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Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
10th place
Form
VS
14:30
21 Feb 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
6th place
Form
AI Prediction Both Teams to Score
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)2.57
Bayer Leverkusen to Win
Probability 43%
Total Goals1.96
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Both Teams to Score1.70
Yes
Probability 85%
Union Berlin Total1.14
Home Under 2.5
Probability 81%
Bayer Leverkusen Total2.31
Away Over 1.5
Probability 61%
Double Chance1.46
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap1.47
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5
Probability 74%

Betting Tip

Both Teams to Score

No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.

Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
14:30
Union Berlin W 24%
:
Bayer Leverkusen W 43%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Union Berlin
d l l d l
11 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (16 total)
xG
1.30 (14.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (134 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (30% acc)
Corners
5.3 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.7 (140 total)
Offsides
1.5 (17 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (12 total)
xG
1.30 (14.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (144 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (26% acc)
Corners
5.2 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
11.8 (130 total)
Offsides
1.4 (15 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (28 total)
xG
1.30 (29.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (278 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (28% acc)
Corners
5.2 (115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
12.3 (270 total)
Offsides
1.5 (32 total)
Bayer Leverkusen
w w w d w
15 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (32 total)
xG
1.80 (27.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.5 (218 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (37% acc)
Corners
5.7 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
8.1 (121 total)
Offsides
1.4 (21 total)
14 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (24 total)
xG
1.40 (19.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (152 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (34% acc)
Corners
4.1 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.4 (132 total)
Offsides
0.9 (12 total)
29 Played
15 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (56 total)
xG
1.60 (46.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (370 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (143 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
8.7 (253 total)
Offsides
1.1 (33 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.59 vs 2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.13%
0:1
5.98%
0:2
5.71%
0:3
3.63%
0:4
1.73%
0:5
0.66%
1
1:0
3.79%
1:1
8.42%
1:2
9.18%
🔥
1:3
6.56%
1:4
3.48%
1:5
1.46%
2
2:0
2.29%
2:1
5.81%
2:2
7.15%
2:3
5.72%
2:4
3.35%
2:5
1.55%
3
3:0
0.92%
3:1
2.63%
3:2
3.62%
3:3
3.21%
3:4
2.08%
3:5
1.05%
4
4:0
0.28%
4:1
0.88%
4:2
1.34%
4:3
1.32%
4:4
0.93%
4:5
0.52%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.23%
5:2
0.39%
5:3
0.42%
5:4
0.33%
5:5
0.2%
Hotspot: 1:2 (9.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.1%
0
9.8%
1
16.4%
2
19.5%
3
18.4%
4
14.4%
5
9.6%
6
5.3%
7
2.4%
8
0.8%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Union BerlinHDPBayer Leverkusen
3.6%
Very Low@ 13.00
-2.5
13.4%
@ 10.50Very Low
7.2%
Very Low@ 12.00
-2
21.2%
@ 9.10Low
10.8%
Very Low@ 6.00
-1.5
29.0%
@ 4.80Low
18.5%
Very Low@ 4.98
-1
40.2%
@ 4.09Medium
26.1%
Low@ 2.83
-0.5
51.4%
@ 2.49Medium
48.7%
Medium@ 1.62
+0.5
73.9%
@ 1.47High
59.8%
Medium@ 1.30
+1
81.6%
@ 1.18Very High
71.0%
High@ 1.18
+1.5
89.2%
@ 1.14Very High
78.8%
High@ 1.00
+2
92.8%
@ 1.03Very High
86.6%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
96.4%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

Union BerlinOutcomeBayer Leverkusen
42.8%
Medium@ 2.58
Over 1.5
60.8%
@ 2.31High
57.3%
Medium@ 1.53
Under 1.5
39.2%
@ 1.63Low
19.0%
Very Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
34.1%
@ 5.50Low
81.0%
Very High@ 1.14
Under 2.5
65.9%
@ 1.16High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Union Berlin will take on Bayer Leverkusen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Union Berlin, and the visiting side, Bayer Leverkusen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-21 Time: 14:30 Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 8:30 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 76%
EV: +49.0%
Stake: $2.60
1.96
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 84.9%
EV: +44.4%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 75.9%
EV: +10.8%
Stake: $5.43
1.46
Win to Nil Union Berlin NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 92.5%
EV: +8.2%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 02:45:30
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Trends for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Football 21 Feb, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Union Berlin rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (17 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Union Berlin is stronger in the second half (15 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Union Berlin is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Union Berlin

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Union Berlin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Union Berlin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Bayer Leverkusen often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Bayer Leverkusen scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (17 vs 10)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bayer Leverkusen to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Union Berlin shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Union Berlin winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Union Berlin excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Union Berlin scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Bayer Leverkusen has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Bayer Leverkusen handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.132
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.031
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Union Berlin):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayer Leverkusen):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
RB Leipzig
w d l w d
>
22
12
4
6
42
30
12
40
6
Bayer Leverkusen
l w w d w
>
21
12
3
6
43
27
16
39
7
22
8
7
7
44
46
-2
31

9
Hamburger SV
d d d w w
>
21
6
7
8
24
31
-7
25
10
Union Berlin
d l l d l
>
22
6
7
9
28
37
-9
25
11
FC Augsburg
d w w l w
>
22
7
4
11
25
39
-14
25
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Union Berlin
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
4 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4 (4)
1.9 (17)
xG
0.70
1.30
Shots
8.8 (79)
15.2 (137)
Shots on Target
2.7 (24)
5.2 (47)
Corners
3.7 (33)
6.2 (56)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 (17)
0.4 (4)
xGa
1.30
0.70
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
6 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (18)
1.2 (11)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11.9 (107)
9.6 (86)
Offsides
1.3 (12)
1.2 (11)
4 Oct
- 13:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
2.50
xG
0.77
2
0
12 Apr
- 13:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
0.55
xG
0.64
0
0
30 Nov
- 14:30
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
0.71
xG
0.94
1
2
6 Apr
- 13:30
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
12 Nov
- 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
4
0
29 Apr
- 13:30
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
6 Nov
- 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
5
0
8 Jan
- 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
2
2
14 Aug
- 13:30
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
Last 6 Matches
Union Berlin
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
0/6 (0%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.50 PPG 1.67
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
83% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.60 Avg xG 1.59
Union Berlin
D L L D L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
3 2
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Union Berlin
1 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
3 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Union Berlin
0 3
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 14:30
VfB Stuttgart
1 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Jan 2026 - 19:30
FC Augsburg
1 1
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W D W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
4 0
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 3
Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
3 0
Villarreal
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 0
Werder Bremen
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 0
Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Union Berlin and away matches for Bayer Leverkusen

Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
80% 8
40% 4
No
20% 2
60% 6
1X2
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
50% 5
40% 4
Total Corners
Union Berlin
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
xG
1.63
1.74
xGa
1.03
1.02
Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0% 0
50% 5
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
100% 10
50% 5
Total Goals
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
70% 7
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Number of goals
Union Berlin
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
70% 7
10% 1
No
30% 3
90% 9
1X2
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
10% 1
0% 0
Double Chance
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
90% 9
100% 10
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
20% 2
70% 7
2-3
70% 7
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
20% 2
90% 9
No
80% 8
10% 1
1.25 xG 2.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
error code: 524
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