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Villarreal
3
1
Alaves
Villarreal vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 20 January, 2026 14:00
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13
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(27 total)
xG
1.80
(22.8 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(198 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(37% acc)
Corners
4.8
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.4
(148 total)
Offsides
2.7
(35 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(14 total)
xG
1.30
(14.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(114 total)
Shots on Target
3
(29% acc)
Corners
2.6
(29 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.6
(139 total)
Offsides
1.2
(13 total)
24
Played
13
Wins
3
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(41 total)
xG
1.50
(37.1 total)
Shots per Match
13
(312 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(34% acc)
Corners
3.8
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12
(287 total)
Offsides
2
(48 total)
12
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(15 total)
xG
1.40
(17.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.6
(151 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.3
(136 total)
Offsides
1.7
(20 total)
12
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(25 total)
xG
1.30
(15.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(163 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(41% acc)
Corners
4.6
(55 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(124 total)
Offsides
1
(12 total)
24
Played
10
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(40 total)
xG
1.40
(33.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(314 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(41% acc)
Corners
5.1
(122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.8
(260 total)
Offsides
1.3
(32 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.29 vs 1.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.34%
0:1
3.51%
0:2
2.64%
⭐
0:3
1.32%
⭐
0:4
0.5%
⭐
0:5
0.15%
1
1:0
4.94%
1:1
7.84%
1:2
6.2%
⭐
1:3
3.26%
⭐
1:4
1.29%
⭐
1:5
0.4%
⭐
2
2:0
5.22%
2:1
8.72%
🔥
2:2
7.25%
⭐
2:3
4%
⭐
2:4
1.65%
⭐
2:5
0.54%
⭐
3
3:0
3.68%
3:1
6.45%
3:2
5.62%
⭐
3:3
3.24%
⭐
3:4
1.4%
⭐
3:5
0.48%
⭐
4
4:0
1.94%
4:1
3.57%
4:2
3.25%
⭐
4:3
1.96%
⭐
4:4
0.88%
⭐
4:5
0.31%
⭐
5
5:0
0.82%
5:1
1.58%
5:2
1.5%
⭐
5:3
0.94%
⭐
5:4
0.44%
⭐
5:5
0.16%
Hotspot:
2:1 (8.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Villarreal will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-20 at 2026-01-20 in the famous Estadio de la Cerámica.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Villarreal, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-20
Time: 20:00
Location: Estadio de la Cerámica
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Villarreal vs Ajax Tuesday, Jan 20th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Villarreal vs Ajax Football 20 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Villarreal create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Villarreal vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Villarreal @ 1.62 ⚠️ 
Ajax
- Not WinRecent5/683%Ajax have not won in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
- LostRecent5/683%Ajax have lost 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Villarreal confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.57 
Villarreal(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%Villarreal score (1.33/match) and concede (2.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 49%)
Ajax(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%Ajax score (1.67/match) and concede (3.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 49%)
🛡️ Double Chance — Villarreal Win or Draw @ 1.19 ⚠️
Ajax
- Not WinRecent5/683%Ajax have not won in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Villarreal confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Villarreal(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+7% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague6/690%Villarreal average 2.7 cards/match in all matches (+30% above league avg 2.0)
Ajax disciplined play balances Villarreal aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.88 ✅ 
Villarreal(2 trends) — avg 3.7 (-21% below league)
- Few CornersLeague3/385%Villarreal average 3.7 corners/match at home (-21% below league avg 4.7)
- Few CornersRecent5/683%Villarreal win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 6.5 (+39% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%Ajax average 6.5 corners/match in away matches (+39% above league avg 4.7)
Combined average: 10.2 corners/match (Villarreal 3.7 + Ajax 6.5) • Ajax dominance pushes total over threshold
+6 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Villarreal vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Villarreal
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.1
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Villarreal - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Villarreal - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
11
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Ajax to win the first half
- Overall Result: Villarreal has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Villarreal handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.414
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.095
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Villarreal):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Villarreal vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Tue 20 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Villarreal
VS
Ajax
4/6 (67%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
0.17
PPG
0.50
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.40
Avg xG
1.41
Villarreal vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Villarreal and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
Villarreal
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Villarreal
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Villarreal
Ajax
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
0%
0
10%
1
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Villarreal
Ajax
12
100%
10
90%
9
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Villarreal
Ajax
0-1
10%
1
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Villarreal
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Villarreal
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Villarreal
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Villarreal
Ajax
xG
1.5
1.14
xGa
1.26
1.47
Number of goals
Villarreal
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Villarreal
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Villarreal
Ajax
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Villarreal
Ajax
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Villarreal
Ajax
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Villarreal
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Villarreal
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Villarreal
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Villarreal
Ajax
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Villarreal
Ajax
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Villarreal
Ajax
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
50%
5
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Villarreal
Ajax
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
2.07
xG
1.81
55%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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