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Watford vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 10:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
14
6
6
6
28
25
3
24
15
6
6
6
24
23
1
24
16
6
6
6
22
23
-1
24
Last 6 Matches
Watford
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
2.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.14
Avg xG
0.94
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.21
xG [Total: 2.15]
0.94
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
5
Corners [Total: 9]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
10
Fouls [Total: 24]
13
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 7]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Watford will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Vicarage Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Watford, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Vicarage Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Watford vs Derby Football 21 Feb, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 78% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Watford create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Watford vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Watford(5 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Watford have won their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Watford are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Watford efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches vs Derby
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Watford create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Derby have not won their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
- LostH2H3/3100%Derby have lost their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Watford(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Watford score (1.67/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Derby score (1.44/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Watford(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Watford(1 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Watford are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Derby have not won their last 3 3 matches vs Watford
⚡ Team Total Goals
Watford(5 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H3/3100%Watford scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
- Scored 2+H2H3/3100%Watford scored 2+ goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/3100%Watford score in second half in their last 3 3 matches vs Derby
- Above League AverageLeague9/973.5%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+27% above league average)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Watford rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Derby receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Watford disciplined play balances Derby aggression — • H2H average: 4 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/976%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+27 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Watford vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Watford is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (16 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (16 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Watford
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Watford - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Watford - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Watford often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Watford scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (16 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Watford to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Derby excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Derby scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.022
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Watford):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Watford vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Watford vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Watford and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Watford
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Watford
Derby
xG
1.4
0.98
xGa
1.1
1.28
Number of goals
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
20%
2
70%
7
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
20%
2
80%
8
2-3
80%
8
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
20%
2
80%
8
No
80%
8
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
90%
9
50%
5
2-3
0%
0
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Watford
Derby
Played:
3
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
2.3
Goals
1
3
3
1
Goals Conceded
2.3
7
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
15
5
Corners
5
15
36
12
Fouls
10
30
1
0.3
Offsides
1
3
41
13.7
Shots
10.7
32
13
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.7
8
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 1.3 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1.6 | 14 | 1.3 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 1.8 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 4.7 | 42 | 3.8 | 34 | 4.2 | 76 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 93 | 12.1 | 109 | 11.2 | 202 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 15 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.2 | 22 |
| Shots | 17.1 | 154 | 10.7 | 96 | 13.9 | 250 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.4 | 49 | 3.8 | 34 | 4.6 | 83 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |