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Vitoria
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 14:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
4
Played
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(6 total)
xG
1.40
(5.7 total)
Shots per Match
13
(52 total)
Shots on Target
5
(38% acc)
Corners
4.8
(19 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(75%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.3
(61 total)
Offsides
2.3
(9 total)
5
Played
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(3 total)
xG
0.70
(3.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(41 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(41% acc)
Corners
3.8
(19 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
15.6
(78 total)
Offsides
0.8
(4 total)
9
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(9 total)
xG
1.00
(9.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(93 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(40% acc)
Corners
4.2
(38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.4
(139 total)
Offsides
1.4
(13 total)
5
Played
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(10 total)
xG
1.70
(8.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(57 total)
Shots on Target
4
(35% acc)
Corners
6.4
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14
(70 total)
Offsides
2.4
(12 total)
5
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(5 total)
xG
0.80
(4.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(49 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(35% acc)
Corners
5.2
(26 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
16.6
(83 total)
Offsides
0.6
(3 total)
10
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(15 total)
xG
1.30
(12.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(106 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(35% acc)
Corners
5.8
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.3
(153 total)
Offsides
1.5
(15 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.69 vs 0.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.76%
0:1
5.39%
0:2
1.23%
0:3
0.19%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
18.56%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.82%
1:2
2.55%
1:3
0.44%
1:4
0.06%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
14.65%
⭐
2:1
8.79%
⭐
2:2
2.56%
2:3
0.49%
2:4
0.07%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
7.7%
⭐
3:1
5.17%
⭐
3:2
1.68%
3:3
0.35%
3:4
0.05%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
3.04%
⭐
4:1
2.25%
⭐
4:2
0.81%
⭐
4:3
0.19%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.96%
⭐
5:1
0.78%
⭐
5:2
0.3%
⭐
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (18.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Vitoria will take on Sao Paulo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Vitoria, and the visiting side, Sao Paulo. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 19:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 14:30 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Football 11 Apr, 2026 14:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Vitoria score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Vitoria create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Vitoria vs Sao Paulo.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.86 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Vitoria rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.66 ⚠️
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Vitoria Win or Draw @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Vitoria1 Trends — avg 3 (+19% above league)Many CardsH2H
Vitoria receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Sao Paulo disciplined play balances Vitoria aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.87 ⚠️
Sao Paulo1 Trends — avg 4.6 (-8% below league)Few CornersH2H
Sao Paulo win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.87
🎯 Betting Analysis
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Sao Paulo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⚡ Final Stage: Sao Paulo is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Sao Paulo is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Vitoria
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Sao Paulo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Vitoria - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Sao Paulo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Vitoria - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Sao Paulo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Sao Paulo often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Sao Paulo scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Sao Paulo excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Sao Paulo scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Sao Paulo has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Sao Paulo handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.132
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.089
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Vitoria):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sao Paulo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 14:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Vitoria
VS
Sao Paulo
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
xG
1.30
1.40
Shots
13 (26)
15.5 (31)
Shots on Target
4.5 (9)
2.5 (5)
Corners
7 (14)
2.5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
0.5 (1)
xGa
1.40
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (8)
2 (4)
Fouls
12.5 (25)
16.5 (33)
Offsides
1.5 (3)
1 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Vitoria
VS
Sao Paulo
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.63
Avg xG
0.95
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Vitoria and away matches for Sao Paulo
Number of goals
Vitoria
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Total Corners
Vitoria
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
xG
1.14
1.27
xGa
1.28
0.92
Number of goals
Vitoria
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
0-1
60%
6
90%
9
2-3
40%
4
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Vitoria
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
40%
4
80%
8
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
20%
2
Total Goals
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1.71
xG
0.51
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found