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La Liga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
21 Dec 2025-15:15
Villarreal
Villarreal
3rd place
- : -
21 Dec 2025 9:15
Barcelona
Barcelona
1st place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Villarreal vs Barcelona: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 21 December, 2025 9:15

1×2 Prediction
Villarreal
49%21%30%
VillarrealDrawBarcelona
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
77%23%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
76%24%
YesNo
Team Total - Villarreal
Over 1.5
64%36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Team Total - Barcelona
Under 2.5
69%31%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Villarreal/Draw
70%30%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Villarreal +1.5
86%14%
Home +1.5NOT Home +1.5
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Villarreal +1
Odds: 1.53
78.5%
EV: +20.2%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.36 vs 1.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.04%
0:1
3.21%
0:2
2.53%
0:3
1.33%
0:4
0.52%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
4.26%
1:1
7.26%
1:2
6.16%
1:3
3.46%
1:4
1.45%
1:5
0.49%
2
2:0
4.46%
2:1
8.18%
🔥
2:2
7.43%
2:3
4.46%
2:4
1.99%
2:5
0.71%
3
3:0
3.11%
3:1
6.11%
3:2
5.92%
3:3
3.78%
3:4
1.79%
3:5
0.67%
4
4:0
1.63%
4:1
3.41%
4:2
3.51%
4:3
2.38%
4:4
1.19%
4:5
0.47%
5
5:0
0.68%
5:1
1.51%
5:2
1.66%
5:3
1.19%
5:4
0.63%
5:5
0.26%
Hotspot: 2:1 (8.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.0%
0
7.5%
1
14.2%
2
18.8%
3
19.1%
4
16.1%
5
11.3%
6
6.5%
7
3.1%
8
1.1%
9
0.3%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Villarreal
vs
Barcelona
Dec 21, 15:15
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Barcelona
w w w w w
>
17
14
1
2
49
20
29
43
2
Real Madrid
d d d w l
>
16
11
3
2
32
15
17
36
3
Villarreal
w w w w w
>
15
11
2
2
31
13
18
35
4
Atletico Madrid
w w l l w
>
17
10
4
3
30
16
14
34
2.29 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Villarreal
VS
Barcelona
4/6 (67%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
3.00 PPG 3.00
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.50
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.45 Avg xG 2.22
Villarreal
W L W W L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Villarreal
2 3
FC Copenhagen
La Liga 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 13:00
Villarreal
2 0
Getafe
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Real Sociedad
2 3
Villarreal
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Borussia Dortmund
4 0
Villarreal
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Villarreal
2 1
Mallorca
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Espanyol
0 2
Villarreal
Barcelona
W W W W W
La Liga 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Barcelona
2 0
Osasuna
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Barcelona
2 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
La Liga 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Real Betis
3 5
Barcelona
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Barcelona
3 1
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Barcelona
3 1
Alaves
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Chelsea
3 0
Barcelona
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Villarreal will take on Barcelona as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-21 at 2025-12-21 in the famous Estadio de la Cerámica. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Villarreal, and the visiting side, Barcelona. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Villarreal or draw and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-21 Time: 15:15 Location: Estadio de la Cerámica Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Villarreal vs Barcelona Sunday, Dec 21st, 2025 at 9:15 Football

Value Bets

7 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.92
70.1%
EV: +34.6% Kelly: $2.72
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High Value
Asian Handicap Villarreal +1
Odds: 1.53
78.1%
EV: +19.4% Kelly: $4.72
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High Value
Asian Handicap Villarreal +1.5
Odds: 1.35
85.8%
EV: +15.9% Kelly: $7.14
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Value
Asian Handicap Villarreal +2
Odds: 1.16
90.1%
EV: +4.6% Kelly: $10.00
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Value
Away Total Barcelona Under 2.5
Odds: 1.50
69.3%
EV: +3.9% Kelly: $5.00
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Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.34
75.8%
EV: +1.5% Kelly: $7.35
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Value
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Odds: 1.32
76.6%
EV: +1.2% Kelly: $7.81
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-14 12:33:18
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Trends for Villarreal vs Barcelona Football 21 Dec, 2025 9:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Villarreal have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+7 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Villarreal vs Barcelona

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Barcelona is stronger in the first 15 minutes (11 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: Barcelona is stronger in the first half (19 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Barcelona is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Villarreal

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Barcelona

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.25

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Villarreal - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Barcelona - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
21
Avg. Goals per Match
1.05
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Villarreal - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Barcelona - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
12
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
11
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
11
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Barcelona often scores in the first 15 minutes (11 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Barcelona scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Barcelona is stronger in the first half (19 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Barcelona to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Barcelona excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Barcelona scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Barcelona has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Barcelona handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.118
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Villarreal):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Barcelona):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Villarreal
Barcelona

Villarreal vs Barcelona Head-to-head statistics for Sun 21 Dec, 2025 @ 9:15 La Liga

