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Form
Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 16
Preview
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
8th place
Form
VS
14:30
10 Jan 2026
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
18th place
Form
AI Prediction Union Berlin or Draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 10 January, 2026 8:30

1×2 Prediction
Union Berlin
52%27%21%
Union BerlinDrawFSV Mainz 05
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
53%47%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%48%
YesNo
Team Total - Union Berlin
Under 1.5
52%48%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - FSV Mainz 05
Under 2.5
93%7%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Union Berlin/Draw
79%21%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
FSV Mainz 05 +1.5
74%26%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Union Berlin or Draw
Odds: 1.33
79.3%
EV: +5.4%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
14:30
Union Berlin W 52%
:
FSV Mainz 05 W 21%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Union Berlin
w l l w w
8 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (13 total)
xG
1.20 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (97 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (30% acc)
Corners
5.5 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.1 (113 total)
Offsides
1.8 (14 total)
7 Played
3 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7 total)
xG
1.10 (7.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (81 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (30% acc)
Corners
4.7 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.1 (78 total)
Offsides
1.7 (12 total)
15 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (20 total)
xG
1.20 (17.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (178 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (30% acc)
Corners
5.1 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.7 (191 total)
Offsides
1.7 (26 total)
FSV Mainz 05
l d d w d
12 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (14 total)
xG
1.30 (15.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (158 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (25% acc)
Corners
5.8 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
12 (144 total)
Offsides
2.8 (34 total)
11 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (11 total)
xG
0.90 (10.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (111 total)
Shots on Target
2.5 (25% acc)
Corners
4.7 (52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.6 (128 total)
Offsides
2.1 (23 total)
23 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (25 total)
xG
1.10 (25.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.7 (269 total)
Shots on Target
3 (25% acc)
Corners
5.3 (121 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
11.8 (272 total)
Offsides
2.5 (57 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.61 vs 0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.2%
0:1
7.2%
0:2
2.82%
0:3
0.73%
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
13.09%
🔥
1:1
11.97%
1:2
5.36%
1:3
1.57%
1:4
0.34%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
9.31%
2:1
9.74%
2:2
4.93%
2:3
1.62%
2:4
0.39%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
4.41%
3:1
5.2%
3:2
2.95%
3:3
1.08%
3:4
0.29%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
1.57%
4:1
2.06%
4:2
1.29%
4:3
0.52%
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.45%
5:1
0.64%
5:2
0.44%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.2%
0
20.3%
1
24.1%
2
20.2%
3
13.4%
4
7.4%
5
3.5%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Union BerlinHDPFSV Mainz 05
10.1%
Very Low@ 9.70
-2.5
1.4%
@ 15.00Very Low
18.1%
Very Low@ 8.50
-2
3.8%
@ 17.00Very Low
26.0%
Low@ 4.20
-1.5
6.2%
@ 8.20Very Low
39.1%
Low@ 3.40
-1
13.4%
@ 7.20Very Low
52.2%
Medium@ 2.16
-0.5
20.6%
@ 3.86Low
79.4%
High@ 1.30
+0.5
47.8%
@ 1.76Medium
86.6%
Very High@ 1.10
+1
60.9%
@ 1.35High
93.8%
Very High@ 1.06
+1.5
74.0%
@ 1.23High
96.2%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
81.9%
@ 1.01Very High
98.6%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
89.9%
@ 1.05Very High

Team Total Predictions

Union BerlinOutcomeFSV Mainz 05
80.0%
Very High@ 1.28
Over 0.5
62.1%
@ 1.52High
20.0%
Very Low@ 3.80
Under 0.5
37.9%
@ 2.61Low
47.8%
Medium@ 2.37
Over 1.5
25.3%
@ 3.42Low
52.2%
Medium@ 1.63
Under 1.5
74.7%
@ 1.33High
21.9%
Low@ 5.60
Over 2.5
7.5%
@ 10.50Very Low
78.1%
High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
92.5%
@ 1.06Very High
8.0%
Very Low@ 15.00
Over 3.5
1.7%
@ 29.00Very Low
92.0%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 3.5
98.3%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Union Berlin will take on FSV Mainz 05 as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2026-01-10 at 2026-01-10 in the famous Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Union Berlin, and the visiting side, FSV Mainz 05. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Union Berlin or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-10 Time: 14:30 Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Saturday, Jan 10th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Match Winner Union Berlin
Odds: 2.25
52.1%
EV: +17.1% Stake: $2.00
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.33
79.3%
EV: +5.4% Stake: $7.58
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.33
79.3%
EV: +5.4% Stake: $7.58
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 12
Odds: 1.39
72.8%
EV: +1.2% Stake: $6.41
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-07 02:16:16
spinner

Trends for Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Football 10 Jan, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Union Berlin rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Union Berlin

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.11

✈️ FSV Mainz 05

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Union Berlin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Union Berlin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Union Berlin has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Union Berlin handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.297
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Union Berlin):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Head-to-head statistics for Sat 10 Jan, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
15
7
4
4
30
30
0
25
8
Union Berlin
w l l w w
>
15
6
3
6
20
23
-3
21
9
SC Freiburg
l w l d w
>
15
5
5
5
25
26
-1
20

17
1. FC Heidenheim
l w w l l
>
15
3
2
10
13
34
-21
11
18
FSV Mainz 05
d l l d d
>
15
1
5
9
13
26
-13
8
Team comparison
Prediction
Union Berlin or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Union Berlin
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Last 8 Head-to-Head Matches
5 Wins
3 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (15)
0.9 (7)
xG
1.30
1.60
Shots
12.1 (97)
12.4 (99)
Shots on Target
3.8 (30)
3.8 (30)
Corners
4.1 (33)
4.5 (36)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (7)
1.9 (15)
xGa
1.60
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (19)
2 (16)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (2)
Fouls
12.6 (101)
12.6 (101)
Offsides
1.4 (11)
1.1 (9)
19 Jan
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2.08
xG
1.69
2
1
24 Aug
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1.44
xG
0.50
1
1
7 Feb
- 17:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
1
20 Aug
- 13:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
4
1
4 Feb
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
14 Aug
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
0
0
26 Feb
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
3 Oct
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
2
Last 6 Matches
Union Berlin
VS
FSV Mainz 05
3/6 (50%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 0.50
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.14 Avg xG 0.91
Union Berlin
W L L W W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 14:30
1.FC Köln
0 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Union Berlin
3 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
3 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
1 2
1. FC Heidenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
0 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
2 2
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
L D D W D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 0
FC St. Pauli
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FSV Mainz 05
2 0
Samsunspor
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Bayern München
2 2
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lech Poznan
1 1
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 19:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:30
SC Freiburg
4 0
FSV Mainz 05

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Union Berlin and away matches for FSV Mainz 05

Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
40% 4
20% 2
Total Corners
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
xG
1.04
1
xGa
0.94
1.77
Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
50% 5
60% 6
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
12
50% 5
40% 4
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.62 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
error code: 524
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