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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
14 Dec 2025-14:00
Udinese
Udinese
9th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 8:00
Napoli
Napoli
2nd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Udinese vs Napoli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 8:00

1×2 Prediction
Napoli
20%26%54%
UdineseDrawNapoli
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
58%42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
56%44%
NoYes
Team Total - Udinese
Under 1.5
80%20%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Napoli
Under 2.5
80%20%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Napoli
80%20%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Udinese +1.5
71%29%
Home +1.5NOT Home +1.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Udinese Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.26
79.9%
EV: +0.7%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.79 vs 1.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.78%
0:1
15.06%
🔥
0:2
11.6%
0:3
5.96%
0:4
2.3%
0:5
0.71%
1
1:0
7.63%
1:1
11.85%
1:2
9.2%
1:3
4.76%
1:4
1.85%
1:5
0.57%
2
2:0
2.98%
2:1
4.66%
2:2
3.65%
2:3
1.9%
2:4
0.74%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
0.78%
3:1
1.22%
3:2
0.96%
3:3
0.51%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
0.15%
4:1
0.24%
4:2
0.19%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.8%
0
22.7%
1
26.4%
2
20.6%
3
12.1%
4
5.7%
5
2.1%
6
0.6%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Udinese
vs
Napoli
Dec 14, 14:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
AC Milan
d w d w w
>
13
8
4
1
19
9
10
28
2
Napoli
w d l w w
>
13
9
1
3
20
11
9
28
3
Inter
w w w l w
>
13
9
0
4
28
13
15
27

8
Lazio
d w l w l
>
13
5
3
5
15
10
5
18
9
Udinese
l w l l w
>
13
5
3
5
14
20
-6
18
10
Sassuolo
w l w d l
>
13
5
2
6
16
16
0
17
Last 6 Matches
Udinese
VS
Napoli
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.50 PPG 2.17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
33% BTTS % 17%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.05 Avg xG 1.38
Udinese
L W L L W
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Parma
0 2
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
0 3
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 17:00
AS Roma
2 0
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
1 0
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 17:30
Juventus
3 1
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 13:00
Udinese
3 2
Lecce
Napoli
D L W W W
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AS Roma
0 1
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Napoli
2 0
Qarabag
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Napoli
3 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Bologna
2 0
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Napoli
0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Napoli
0 0
Como
20% Draw 54%
42% Over 2.5 58%
44% Both Teams Score 56%
0.95 xPTS 2.05
0.79 xG [Total: 2.34] 1.55
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 2
5 Corners [Total: 9] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 2] 1
14 Fouls [Total: 26] 12
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 5
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Udinese will take on Napoli as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Bluenergy Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Udinese, and the visiting side, Napoli. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Napoli. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 14:00 Location: Bluenergy Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Udinese vs Napoli Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 8:00 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.85
55.7%
EV: +3.0% Kelly: $1.74
Bet Now
Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.75
58%
EV: +1.5% Kelly: $1.00
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Home Total Udinese Under 1.5
Odds: 1.26
79.9%
EV: +0.7% Kelly: $1.39
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:28:16
spinner

Trends for Udinese vs Napoli Football 14 Dec, 2025 8:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Napoli have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Udinese rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Udinese vs Napoli

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Udinese is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
🔄 Second Half: Napoli is stronger in the second half (13 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Udinese

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.1

✈️ Napoli

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Udinese - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Napoli - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Udinese - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Napoli - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Udinese often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Udinese scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Napoli shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Napoli winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Napoli has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Napoli handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.364
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.04
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Udinese):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Napoli):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Udinese
Napoli

Udinese vs Napoli Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 Serie A

Udinese vs Napoli: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Udinese and away matches for Napoli

Number of goals

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Udinese
Napoli
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Udinese
Napoli
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Udinese
Napoli
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Udinese
Napoli
0-1
10% 1
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
30% 3
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Udinese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Udinese
Napoli
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Udinese
Napoli
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Udinese
Napoli
xG
1.11
1.34
xGa
1.26
1.19

Number of goals

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Udinese
Napoli
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Udinese
Napoli
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
50% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Udinese
Napoli
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Udinese
Napoli
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Udinese
Napoli
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2

Number of goals

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Udinese
Napoli
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Udinese
Napoli
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Udinese
Napoli
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Udinese
Napoli
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Udinese
Napoli
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Udinese Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.3%
Low
N/A
12.1%
Low
7.50
-2
3.5%
Low
N/A
20.6%
Low
7.00
-1.5
5.7%
Low
8.70
29.1%
Low
3.64
-1
12.3%
Low
7.90
42.3%
Low
2.80
-0.5
18.9%
Low
4.20
55.4%
Medium
1.97
+0.5
44.6%
Low
1.96
81.1%
High
1.24
+1
57.7%
Medium
1.47
87.7%
High
1.02
+1.5
70.9%
High
1.29
94.3%
High
1.01
+2
79.4%
High
1.10
96.5%
High
N/A
+2.5
87.9%
High
1.07
98.7%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.96%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.518.76%Low4.00
Under 1.581.24%High1.26
AwayOver 1.545.88%Low2.15
Under 1.554.12%Medium1.72
HomeOver 2.54.60%Low13.00
Under 2.595.40%High1.05
AwayOver 2.520.38%Low4.80
Under 2.579.62%High1.20
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
9 Feb
- 19:45
Napoli
Udinese
1.14
xG
0.79
1
1
14 Dec
- 17:00
Udinese
Napoli
1.84
xG
2.19
1
3
6 May
- 18:45
Udinese
Napoli
1
1
27 Sep
- 18:45
Napoli
Udinese
4
1
4 May
- 18:45
Udinese
Napoli
1
1
12 Nov
- 14:00
Napoli
Udinese
3
2
19 Mar
- 14:00
Napoli
Udinese
2
1
20 Sep
- 18:45
Udinese
Napoli
0
4
club logo
Udinese
Napoli
Played: 8
Wins
0
Draws
3
Wins
5
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
1
Goals
2.4
19
19
2.4
Goals Conceded
1
8
11
1.4
Yellow Cards
0.9
7
1
0.1
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.1
1
31
3.9
Corners
6.4
51
97
12.1
Fouls
10.8
86
14
1.8
Offsides
1.1
9
74
9.3
Shots
16.3
130
23
2.9
Shots on Goal
5.9
47
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 2 3 5
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 6 1.1 8 1.1 14
Goals Conceded 1.7 10 1.4 10 1.5 20
Yellow Cards 1.5 9 2.4 17 2 26
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 4.3 26 4.7 33 4.5 59
Fouls 12.7 76 14.3 100 13.5 176
Offsides 1.3 8 0.7 5 1 13
Shots 12.5 75 10.6 74 11.5 149
Shots on Goal 4 24 3.6 25 3.8 49
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 5 4 9
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 0 3 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 12 1.1 8 1.5 20
Goals Conceded 0.8 5 0.9 6 0.8 11
Yellow Cards 1.7 10 1.4 10 1.5 20
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.4 5
Corners 5.5 33 5.1 36 5.3 69
Fouls 13.8 83 12.4 87 13.1 170
Offsides 1.7 10 0.6 4 1.1 14
Shots 13.2 79 13.1 92 13.2 171
Shots on Goal 5.5 33 4.9 34 5.2 67
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