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Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
12th place
Form
VS
21:30
18 Apr 2026
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 18 April, 2026 16:30

Winner (1x2)-
Vasco DA Gama to Win
Probability 56%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 59%
Vasco DA Gama Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 70%
Sao Paulo Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 90%
Double Chance-
Vasco DA Gama/Draw
Probability 78%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
21:30
Vasco DA Gama W 56%
:
Sao Paulo W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Vasco DA Gama
d w w d l
6 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (9 total)
xG
2.00 (11.9 total)
Shots per Match
18.8 (113 total)
Shots on Target
6.3 (34% acc)
Corners
6.5 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11 (66 total)
Offsides
0.3 (2 total)
4 Played
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (6 total)
xG
0.90 (3.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (53 total)
Shots on Target
4 (30% acc)
Corners
3.5 (14 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (1 total)
Fouls
12 (48 total)
Offsides
2.3 (9 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (15 total)
xG
1.50 (15.4 total)
Shots per Match
16.6 (166 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (33% acc)
Corners
5.3 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.4 (114 total)
Offsides
1.1 (11 total)
Sao Paulo
w l l d w
5 Played
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (10 total)
xG
1.70 (8.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (57 total)
Shots on Target
4 (35% acc)
Corners
6.4 (32 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14 (70 total)
Offsides
2.4 (12 total)
5 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (5 total)
xG
0.80 (4.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (49 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (35% acc)
Corners
5.2 (26 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
16.6 (83 total)
Offsides
0.6 (3 total)
10 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (15 total)
xG
1.30 (12.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (106 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (35% acc)
Corners
5.8 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.3 (153 total)
Offsides
1.5 (15 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.93 vs 1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.85%
0:1
5.41%
0:2
2.5%
0:3
0.77%
0:4
0.18%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
10.15%
1:1
10.52%
🔥
1:2
5.39%
1:3
1.82%
1:4
0.46%
1:5
0.09%
2
2:0
8.79%
2:1
10.11%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.11%
2:4
0.58%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
5.08%
3:1
6.42%
3:2
3.96%
3:3
1.59%
3:4
0.47%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
3.03%
4:2
2.03%
4:3
0.88%
4:4
0.28%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.76%
5:1
1.14%
5:2
0.82%
5:3
0.39%
5:4
0.13%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.9%
0
15.6%
1
21.8%
2
21.4%
3
16.3%
4
10.4%
5
5.4%
6
2.3%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Vasco DA GamaHDPSao Paulo
15.5%
Very Low
-2.5
2.3%
Very Low
24.1%
Low
-2
5.1%
Very Low
32.7%
Low
-1.5
7.9%
Very Low
44.5%
Medium
-1
14.7%
Very Low
56.3%
Medium
-0.5
21.4%
Low
78.6%
High
+0.5
43.7%
Medium
85.3%
Very High
+1
55.5%
Medium
92.1%
Very High
+1.5
67.3%
High
94.9%
Very High
+2
75.9%
High
97.7%
Very High
+2.5
84.5%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Vasco DA GamaOutcomeSao Paulo
57.5%
Medium
Over 1.5
30.8%
Low
42.5%
Medium
Under 1.5
69.2%
High
30.4%
Low
Over 2.5
10.4%
Very Low
69.6%
High
Under 2.5
89.6%
Very High
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Vasco DA Gama will take on Sao Paulo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-18 at 2026-04-18 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Vasco DA Gama, and the visiting side, Sao Paulo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-18 Time: 21:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo Saturday, Apr 18th, 2026 at 16:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo Football 18 Apr, 2026 16:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Vasco DA Gama create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Vasco DA Gama rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Vasco DA Gama is stronger in the second half (15 vs 11).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Vasco DA Gama

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Sao Paulo

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Vasco DA Gama - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Sao Paulo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Vasco DA Gama - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Sao Paulo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Vasco DA Gama shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 11 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Vasco DA Gama winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Sao Paulo has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Sao Paulo handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.048
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.026
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Vasco DA Gama):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sao Paulo):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 18 Apr, 2026 @ 16:30 Serie A BR

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Vasco DA Gama
VS
Sao Paulo
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (3)
1.5 (3)
xG
1.80
1.10
Shots
19 (38)
11 (22)
Shots on Target
8.5 (17)
4.5 (9)
Corners
4.5 (9)
4.5 (9)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (3)
1.5 (3)
xGa
1.10
1.80
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (4)
3 (6)
Fouls
14 (28)
16.5 (33)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
2 Nov
- 23:30
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
1.83
xG
1.91
0
2
13 Jun
- 00:30
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
0.38
xG
1.81
1
3
Last 6 Matches
Vasco DA Gama
VS
Sao Paulo
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.83 PPG 1.67
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
100% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.23 Avg xG 0.95
Vasco DA Gama
D W W D L
Serie A BR 2026
5 Apr 2026 - 00:00
Vasco DA Gama
1 2
Botafogo
Serie A BR 2026
1 Apr 2026 - 23:30
Coritiba
1 1
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A BR 2026
22 Mar 2026 - 19:00
Vasco DA Gama
2 1
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
19 Mar 2026 - 00:30
Vasco DA Gama
3 2
Fluminense
Serie A BR 2026
15 Mar 2026 - 23:30
Cruzeiro
3 3
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A BR 2026
12 Mar 2026 - 22:30
Vasco DA Gama
2 1
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
W L L D W
Serie A BR 2026
4 Apr 2026 - 21:30
Sao Paulo
4 1
Cruzeiro
Serie A BR 2026
1 Apr 2026 - 22:30
Internacional
1 1
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
22 Mar 2026 - 00:00
Sao Paulo
0 1
Palmeiras
Serie A BR 2026
18 Mar 2026 - 23:00
Atletico-MG
1 0
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
15 Mar 2026 - 23:30
RB Bragantino
1 2
Sao Paulo
Serie A BR 2026
12 Mar 2026 - 23:00
Sao Paulo
2 0
Chapecoense-sc

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Vasco DA Gama and away matches for Sao Paulo

Number of goals
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Yes
90% 9
50% 5
No
10% 1
50% 5
1X2
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
70% 7
60% 6
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Total Corners
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
xG
1.54
1.27
xGa
0.73
0.92
Number of goals
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
0-1
70% 7
90% 9
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
Number of goals
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
1
30% 3
80% 8
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
70% 7
20% 2
Total Goals
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
1.90 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found