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Bundesliga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 14
12 Dec 2025-19:30
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
12th place
- : -
12 Dec 2025 14:30
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2nd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 12 December, 2025 14:30

1×2 Prediction
RB Leipzig
25%28%47%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
54%46%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%48%
YesNo
Team Total - Union Berlin
Under 1.5
72%28%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - RB Leipzig
Under 1.5
55%45%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/RB Leipzig
75%25%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Union Berlin +1
64%36%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Union Berlin Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.45
70.8%
EV: +2.6%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.03 vs 1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.24%
0:1
12.54%
🔥
0:2
8.51%
0:3
3.85%
0:4
1.31%
0:5
0.35%
1
1:0
8.01%
1:1
12.38%
1:2
9.42%
1:3
4.72%
1:4
1.76%
1:5
0.52%
2
2:0
3.47%
2:1
6.02%
2:2
5.09%
2:3
2.81%
2:4
1.15%
2:5
0.37%
3
3:0
1%
3:1
1.93%
3:2
1.8%
3:3
1.09%
3:4
0.48%
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
0.22%
4:1
0.46%
4:2
0.47%
4:3
0.31%
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.2%
0
20.6%
1
24.4%
2
20.3%
3
13.3%
4
7.2%
5
3.3%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Union Berlin
vs
RB Leipzig
Dec 12, 19:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Bayern München
w w d w w
>
12
11
1
0
44
9
35
34
2
RB Leipzig
w w l w d
>
12
8
2
2
22
13
9
26
3
12
7
4
1
21
11
10
25

11
1.FC Köln
l w l l d
>
12
4
3
5
21
20
1
15
12
Union Berlin
l d d w l
>
12
4
3
5
15
19
-4
15
13
Hamburger SV
l l d l w
>
12
3
3
6
11
18
-7
12
Last 6 Matches
Union Berlin
VS
RB Leipzig
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 2.17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.86 Avg xG 1.64
Union Berlin
L D D W L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
1 2
1. FC Heidenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
0 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
2 2
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
0 0
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Oct 2025 - 18:30
Werder Bremen
1 0
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Oct 2025 - 18:30
Union Berlin
3 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
W W L W D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 0
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 14:30
RB Leipzig
2 0
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
3 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 14:30
RB Leipzig
3 1
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Oct 2025 - 13:30
FC Augsburg
0 6
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Oct 2025 - 13:30
RB Leipzig
2 1
Hamburger SV
25% Draw 47%
46% Over 2.5 54%
52% Both Teams Score 48%
1.14 xPTS 1.86
1.03 xG [Total: 2.55] 1.52
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 2
5 Corners [Total: 11] 5
2 Offsides [Total: 4] 2
15 Fouls [Total: 26] 11
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 4
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Union Berlin will take on RB Leipzig as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-12 at 2025-12-12 in the famous Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Union Berlin, and the visiting side, RB Leipzig. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-12 Time: 19:30 Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Friday, Dec 12th, 2025 at 14:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 18:39:25
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Trends for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Football 12 Dec, 2025 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    RB Leipzig create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: RB Leipzig is stronger in the second half (13 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Union Berlin

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.06

✈️ RB Leipzig

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Union Berlin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ RB Leipzig - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Union Berlin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

✈️ RB Leipzig - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: RB Leipzig shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of RB Leipzig winning the second half
  • Overall Result: RB Leipzig has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider RB Leipzig handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.267
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Union Berlin):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (RB Leipzig):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Union Berlin
RB Leipzig

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Head-to-head statistics for Fri 12 Dec, 2025 @ 14:30 Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Union Berlin and away matches for RB Leipzig

Number of goals

Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1
30% 3
70% 7
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
70% 7
30% 3

Total Goals

Total Goals
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
40% 4
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Union Berlin
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
xG
1.14
1.85
xGa
1.33
1.15

Number of goals

Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
60% 6
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
60% 6
60% 6
2
30% 3
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
12
40% 4
40% 4
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
90% 9
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.9%
Low
N/A
8.6%
Low
7.90
-2
4.9%
Low
16.50
15.8%
Low
7.00
-1.5
7.9%
Low
7.40
23.1%
Low
3.78
-1
15.9%
Low
6.50
35.6%
Low
3.10
-0.5
24.0%
Low
3.41
48.2%
Low
2.08
+0.5
51.8%
Medium
1.84
76.0%
High
1.35
+1
64.4%
Medium
1.40
84.1%
High
1.12
+1.5
76.9%
High
1.27
92.1%
High
1.10
+2
84.2%
High
1.10
95.1%
High
1.01
+2.5
91.4%
High
1.07
98.0%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.527.53%Low2.77
Under 1.572.47%High1.45
AwayOver 1.544.88%Low1.98
Under 1.555.12%Medium1.84
HomeOver 2.58.59%Low7.50
Under 2.591.41%High1.11
AwayOver 2.519.62%Low4.05
Under 2.580.38%High1.24
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
1 Feb
- 17:30
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1.37
xG
0.24
0
0
14 Sep
- 13:30
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1.24
xG
0.61
0
0
4 Feb
- 16:30
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
2
0
3 Sep
- 15:30
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
0
3
11 Feb
- 17:30
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1
2
20 Aug
- 16:30
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
2
1
23 Apr
- 13:30
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1
2
3 Dec
- 19:30
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
2
1
club logo
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Played: 8
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
1
Goals
1.1
9
9
1.1
Goals Conceded
1
8
20
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.8
14
2
0.3
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.5
4
31
3.9
Corners
6
48
100
12.5
Fouls
10.8
86
14
1.8
Offsides
2
16
86
10.8
Shots
11.8
94
26
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.3
26
Home Away All
Played 7 5 12
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 3 0 3
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.4 10 1 5 1.3 15
Goals Conceded 1.4 10 1.8 9 1.6 19
Yellow Cards 3.4 24 1.4 7 2.6 31
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.2 1 0.2 2
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.3 3
Corners 5.7 40 3.4 17 4.8 57
Fouls 15.1 106 10 50 13 156
Offsides 1.9 13 1.8 9 1.8 22
Shots 12.3 86 10 50 11.3 136
Shots on Goal 3.4 24 3.2 16 3.3 40
Home Away All
Played 5 7 12
Wins 5 3 8
Draws 0 2 2
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.4 12 1.4 10 1.8 22
Goals Conceded 0.6 3 1.4 10 1.1 13
Yellow Cards 1.6 8 1.7 12 1.7 20
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.4 2 0.6 4 0.5 6
Corners 6.4 32 5.9 41 6.1 73
Fouls 8.4 42 10 70 9.3 112
Offsides 1 5 2 14 1.6 19
Shots 15.8 79 16.3 114 16.1 193
Shots on Goal 7.4 37 4.3 30 5.6 67
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