VfL Wolfsburg vs 1899 Hoffenheim Football Match Stats & Results Friday, 9 May, 2025 13:30

With the Bundesliga season nearing its end, both VfL Wolfsburg and 1899 Hoffenheim will be looking to secure points for different reasons. Wolfsburg might be aiming to solidify their mid-table position or push for a late European qualification spot depending on their standing, while Hoffenheim could be in a similar situation or potentially fighting for survival depending on the league dynamics.

Recent Form:

• VfL Wolfsburg (Last 5 Matches): L-D-W-L-L. Wolfsburg's recent form has been inconsistent. Their most recent match was a 2-1 away defeat to Borussia Dortmund. They will be looking to improve their home form in this encounter.
• 1899 Hoffenheim (Last 5 Matches): W-D-L-W-W. Hoffenheim's recent form appears stronger, including a 3-1 home victory against Eintracht Frankfurt in their last game.

Team News:

• VfL Wolfsburg:
  • Out: Lukas Nmecha (long-term injury), Sebastiaan Bornauw (suspended).
  • Yannick Gerhardt is a doubt due to a muscle issue.
  • Jonas Wind is expected to lead the attack.
• 1899 Hoffenheim:
  • Out: Dennis Geiger (injured), Marco John (injured).
  • Anton Stach is suspended.
  • Maximilian Beier is in good scoring form and will likely be a key threat.

Analysis based on Provided Probabilities:

• Result Probability: Home (32%), Draw (28%), Away (40%) - Suggests a slight edge for an away win.
• Over 2.5 Goals: 56% [YES], 44% [NO] - Leans towards a game with three or more goals.
• BTTS (Both Teams to Score): 59% [YES], 41% [NO] - Indicates a higher likelihood of both teams finding the net.
• xPTS (Expected Points): Wolfsburg 1.26, Hoffenheim 1.5 - Suggests Hoffenheim are statistically expected to gain slightly more points from this fixture.
• xG (Expected Goals): Wolfsburg 1.38, Hoffenheim 1.47 - Shows a marginal advantage in expected goals for Hoffenheim.
• Double Chance (Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim): 68% Confidence - Strong indication that Hoffenheim is likely to avoid defeat.

Updated Betting Tips and Prediction:

Considering the provided probabilities, which align with the previous analysis pointing towards a Hoffenheim advantage and a potentially high-scoring game, here are updated betting tips:

• Prediction: VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim
• Betting Tip 1: Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim (Double Chance) @ around 1/2 (1.50) - The high confidence level (68%) makes this a strong probability.
• Betting Tip 2: Over 2.5 Goals @ around 10/11 (1.91) - The 56% probability for over 2.5 goals supports this tip.
• Betting Tip 3: Both Teams to Score - Yes @ around 4/5 (1.80) - The 59% probability for BTTS makes this a likely outcome.

Additional Considerations:

• The statistical data reinforces the idea that Hoffenheim has a better chance of getting a positive result.
• The slight edge in xG for Hoffenheim further supports their potential to score more goals.
• The higher probability for both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals suggests an open and attacking game could be on the cards.