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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
27 Dec 2025-17:00
Udinese
Udinese
12th place
- : -
27 Dec 2025 11:00
Lazio
Lazio
8th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Udinese vs Lazio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 11:00

1×2 Prediction
Lazio
28%34%38%
UdineseDrawLazio
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
72%28%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
62%38%
NoYes
Team Total - Udinese
Under 1.5
80%20%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Lazio
Under 1.5
73%27%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Lazio
72%28%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Udinese +1
74%26%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Udinese Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.4
80.1%
EV: +12.1%
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Udinese vs Lazio: Serie A Clash on the Rise

The Stakes Are High

As Serie A reaches the halfway point of the season, Udinese will host Lazio in a crucial match for both teams. With Udinese sitting 12th on 21 points and Lazio just above them in 8th place with 23 points, this contest is vital for both sides to enhance their league positions and shake off recent struggles.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams have had inconsistent performances lately, which makes this fixture particularly intriguing.

  • Udinese: Struggling to find their rhythm, Udinese has only managed two wins in their last five matches, including a heavy 5-1 defeat to Fiorentina. They have been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match while only scoring 1.
  • Lazio: Lazio's recent form has been slightly better, with two wins and two draws in their last five. However, they have struggled in front of goal, averaging only 0.8 goals per match. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with just one win in their last five away games.

Head-to-Head

The historical encounters between these two sides have been closely contested, with a balanced record in their last eight matches. Each team has secured two victories, while four games ended in stalemate. The last five results show a trend of tight games, indicating that neither team has been able to dominate the other.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

This matchup is likely to be a tactical battle, with Udinese relying on their home advantage to create goal-scoring opportunities. Lazio, on the other hand, will look to exploit Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities. Key players such as O. Solet for Udinese, who has been a consistent presence in defense, will be crucial in mitigating Lazio's attacks. For Lazio, goalkeeper I. Provedel has been instrumental in keeping clean sheets, and his performance will be vital in a match where goals may be at a premium.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw
Predicted Score: 0:0
Reasoning: Given the recent form, both teams are struggling to score, and with Udinese's high xGA, it's likely this match will end in a stalemate. The statistical model indicates a low-scoring affair is expected.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals some valuable betting opportunities.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Under 1.5 @ 1.4 (Probability: 80.1%). This bet offers a strong chance of success, given Udinese's struggles to find the back of the net.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.69 (Probability: 71.7%). The implied probability from the odds is around 59.2%, making this a worthwhile bet as it shows a positive value.

Bet responsibly.

Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
11:00
Udinese W 28%
:
Lazio W 38%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.76 vs 0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
17.77%
🔥
0:1
17.14%
0:2
8.26%
0:3
2.66%
0:4
0.64%
0:5
0.12%
1
1:0
13.44%
1:1
13.1%
1:2
6.38%
1:3
2.07%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
5.08%
2:1
5%
2:2
2.46%
2:3
0.81%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
1.28%
3:1
1.27%
3:2
0.63%
3:3
0.21%
3:4
0.05%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.24%
4:1
0.24%
4:2
0.12%
4:3
0.04%
4:4
0.01%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.02%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (17.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

17.8%
0
30.6%
1
26.4%
2
15.3%
3
6.7%
4
2.3%
5
0.7%
6
0.2%
7
0.0%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Como
d w w l l
>
15
6
6
3
19
12
7
24
8
Lazio
w l d w d
>
16
6
5
5
17
11
6
23
9
Atalanta
l w l w w
>
16
5
7
4
20
18
2
22

11
Cremonese
l w w l d
>
16
5
6
5
18
18
0
21
12
Udinese
l w l w l
>
16
6
3
7
17
27
-10
21
13
Torino
l l l w w
>
16
5
5
6
16
26
-10
20
0.75 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Last 6 Matches
Udinese
VS
Lazio
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.00 PPG 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
33% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.15 Avg xG 1.02
Udinese
L W L W L
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Fiorentina
5 1
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
1 0
Napoli
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Udinese
1 2
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Parma
0 2
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
0 3
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 17:00
AS Roma
2 0
Udinese
Lazio
W L D W D
Serie A 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
0 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Parma
0 1
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
1 1
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
2 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Inter
2 0
Lazio
Missing Players
Udinese
14
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
15
f
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - International duty
40
g
- Suspended - Red Card
33
d
- Injured - Thigh Injury
Lazio
4
d
- Injured - Sprained ankle
26
m
- Suspended - Red Card
- Injured - International duty
19
m
- Injured - International duty
2
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
23
d
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Groin Injury
18
f
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Udinese will take on Lazio as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous Bluenergy Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Udinese, and the visiting side, Lazio. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Lazio and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-27 Time: 17:00 Location: Bluenergy Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Udinese vs Lazio Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 11:00 Football

