Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 12 December, 2025 14:30
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Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Friday, Dec 12th, 2025 at 14:30 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Football 12 Dec, 2025 14:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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⚽
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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📈
Dominant Chance Creation
RB Leipzig create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — RB Leipzig @ 2.13 ✅ 
✅RB Leipzig
- High xG PerformanceH2H8/8100%RB Leipzig create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs Union Berlin
- Top Table FormLeague70%RB Leipzig are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%RB Leipzig create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Bundesliga (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%RB Leipzig create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
❌Union Berlin
- Not WinRecent13/1776%Union Berlin have not won in 13 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
Union Berlin(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Union Berlin score (1.43/match) and concede (1.43/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 56%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
RB Leipzig(2 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H6/875%RB Leipzig scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs Union Berlin
- Few GoalsRecent13/1681%RB Leipzig scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 16 Bundesliga (Away) matches
🛡️ Double Chance — RB Leipzig Win or Draw @ 1.34 ✅ 
✅RB Leipzig
- Top Table FormLeague70%RB Leipzig are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1681%RB Leipzig are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Bundesliga (Away) matches
❌Union Berlin
- Not WinRecent13/1776%Union Berlin have not won in 13 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — RB Leipzig Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.98 ⚠️ 
✅RB Leipzig
- Scored 1+H2H6/875%RB Leipzig scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs Union Berlin
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Union Berlin(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H7/888%Union Berlin receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs RB Leipzig
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%Union Berlin average 2.8 cards/match in all matches (+32% above league avg 2.1) — rank #3 in league
RB Leipzig(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague12/1290%RB Leipzig average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.1) — rank #5 lowest in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.68 ✅ 
Union Berlin(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+16% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/781%Union Berlin average 5.7 corners/match at home (+16% above league avg 4.9)
RB Leipzig(2 trends) — avg 5.9 (+20% above league)
- Corner DominanceH2H6/875%RB Leipzig dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs Union Berlin
- Many CornersLeague7/785%RB Leipzig average 5.9 corners/match in away matches (+20% above league avg 4.9)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Union Berlin
✈️ RB Leipzig
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Union Berlin - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ RB Leipzig - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Union Berlin - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ RB Leipzig - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: RB Leipzig shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of RB Leipzig winning the second half
- Overall Result: RB Leipzig has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider RB Leipzig handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Union Berlin):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (RB Leipzig):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Head-to-head statistics for Fri 12 Dec, 2025 @ 14:30 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Union Berlin and away matches for RB Leipzig
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1.9% Low N/A | 8.6% Low 7.90 |
| -2 | 4.9% Low 16.50 | 15.8% Low 7.00 |
| -1.5 | 7.9% Low 7.40 | 23.1% Low 3.78 |
| -1 | 15.9% Low 6.50 | 35.6% Low 3.10 |
| -0.5 | 24.0% Low 3.41 | 48.2% Low 2.08 |
| +0.5 | 51.8% Medium 1.84 | 76.0% High 1.35 |
| +1 | 64.4% Medium 1.40 | 84.1% High 1.12 |
| +1.5 | 76.9% High 1.27 | 92.1% High 1.10 |
| +2 | 84.2% High 1.10 | 95.1% High 1.01 |
| +2.5 | 91.4% High 1.07 | 98.0% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 27.53% | Low | 2.77 |
| Under 1.5 | 72.47% | High | 1.45 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 44.88% | Low | 1.98 |
| Under 1.5 | 55.12% | Medium | 1.84 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 8.59% | Low | 7.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 91.41% | High | 1.11 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 19.62% | Low | 4.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 80.38% | High | 1.24 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4
2
2
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 10 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.6 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 24 | 1.4 | 7 | 2.6 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 40 | 3.4 | 17 | 4.8 | 57 |
| Fouls | 15.1 | 106 | 10 | 50 | 13 | 156 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 13 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 | 22 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 86 | 10 | 50 | 11.3 | 136 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.4 | 24 | 3.2 | 16 | 3.3 | 40 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.4 | 12 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.8 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 3 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 8 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 2 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.5 | 6 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 32 | 5.9 | 41 | 6.1 | 73 |
| Fouls | 8.4 | 42 | 10 | 70 | 9.3 | 112 |
| Offsides | 1 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 1.6 | 19 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 79 | 16.3 | 114 | 16.1 | 193 |
| Shots on Goal | 7.4 | 37 | 4.3 | 30 | 5.6 | 67 |


Bundesliga 2025-2026