1.9 (13)
xG
1.10
1.10
Shots
12.1 (85)
12.4 (87)
Shots on Target
3.7 (26)
4 (28)
Corners
5.6 (39)
4.6 (32)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 (13)
0.9 (6)
xGa
1.10
1.10
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (11)
1.9 (13)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11.7 (82)
11.6 (81)
Offsides
1 (7)
1.9 (13)
Last 6 Matches
Watford
VS
Millwall
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.33
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.28
Avg xG
0.85
Watford vs Millwall: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Watford and away matches for Millwall
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Millwall
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1X2
Watford
Millwall
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Watford
Millwall
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Watford
Millwall
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Watford
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Watford
Millwall
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Watford
Millwall
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Watford
Millwall
xG
1.29
1.1
xGa
0.8
1.18
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Millwall
Yes
40%
4
0%
0
No
60%
6
100%
10
1X2
Watford
Millwall
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Watford
Millwall
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Watford
Millwall
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Millwall
Yes
30%
3
80%
8
No
70%
7
20%
2
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Millwall
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Millwall
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2
Watford
Millwall
1
80%
8
30%
3
X
10%
1
70%
7
2
10%
1
0%
0
Double Chance
Watford
Millwall
12
90%
9
30%
3
1X
90%
9
100%
10
X2
20%
2
70%
7
Total Goals
Watford
Millwall
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Watford
Millwall
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Surgery
1.62
xG
0.96
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2