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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 14
6 Dec 2025-19:45
Verona
Verona
20th place
- : -
6 Dec 2025 14:45
Atalanta
Atalanta
12th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Verona vs Atalanta: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 14:45

1×2 Prediction
Atalanta
15%23%62%
VeronaDrawAtalanta
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
56%44%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
59%41%
NoYes
Team Total - Verona
Under 1.5
85%15%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Atalanta
Over 1.5
52%48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Atalanta
85%15%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Verona +1.5
62%38%
Home +1.5NOT Home +1.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Verona Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.26
84.6%
EV: +6.6%
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Verona vs Atalanta: A Battle for Survival and Revival

Intro Title

This upcoming clash between Verona and Atalanta is crucial for both teams, albeit for different reasons. Currently, Verona sits at the bottom of the Serie A table with just 6 points, while Atalanta, in 12th place with 16 points, is looking to halt a disappointing run of form. A win for Verona could ignite their campaign, but for Atalanta, it’s about building momentum and moving away from the relegation battle.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are struggling to find consistent form, but their recent performances tell a compelling story.

  • Verona: The home side has been particularly vulnerable, failing to secure a win in their last five matches (0W-1D-4L). They have averaged just 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.8, showcasing their difficulty in both scoring and defending. At home, they have yet to win, managing only two draws and three losses, with a concerning average of 1.6 goals conceded per match.
  • Atalanta: The visitors have also been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five (1W-1D-3L). While they have shown potential in attack with an average of 1.2 goals scored away from home, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding 1.2 goals per match. Their last outing was a much-needed 2-0 victory against Fiorentina, but they will need to build on that success to regain form.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Atalanta has dominated their encounters with Verona, winning 6 out of the last 8 matches. The average goals per head-to-head encounter is a striking 3.5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring affairs. The last five results include a heavy 5-0 defeat for Verona, a 6-1 loss, and a 2-2 draw, underscoring Atalanta's superiority in this matchup.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactics, Atalanta will look to exploit Verona's defensive weaknesses, especially given the absence of key players like S. Serdar and R. Gagliardini for the home side. The core of Atalanta’s attack will rely heavily on C. De Ketelaere, who has the ability to break down defenses and create opportunities. Verona will need to tighten their defense and possibly rely on V. Nelsson to lead from the back to fend off Atalanta’s attacking threats.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: Verona 1 - 2 Atalanta.
Reasoning: Despite their own inconsistencies, Atalanta's attacking potential, combined with Verona's current struggles and injuries, suggests that the away side is likely to secure the three points.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Away @ 1.77 (61.9%).
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - No @ 1.95 (58.9%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.61 vs 1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.54%
0:1
16.68%
🔥
0:2
14.58%
0:3
8.49%
0:4
3.71%
0:5
1.3%
1
1:0
5.74%
1:1
10.13%
1:2
8.92%
1:3
5.24%
1:4
2.31%
1:5
0.81%
2
2:0
1.73%
2:1
3.07%
2:2
2.73%
2:3
1.62%
2:4
0.72%
2:5
0.26%
3
3:0
0.35%
3:1
0.62%
3:2
0.56%
3:3
0.33%
3:4
0.15%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
0.05%
4:1
0.09%
4:2
0.09%
4:3
0.05%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (16.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.5%
0
22.4%
1
26.4%
2
20.8%
3
12.4%
4
5.9%
5
2.0%
6
0.5%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Verona
vs
Atalanta
Dec 6, 19:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
Cremonese
w l l l w
>
13
4
5
4
16
17
-1
17
12
Atalanta
d l l l w
>
13
3
7
3
16
14
2
16
13
Torino
d d d l l
>
13
3
5
5
12
23
-11
14

19
Fiorentina
l l d d l
>
13
0
6
7
10
21
-11
6
20
Verona
l l d l l
>
13
0
6
7
8
20
-12
6
Last 6 Matches
Verona
VS
Atalanta
0/6 (0%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.33 PPG 0.83
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
83% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.25 Avg xG 1.34
Verona
L L D L L
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Genoa
2 1
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Verona
1 2
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Lecce
0 0
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Verona
1 2
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 17:30
Como
3 1
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Verona
2 2
Cagliari
Atalanta
W L L W W
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Atalanta
2 0
Fiorentina
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 3
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Napoli
3 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Atalanta
0 3
Sassuolo
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Marseille
0 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
1 0
Atalanta
Missing Players
Verona
31
m
- Injured - Jumpers knee
- Injured - Injury
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - Knock
8
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Atalanta
5
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
13% Draw 64%
44% Over 2.5 56%
41% Both Teams Score 59%
0.71 xPTS 2.29
0.64 xG [Total: 2.33] 1.69
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
5 Corners [Total: 9] 4
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
17 Fouls [Total: 27] 11
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 4
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Verona will take on Atalanta as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Verona, and the visiting side, Atalanta. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Atalanta. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 19:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Verona vs Atalanta Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 14:45 Football

