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Watford
3
0
Birmingham
Watford vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
13
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(23 total)
xG
1.50
(19.2 total)
Shots per Match
16.2
(211 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(35% acc)
Corners
5.1
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(130 total)
Offsides
1.4
(18 total)
12
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(14 total)
xG
1.10
(12.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(127 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(33% acc)
Corners
3.6
(43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.8
(130 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
25
Played
11
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(37 total)
xG
1.30
(31.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(338 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.4
(260 total)
Offsides
1.2
(29 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
12
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(18 total)
xG
0.80
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(91 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
0.90
(23.9 total)
Shots per Match
9
(235 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(300 total)
Offsides
1.4
(36 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Watford will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Vicarage Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Watford, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Vicarage Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Watford vs Derby Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Watford create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Watford vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Watford(4 trends)
- WonH2H3/3100%Watford have won their last 3 3 matches
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Watford are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Watford efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Derby(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Derby have not won their last 3 3 matches
- LostH2H3/3100%Derby have lost their last 3 3 matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Watford(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Watford score (1.67/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/366.7%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Watford(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match
🛡️ Double Chance
Watford(1 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Watford are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/3100%Derby have not won their last 3 3 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Watford(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague12/1273%Watford score 1.67 goals/match at home (+26% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Watford scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 2+Recent3/3100%Watford scored 2+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Watford score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Watford(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2281.5%Watford average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+8 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Watford vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Watford is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (19 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (19 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Watford
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Watford - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Watford - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Watford often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Watford scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Watford is stronger in the first half (19 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Watford to win the first half
- Overall Result: Watford has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Watford handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.097
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.038 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Watford):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Watford vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▲
12
7
7
29
33
-4
43
6
▼
11
8
6
37
29
8
41
7
▼
12
5
8
40
38
2
41
12
▲
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
13
▼
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14
▲
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
Watford
VS
Derby
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (7)
1 (3)
xG
1.50
0.90
Shots
13.7 (41)
10.7 (32)
Shots on Target
4.3 (13)
2.7 (8)
Corners
5 (15)
5 (15)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
2.3 (7)
xGa
0.90
1.50
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
2 (6)
Fouls
12 (36)
10 (30)
Offsides
0.3 (1)
1 (3)
Last 6 Matches
Watford
VS
Derby
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.33
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.28
Avg xG
0.90
Watford vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Watford and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
80%
8
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Watford
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Watford
Derby
xG
1.29
0.98
xGa
0.8
1.12
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Number of goals
Watford
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Watford
Derby
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Watford
Derby
1
80%
8
30%
3
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Watford
Derby
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
20%
2
70%
7
Total Goals
Watford
Derby
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Watford
Derby
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5