Villarreal vs Barcelona: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Villarreal and away matches for Barcelona

Number of goals

Number of goals
Villarreal
Under
Over
Barcelona
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
30% 3
70% 7
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Villarreal
Barcelona
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
60% 6
80% 8
X
0% 0
10% 1
2
40% 4
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Villarreal
Barcelona
12
100% 10
90% 9
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
40% 4
20% 2

Total Goals

Total Goals
Villarreal
Barcelona
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
40% 4
70% 7

Total Corners

Total Corners
Villarreal
Under
Over
Barcelona
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Villarreal
Barcelona
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Villarreal
Barcelona
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Villarreal
Barcelona
xG
1.66
2.26
xGa
1.1
1.2

Number of goals

Number of goals
Villarreal
Under
Over
Barcelona
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Villarreal
Barcelona
Yes
10% 1
60% 6
No
90% 9
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Villarreal
Barcelona
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
50% 5
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Villarreal
Barcelona
0-1
80% 8
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
0% 0
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Villarreal
Barcelona
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8

Number of goals

Number of goals
Villarreal
Under
Over
Barcelona
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Villarreal
Barcelona
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
50% 5
80% 8
X
30% 3
0% 0
2
20% 2
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Villarreal
Barcelona
12
70% 7
100% 10
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
50% 5
20% 2

Total Goals

Total Goals
Villarreal
Barcelona
0-1
60% 6
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
70% 7
4+
20% 2
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Villarreal
Barcelona
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
Villarreal AH+1
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
14.3%
Low
11.50
5.3%
Low
6.00
-2
21.7%
Low
10.50
9.5%
Low
5.25
-1.5
29.2%
Low
6.15
13.7%
Low
3.35
-1
39.5%
Low
5.35
21.4%
Low
2.69
-0.5
49.8%
Low
3.10
29.2%
Low
2.04
+0.5
70.8%
High
1.90
50.2%
Medium
1.44
+1
78.5%
High
1.53
60.5%
Medium
1.16
+1.5
86.3%
High
1.35
70.8%
High
1.12
+2
90.5%
High
1.16
78.2%
High
1.05
+2.5
94.7%
High
1.13
85.7%
High
1.04
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.80%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.568.37%Medium1.93
Under 1.531.63%Low1.90
AwayOver 1.555.10%Medium1.51
Under 1.544.90%Low2.60
HomeOver 2.542.09%Low4.00
Under 2.557.91%Medium1.26
AwayOver 2.528.20%Low2.62
Under 2.571.80%High1.52
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
18 May
- 17:00
Barcelona
Villarreal
1.26
xG
1.77
2
3
Prob 72%
Match Winner 1
Odd 2.03
22 Sep
- 16:30
Villarreal
Barcelona
2.11
xG
4.08
1
5
27 Jan
- 17:30
Barcelona
Villarreal
3
5
27 Aug
- 15:30
Villarreal
Barcelona
3
4
12 Feb
- 20:00
Villarreal
Barcelona
0
1
20 Oct
- 19:00
Barcelona
Villarreal
3
0
22 May
- 20:00
Barcelona
Villarreal
0
2
27 Nov
- 20:00
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
3
25 Apr
- 14:15
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
2
27 Sep
- 19:00
Barcelona
Villarreal
4
0
club logo
Villarreal
Barcelona
Played: 10
Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
7
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
16
1.6
Goals
2.7
27
27
2.7
Goals Conceded
1.6
16
24
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
21
1
0.1
Red Cards
0
1
0.1
Clean Sheets
0.3
3
33
3.3
Corners
6.5
65
130
13
Fouls
12.9
129
29
2.9
Offsides
2.8
28
91
9.1
Shots
16.4
164
32
3.2
Shots on Goal
7.2
72
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 7 4 11
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.5 20 1.6 11 2.1 31
Goals Conceded 0.5 4 1.3 9 0.9 13
Yellow Cards 1.6 13 3.4 24 2.5 37
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.6 5 0.3 2 0.5 7
Corners 5.6 45 2.7 19 4.3 64
Fouls 11.3 90 12.9 90 12 180
Offsides 3.1 25 1.3 9 2.3 34
Shots 16.3 130 9.1 64 12.9 194
Shots on Goal 6.5 52 3.1 22 4.9 74
Home Away All
Played 9 8 17
Wins 9 5 14
Draws 0 1 1
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 3.1 28 2.6 21 2.9 49
Goals Conceded 0.6 5 1.9 15 1.2 20
Yellow Cards 0.8 7 1.9 15 1.3 22
Red Cards 0 0.3 2 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.4 4 0.1 1 0.3 5
Corners 7.1 64 6.5 52 6.8 116
Fouls 10.9 98 9.3 74 10.1 172
Offsides 2.9 26 1.4 11 2.2 37
Shots 20.4 184 18.9 151 19.7 335
Shots on Goal 7.4 67 7.5 60 7.5 127
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