Verona vs Atalanta: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 14:45
Premium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumRisky Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumVerona vs Atalanta: A Battle for Survival and Revival
Intro Title
This upcoming clash between Verona and Atalanta is crucial for both teams, albeit for different reasons. Currently, Verona sits at the bottom of the Serie A table with just 6 points, while Atalanta, in 12th place with 16 points, is looking to halt a disappointing run of form. A win for Verona could ignite their campaign, but for Atalanta, it’s about building momentum and moving away from the relegation battle.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams are struggling to find consistent form, but their recent performances tell a compelling story.
- Verona: The home side has been particularly vulnerable, failing to secure a win in their last five matches (0W-1D-4L). They have averaged just 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.8, showcasing their difficulty in both scoring and defending. At home, they have yet to win, managing only two draws and three losses, with a concerning average of 1.6 goals conceded per match.
- Atalanta: The visitors have also been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five (1W-1D-3L). While they have shown potential in attack with an average of 1.2 goals scored away from home, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding 1.2 goals per match. Their last outing was a much-needed 2-0 victory against Fiorentina, but they will need to build on that success to regain form.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Atalanta has dominated their encounters with Verona, winning 6 out of the last 8 matches. The average goals per head-to-head encounter is a striking 3.5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring affairs. The last five results include a heavy 5-0 defeat for Verona, a 6-1 loss, and a 2-2 draw, underscoring Atalanta's superiority in this matchup.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
In terms of tactics, Atalanta will look to exploit Verona's defensive weaknesses, especially given the absence of key players like S. Serdar and R. Gagliardini for the home side. The core of Atalanta’s attack will rely heavily on C. De Ketelaere, who has the ability to break down defenses and create opportunities. Verona will need to tighten their defense and possibly rely on V. Nelsson to lead from the back to fend off Atalanta’s attacking threats.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: Verona 1 - 2 Atalanta.
Reasoning: Despite their own inconsistencies, Atalanta's attacking potential, combined with Verona's current struggles and injuries, suggests that the away side is likely to secure the three points.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Away @ 1.77 (61.9%).
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - No @ 1.95 (58.9%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Verona
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Verona vs Atalanta Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 14:45 Football
Value Bets
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumRisky Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumPremium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumSorted by: Ev
Trends for Verona vs Atalanta Football 6 Dec, 2025 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
🔐
Chance Suppression
Verona rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
-
🟨
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Verona vs Atalanta, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atalanta @ 1.73 ✅ 
✅Atalanta
- UnbeatenH2H6/875%Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 6 8 matches vs Verona
- UnbeatenRecent11/1479%Atalanta are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Serie A (Away) matches
- UnbeatenRecent23/3077%Atalanta are unbeaten in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
❌Verona
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Verona are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.95 
Atalanta(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Atalanta score (1.17/match) and concede (1.17/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.96 ✅ 
Verona(3 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H6/875%Verona scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Atalanta
- Few GoalsRecent13/1493%Verona scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent28/3093%Verona scored 0-1 goals in 28 of their last 30 Serie A matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Atalanta Win or Draw @ 1.19 ✅ 
✅Atalanta
- UnbeatenH2H6/875%Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 6 8 matches vs Verona
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/875%Atalanta are undefeated at half time in their last 6 8 matches vs Verona
- UnbeatenRecent11/1479%Atalanta are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 Serie A (Away) matches
- UnbeatenRecent23/3077%Atalanta are unbeaten in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
❌Verona
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Verona are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
⚡ Team Total Goals — Atalanta Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.82 ✅ 
✅Atalanta
- Scored 1+H2H8/8100%Atalanta scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches vs Verona
- Scored 1+Recent12/1486%Atalanta scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 14 Serie A (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.95 ✅ 
Verona(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H7/888%Verona receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Atalanta
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Verona average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1493%Verona receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Verona receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches
Atalanta(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Atalanta average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
+13 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Verona vs Atalanta
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Atalanta is stronger in the second half (10 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Verona
✈️ Atalanta
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Verona - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Atalanta - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Verona - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Atalanta - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Verona often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Verona scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Atalanta shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Atalanta winning the second half
- Overall Result: Atalanta has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Atalanta handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Verona):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atalanta):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Verona vs Atalanta Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A
Verona vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Verona and away matches for Atalanta
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0.5% Low N/A | 17.6% Low 5.75 |
| -2 | 1.7% Low N/A | 27.8% Low 4.65 |
| -1.5 | 2.9% Low 12.00 | 38.0% Low 3.04 |
| -1 | 7.6% Low 9.60 | 51.6% Medium 2.23 |
| -0.5 | 12.3% Low 4.65 | 65.2% Medium 1.67 |
| +0.5 | 34.8% Low 2.37 | 87.7% High 1.22 |
| +1 | 48.4% Low 1.75 | 92.4% High 1.00 |
| +1.5 | 62.0% Medium 1.45 | 97.1% High 1.03 |
| +2 | 72.2% High 1.18 | 98.3% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 82.4% High 1.14 | 99.5% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 12.55% | Low | 4.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 87.45% | High | 1.24 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 52.42% | Medium | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 | 47.58% | Low | 2.03 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 2.42% | Low | 13.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 97.58% | High | 1.05 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 25.78% | Low | 3.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 74.22% | High | 1.31 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
1
1
6
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.6 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 2.7 | 19 | 3.7 | 48 |
| Fouls | 17.2 | 103 | 17.1 | 120 | 17.2 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 11 | 2.1 | 15 | 2 | 26 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 11.1 | 78 | 11.9 | 155 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 31 | 4 | 28 | 4.5 | 59 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.1 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 48 | 4 | 24 | 5.5 | 72 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 72 | 9.7 | 58 | 10 | 130 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Shots | 17.7 | 124 | 11.7 | 70 | 14.9 | 194 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.4 | 38 | 3.2 | 19 | 4.4 | 57 |


Serie A 2025-2026