Value Bets

7 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 0:1
Odds: 7.04
16.5%
EV: +16.3% Kelly: $1.35
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Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.96
56.1%
EV: +10.0% Kelly: $5.20
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Value
Match Winner Atalanta
Odds: 1.73
61.9%
EV: +7.1% Kelly: $4.84
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Home Total Verona Under 1.5
Odds: 1.26
84.6%
EV: +6.6% Kelly: $12.68
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance X2
Odds: 1.19
85.1%
EV: +1.2% Kelly: $3.18
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 15:11:14
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Trends for Verona vs Atalanta Football 6 Dec, 2025 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Verona rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Verona vs Atalanta

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Verona is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Atalanta is stronger in the second half (10 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Verona

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Atalanta

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Verona - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Atalanta - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Verona - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Atalanta - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Verona often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Verona scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atalanta shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Atalanta winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Atalanta has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Atalanta handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.168
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.051
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Verona):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atalanta):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Verona
Atalanta

Verona vs Atalanta Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A

Verona vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Verona and away matches for Atalanta

Number of goals

Number of goals
Verona
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Verona
Atalanta
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Verona
Atalanta
1
0% 0
30% 3
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
60% 6
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Verona
Atalanta
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
100% 10
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Verona
Atalanta
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
20% 2
10% 1

Total Corners

Total Corners
Verona
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Verona
Atalanta
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Verona
Atalanta
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
40% 4

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Verona
Atalanta
xG
1.29
1.53
xGa
1
0.96

Number of goals

Number of goals
Verona
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Verona
Atalanta
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Verona
Atalanta
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
70% 7
60% 6
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Verona
Atalanta
12
30% 3
40% 4
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
90% 9
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Verona
Atalanta
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Verona
Atalanta
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Verona
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Verona
Atalanta
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Verona
Atalanta
1
0% 0
40% 4
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
60% 6
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Verona
Atalanta
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
40% 4
90% 9
X2
100% 10
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Verona
Atalanta
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Verona
Atalanta
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
Team comparison
Prediction
Verona Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.5%
Low
N/A
17.6%
Low
5.75
-2
1.7%
Low
N/A
27.8%
Low
4.65
-1.5
2.9%
Low
12.00
38.0%
Low
3.04
-1
7.6%
Low
9.60
51.6%
Medium
2.23
-0.5
12.3%
Low
4.65
65.2%
Medium
1.67
+0.5
34.8%
Low
2.37
87.7%
High
1.22
+1
48.4%
Low
1.75
92.4%
High
1.00
+1.5
62.0%
Medium
1.45
97.1%
High
1.03
+2
72.2%
High
1.18
98.3%
High
N/A
+2.5
82.4%
High
1.14
99.5%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.512.55%Low4.00
Under 1.587.45%High1.24
AwayOver 1.552.42%Medium1.82
Under 1.547.58%Low2.03
HomeOver 2.52.42%Low13.00
Under 2.597.58%High1.05
AwayOver 2.525.78%Low3.60
Under 2.574.22%High1.31
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
8 Feb
- 14:00
Verona
Atalanta
1.69
xG
2.21
0
5
26 Oct
- 18:45
Atalanta
Verona
2.44
xG
0.28
6
1
15 Apr
- 18:45
Atalanta
Verona
2
2
27 Sep
- 16:30
Verona
Atalanta
0
1
20 May
- 16:00
Atalanta
Verona
3
1
28 Aug
- 16:30
Verona
Atalanta
0
1
18 Apr
- 19:00
Atalanta
Verona
1
2
12 Dec
- 14:00
Verona
Atalanta
1
2
club logo
Verona
Atalanta
Played: 8
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
6
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
7
0.9
Goals
2.6
21
21
2.6
Goals Conceded
0.9
7
18
2.3
Yellow Cards
1.6
13
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.4
3
34
4.3
Corners
5
40
97
12.1
Fouls
9.9
79
13
1.6
Offsides
1.6
13
110
13.8
Shots
14.9
119
30
3.8
Shots on Goal
6.3
50
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 0 0 0
Draws 3 3 6
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.8 5 0.4 3 0.6 8
Goals Conceded 1.3 8 1.7 12 1.5 20
Yellow Cards 2.5 15 2.7 19 2.6 34
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 4.8 29 2.7 19 3.7 48
Fouls 17.2 103 17.1 120 17.2 223
Offsides 1.8 11 2.1 15 2 26
Shots 12.8 77 11.1 78 11.9 155
Shots on Goal 5.2 31 4 28 4.5 59
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 4 3 7
Losses 1 2 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 9 1.2 7 1.2 16
Goals Conceded 1 7 1.2 7 1.1 14
Yellow Cards 1.4 10 1.7 10 1.5 20
Red Cards 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.2 3
Corners 6.9 48 4 24 5.5 72
Fouls 10.3 72 9.7 58 10 130
Offsides 1.6 11 1.7 10 1.6 21
Shots 17.7 124 11.7 70 14.9 194
Shots on Goal 5.4 38 3.2 19 4.4 57
Ederson's Agent Issues Stern Warning to Atalanta
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Serie A 2025/26 Season Preview: The Scudetto, Surprises, and the Race for Glory
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How Football Tactics Are Evolving: From Tiki-Taka to Vertical Pressing
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Top 10 Most Goal-Scoring Teams in Europe (2024/2025 Season)
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Lazio Manager Marco Baroni Shares Insights on Atalanta Draw
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Gian Piero Gasperini Celebrates Atalanta's Successes in 2024
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