Value Bets

7 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 0:0
Odds: 8.47
19.3%
EV: +63.3% Stake: $0.33
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High Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.91
62.2%
EV: +18.7% Stake: $2.75
Bet Now
High Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.91
62.2%
EV: +18.7% Stake: $2.75
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Home Total Udinese Under 1.5
Odds: 1.40
80.1%
EV: +12.1% Stake: $6.25
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Total Home Under 1.5
Odds: 1.40
80.1%
EV: +12.1% Stake: $6.25
Bet Now
Value
Total Away Under 1.5
Odds: 1.49
73.5%
EV: +9.5% Stake: $5.10
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 06:15:16
spinner

Trends for Udinese vs Lazio Football 27 Dec, 2025 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Lazio have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Lazio struggle to score — failed to find net in 8/8 recent away matches

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Udinese vs Lazio

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Udinese

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Lazio

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Udinese - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Lazio - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Udinese - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Lazio - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Lazio has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lazio handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.084
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.043
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Udinese):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lazio):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Udinese
Lazio

Udinese vs Lazio Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 11:00 Serie A

Udinese vs Lazio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Udinese and away matches for Lazio

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Udinese
Lazio
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Udinese
Lazio
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Udinese
Lazio
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Udinese
Lazio
0-1
20% 2
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
30% 3
0% 0
Total Corners
Udinese
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Udinese
Lazio
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
1X2 HT - FT
Udinese
Lazio
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Udinese
Lazio
xG
0.95
0.82
xGa
1.45
1.25
Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Udinese
Lazio
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Udinese
Lazio
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
30% 3
70% 7
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Udinese
Lazio
12
70% 7
30% 3
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Udinese
Lazio
0-1
70% 7
90% 9
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Udinese
Lazio
Yes
50% 5
80% 8
No
50% 5
20% 2
Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Lazio
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Udinese
Lazio
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2
Udinese
Lazio
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Udinese
Lazio
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Udinese
Lazio
0-1
50% 5
90% 9
2-3
50% 5
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Udinese
Lazio
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
Team comparison
Prediction
Udinese Under 1.5 Goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.7%
Low
17.00
3.8%
Low
13.00
-2
4.8%
Low
16.00
8.8%
Low
9.30
-1.5
8.0%
Low
6.80
13.9%
Low
5.25
-1
17.5%
Low
6.12
26.1%
Low
4.45
-0.5
27.1%
Low
3.14
38.3%
Low
2.55
+0.5
61.7%
Medium
1.57
72.9%
High
1.42
+1
73.9%
High
1.23
82.5%
High
1.15
+1.5
86.1%
High
1.16
92.0%
High
1.10
+2
91.2%
High
1.00
95.2%
High
1.01
+2.5
96.2%
High
1.03
98.3%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.516.52%Low3.25
Under 1.583.48%High1.40
AwayOver 1.523.70%Low2.76
Under 1.576.30%High1.49
HomeOver 2.53.75%Low9.00
Under 2.596.25%High1.09
AwayOver 2.56.72%Low7.10
Under 2.593.28%High1.12
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
10 Mar
- 19:45
Lazio
Udinese
0.84
xG
1.43
1
1
24 Aug
- 16:30
Udinese
Lazio
0.85
xG
1.31
2
1
11 Mar
- 19:45
Lazio
Udinese
1
2
7 Jan
- 14:00
Udinese
Lazio
1
2
21 May
- 18:45
Udinese
Lazio
0
1
16 Oct
- 13:00
Lazio
Udinese
0
0
20 Feb
- 19:45
Udinese
Lazio
1
1
2 Dec
- 19:45
Lazio
Udinese
4
4
club logo
Udinese
Lazio
Played: 8
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
11
1.4
Goals
1.4
11
11
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.4
11
31
3.9
Yellow Cards
1.9
15
4
0.5
Red Cards
0.1
1
1
0.1
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
34
4.3
Corners
7.8
62
116
14.5
Fouls
10.9
87
13
1.6
Offsides
1.1
9
98
12.3
Shots
12.1
97
25
3.1
Shots on Goal
4
32
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 3 3 6
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 8 1.1 9 1.1 17
Goals Conceded 1.5 12 1.9 15 1.7 27
Yellow Cards 1.4 11 2.3 18 1.8 29
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Corners 4.1 33 4.6 37 4.4 70
Fouls 13.4 107 13.5 108 13.4 215
Offsides 1.5 12 0.9 7 1.2 19
Shots 14.1 113 10.6 85 12.4 198
Shots on Goal 4.3 34 3.6 29 3.9 63
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 1 4 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.6 13 0.5 4 1.1 17
Goals Conceded 0.6 5 0.8 6 0.7 11
Yellow Cards 1.8 14 1.9 15 1.8 29
Red Cards 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Clean Sheets 0.6 5 0.5 4 0.6 9
Corners 5.1 41 2.3 18 3.7 59
Fouls 11 88 10.5 84 10.8 172
Offsides 0.4 3 0.8 6 0.6 9
Shots 12.8 102 9.3 74 11 176
Shots on Goal 4.6 37 3.9 31 4.3 68
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