Login
Register
Watford
1
0
Stoke City
Watford vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 10:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
9
6
7
30
24
6
33
10
▲
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
1.07
xG
1.42
59%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Watford
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.33
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
83%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.35
Avg xG
1.09
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Watford will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Vicarage Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Watford, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Vicarage Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Watford vs Derby Football 21 Feb, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Watford create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Watford vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Watford(4 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Watford have won their last 3 3 matches
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Watford are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Watford efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Derby(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Derby have not won their last 3 3 matches
- LostH2H3/3100%Derby have lost their last 3 3 matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Watford(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Watford score (1.67/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/366.7%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Watford(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match
🛡️ Double Chance
Watford(1 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Watford are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Derby have not won their last 3 3 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Watford(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Watford scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 2+Recent3/3100%Watford scored 2+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Watford score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Watford(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2281.5%Watford average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Watford vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Watford is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (16 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (16 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Watford
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Watford - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Watford - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Watford often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Watford scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (16 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Watford to win the first half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.123
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.086
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Watford):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Watford vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Watford vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Watford and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
10%
1
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Watford
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Watford
Derby
xG
1.22
1.02
xGa
0.93
1.07
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
20%
2
70%
7
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
80%
8
30%
3
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
30%
3
70%
7
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
20%
2
80%
8
No
80%
8
20%
2
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
80%
8
30%
3
2-3
10%
1
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
80%
8
30%
3
No
20%
2
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Watford
Derby
Played:
3
Wins
3
3
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
2.3
Goals
1
3
3
1
Goals Conceded
2.3
7
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
15
5
Corners
5
15
36
12
Fouls
10
30
1
0.3
Offsides
1
3
41
13.7
Shots
10.7
32
13
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.7
8
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 1 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 20 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 12 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.3 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 19 | 2.4 | 24 | 2 | 43 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.2 | 62 | 3.5 | 35 | 4.4 | 97 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 126 | 11.7 | 117 | 11 | 243 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 17 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.1 | 25 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 199 | 10.6 | 106 | 13.9 | 305 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.7 | 68 | 3.7 | 37 | 4.8 | 105 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.5 | 25 | 2.3 | 51 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 4 | 40 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 125 | 11.6 | 256 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 32 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.8 | 78 | 9.1 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29 | 3.1 | 69 |