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Cruzeiro
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Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 March, 2026 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
3
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(3 total)
xG
2.40
(7.2 total)
Shots per Match
23.7
(71 total)
Shots on Target
7.3
(31% acc)
Corners
10.3
(31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12
(36 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
3
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(5 total)
xG
1.00
(3.0 total)
Shots per Match
14
(42 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(33% acc)
Corners
3.3
(10 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
12.3
(37 total)
Offsides
1.7
(5 total)
6
Played
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(8 total)
xG
1.70
(10.2 total)
Shots per Match
18.8
(113 total)
Shots on Target
6
(32% acc)
Corners
6.8
(41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
12.2
(73 total)
Offsides
0.8
(5 total)
3
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7
(8 total)
xG
1.70
(5.2 total)
Shots per Match
15
(45 total)
Shots on Target
7
(47% acc)
Corners
4.7
(14 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.3
(37 total)
Offsides
1.3
(4 total)
3
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(2 total)
xG
0.90
(2.6 total)
Shots per Match
10
(30 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(27% acc)
Corners
4.7
(14 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
2.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
12.7
(38 total)
Offsides
1.3
(4 total)
6
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(10 total)
xG
1.30
(7.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(75 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(39% acc)
Corners
4.7
(28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(75 total)
Offsides
1.3
(8 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.78 vs 2.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.08%
0:1
2.33%
0:2
1.76%
0:3
0.96%
0:4
0.39%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
3.21%
1:1
5.41%
1:2
5.08%
1:3
3.05%
1:4
1.36%
⭐
1:5
0.48%
2
2:0
3.47%
2:1
7.13%
2:2
7.19%
🔥
2:3
4.74%
⭐
2:4
2.31%
⭐
2:5
0.89%
⭐
3
3:0
2.65%
3:1
6.02%
⭐
3:2
6.65%
⭐
3:3
4.79%
⭐
3:4
2.53%
⭐
3:5
1.05%
⭐
4
4:0
1.52%
4:1
3.77%
⭐
4:2
4.55%
⭐
4:3
3.55%
⭐
4:4
2.03%
⭐
4:5
0.91%
5
5:0
0.7%
5:1
1.88%
⭐
5:2
2.45%
⭐
5:3
2.07%
⭐
5:4
1.28%
⭐
5:5
0.62%
Hotspot:
2:2 (7.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Vasco DA Gama will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-22 at 2026-03-22 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Vasco DA Gama, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Gremio.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-22
Time: 19:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio Sunday, Mar 22nd, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio Football 22 Mar, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Vasco DA Gama create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Chance Suppression
Vasco DA Gama rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio.
🏆 Match Winner — Gremio @ 3.55 ⚠️ 
Gremio
UnbeatenH2H
Gremio are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Vasco DA Gama
Not WinH2H
Vasco DA Gama have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Gremio to win looks justified.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.86 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Gremio Win or Draw @ 1.73 ✅ 
Gremio
UnbeatenH2H
Gremio are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Gremio are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Vasco DA Gama
Not WinH2H
Vasco DA Gama have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Gremio to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Gremio Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.05 ✅
Gremio
Scored 1+Recent
Gremio scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Second Half SpecialistsRecent
Gremio score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Gremio's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Vasco DA Gama1 Trends — avg 2 (-21% below league)Many CardsH2H
Vasco DA Gama receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Gremio1 Trends — avg 2.6 (+2% above league)Many CardsH2H
Gremio receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🎯 Betting Analysis
Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Gremio is stronger in the second half (21 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Gremio is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Gremio is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Vasco DA Gama
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Gremio
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Vasco DA Gama - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Gremio - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
21
Avg. Goals per Match
1.05
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Vasco DA Gama - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Gremio - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
12
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Gremio shows superior performance after the break (21 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Gremio winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Gremio excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Gremio scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Gremio has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Gremio handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.003
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.027
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Vasco DA Gama):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Gremio):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Mar, 2026 @ 14:00 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Gremio
Goals Home:
+0.5*
Goals Away:
+0.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Vasco DA Gama
VS
Gremio
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (1)
1.5 (3)
xG
1.20
1.30
Shots
18 (36)
16.5 (33)
Shots on Target
4.5 (9)
6.5 (13)
Corners
7.5 (15)
3.5 (7)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (3)
0.5 (1)
xGa
1.30
1.20
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (5)
3.5 (7)
Fouls
16.5 (33)
13.5 (27)
Offsides
1 (2)
2 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Vasco DA Gama
VS
Gremio
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.83
PPG
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
83%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.70
Avg xG
1.29
Vasco DA Gama vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Vasco DA Gama and away matches for Gremio
Number of goals
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
xG
1.32
1.39
xGa
0.89
1.61
Number of goals
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Number of goals
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
1X2
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
2.38
xG
1.23
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found