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Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 9 December, 2025 20:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.93 vs 1.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.89%
⭐
0:1
13.31%
🔥
⭐
0:2
9.96%
⭐
0:3
4.97%
⭐
0:4
1.86%
⭐
0:5
0.56%
⭐
1
1:0
7.18%
1:1
11.83%
1:2
9.68%
1:3
5.24%
1:4
2.11%
1:5
0.68%
⭐
2
2:0
2.9%
2:1
5.22%
2:2
4.63%
2:3
2.71%
2:4
1.17%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
0.78%
3:1
1.52%
3:2
1.46%
3:3
0.92%
3:4
0.43%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.16%
4:1
0.33%
4:2
0.34%
4:3
0.23%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.06%
5:2
0.06%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Union St. Gilloise
VS
Marseille
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.40
Avg xG
1.87
0.93
xG [Total: 2.55]
1.62
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
5
Corners [Total: 10]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 24]
13
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 10]
4
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Union St. Gilloise will take on Marseille as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-09 at 2025-12-09 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Union St. Gilloise, and the visiting side, Marseille. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Marseille.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-09
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille Tuesday, Dec 9th, 2025 at 20:00 Football
Value Bets
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Best Tip
High Value
Home Total
Union St. Gilloise Under 1.5
Odds:
1.65
71.6%
EV: +18.1%
Kelly: $13.94
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Trends for Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille Football 9 Dec, 2025 20:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Marseille @ 2.41 ⚠️ 
Union St. Gilloise
- Not WinRecent3/475%Union St. Gilloise have not won their last 3 4 matches
- LostRecent3/475%Union St. Gilloise have lost their last 3 4 matches
Marseille confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.55 ⚠️ 
Union St. Gilloise(1 trends)
- BTTS NoRecent4/4100%At least one team failed to score in their last 4 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Union St. Gilloise rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.38 ⚠️
Union St. Gilloise(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent7/978%Union St. Gilloise scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Marseille Win or Draw @ 1.44 ⚠️ 
Marseille
- Undefeated at HTRecent10/1377%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 10 of their last 13 UEFA Champions League matches
Union St. Gilloise
- Not WinRecent3/475%Union St. Gilloise have not won their last 3 4 matches
Marseille confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Marseille Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.97 ✅ 
Union St. Gilloise
- Haven't ScoredRecent3/475%Union St. Gilloise haven't scored in their last 3 4 matches
Despite Union St. Gilloise's form, Union St. Gilloise's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Marseille(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent6/6100%Marseille receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent10/1377%Marseille receive 2+ cards in 10 of their last 13 UEFA Champions League matches
Union St. Gilloise disciplined play balances Marseille aggression —
+4 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Union St. Gilloise
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Marseille
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Union St. Gilloise - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Marseille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Union St. Gilloise - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Marseille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
12
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.346
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Union St. Gilloise):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Marseille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille Head-to-head statistics for Tue 9 Dec, 2025 @ 20:00 UEFA Champions League
Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Union St. Gilloise and away matches for Marseille
Number of goals
Number of goals
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
xG
1.19
1.71
xGa
1.28
0.98
Number of goals
Number of goals
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Union St. Gilloise
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Union St. Gilloise Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.95%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 23.85% | Low | 2.26 |
| Under 1.5 | 76.15% | High | 1.66 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 48.15% | Low | 1.97 |
| Under 1.5 | 51.85% | Medium | 1.86 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 6.79% | Low | 5.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.21% | High | 1.19 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 22.18% | Low | 4.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 77.82% | High | 1.23 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0 | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 8 | 1.3 | 4 | 2.4 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 5 | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Corners | 5 | 10 | 4.3 | 13 | 4.6 | 23 |
| Fouls | 15 | 30 | 13 | 39 | 13.8 | 69 |
| Offsides | 2 | 4 | 4.3 | 13 | 3.4 | 17 |
| Shots | 15.5 | 31 | 12.7 | 38 | 13.8 | 69 |
| Shots on Goal | 6 | 12 | 4.7 | 14 | 5.2 | 26 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Corners | 5 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 3.8 | 19 |
| Fouls | 15.7 | 47 | 15 | 30 | 15.4 | 77 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 4 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.4 | 7 |
| Shots | 13 | 39 | 11.5 | 23 | 12.4 | 62 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 4.6 | 23 |
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