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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 14
8 Dec 2025-17:00
Udinese
Udinese
9th place
- : -
8 Dec 2025 12:00
Genoa
Genoa
16th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Udinese vs Genoa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 8 December, 2025 12:00

1×2 Prediction
Genoa
27%28%45%
UdineseDrawGenoa
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
62%38%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
57%43%
NoYes
Team Total - Udinese
Under 1.5
78%22%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Genoa
Under 1.5
62%38%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Genoa
73%27%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Genoa +1
87%13%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Udinese Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.46
77.5%
EV: +13.2%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Double Chance Draw or Genoa
Odds: 1.58
73.1%
EV: +15.5%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.79 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.99%
0:1
15.62%
🔥
0:2
11.11%
0:3
5.27%
0:4
1.87%
0:5
0.53%
1
1:0
8.59%
1:1
12.31%
1:2
8.81%
1:3
4.21%
1:4
1.51%
1:5
0.43%
2
2:0
3.36%
2:1
4.85%
2:2
3.49%
2:3
1.68%
2:4
0.61%
2:5
0.17%
3
3:0
0.88%
3:1
1.27%
3:2
0.92%
3:3
0.45%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
0.17%
4:1
0.25%
4:2
0.18%
4:3
0.09%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.0%
0
24.2%
1
26.8%
2
19.8%
3
11.0%
4
4.9%
5
1.7%
6
0.5%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Udinese
vs
Genoa
Dec 8, 17:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Lazio
d w l w l
>
13
5
3
5
15
10
5
18
9
Udinese
l w l l w
>
13
5
3
5
14
20
-6
18
10
Sassuolo
w l w d l
>
13
5
2
6
16
16
0
17

15
Cagliari
l l d d l
>
13
2
5
6
13
19
-6
11
16
Genoa
l w d d w
>
13
2
5
6
13
20
-7
11
17
Parma
l l d w l
>
13
2
5
6
9
17
-8
11
Last 6 Matches
Udinese
VS
Genoa
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
33% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.05 Avg xG 1.45
Udinese
L W L L W
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Parma
0 2
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
0 3
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 17:00
AS Roma
2 0
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
1 0
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 17:30
Juventus
3 1
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 13:00
Udinese
3 2
Lecce
Genoa
L W D D W
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Genoa
2 1
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Cagliari
3 3
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Genoa
2 2
Fiorentina
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Sassuolo
1 2
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Genoa
0 2
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Oct 2025 - 11:30
Torino
2 1
Genoa
23% Draw 50%
38% Over 2.5 62%
43% Both Teams Score 57%
1.03 xPTS 1.97
0.79 xG [Total: 2.22] 1.43
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 3
5 Corners [Total: 8] 3
1 Offsides [Total: 2] 1
14 Fouls [Total: 28] 14
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 7] 3
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Udinese will take on Genoa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-08 at 2025-12-08 in the famous Bluenergy Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Udinese, and the visiting side, Genoa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Genoa. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-08 Time: 17:00 Location: Bluenergy Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Udinese vs Genoa Monday, Dec 8th, 2025 at 12:00 Football

Value Bets

8 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 0:1
Odds: 8.66
15.6%
EV: +34.8% Kelly: $2.27
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Premium Tip 💎 PREMIUM

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Best Tip Value
Home Total Udinese Under 1.5
Odds: 1.46
77.5%
EV: +13.2% Kelly: $14.33
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Udinese NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.27
87%
EV: +10.5% Kelly: $19.45
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Genoa +1.5
Odds: 1.16
93.8%
EV: +8.8% Kelly: $27.45
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Genoa +1
Odds: 1.24
86.6%
EV: +7.4% Kelly: $15.33
Bet Now
Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.82
57.2%
EV: +4.0% Kelly: $2.45
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 12
Odds: 1.42
71.9%
EV: +2.1% Kelly: $2.45
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-06 00:30:25
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Trends for Udinese vs Genoa Football 8 Dec, 2025 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Udinese rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Udinese vs Genoa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Udinese is stronger in the final minutes (5 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Udinese

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.1

✈️ Genoa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.04

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Udinese - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Genoa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Udinese - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Genoa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Udinese excels in the closing minutes (5 vs 2 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Udinese scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Genoa has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Genoa handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.238
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.058
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Udinese):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Genoa):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Udinese
Genoa

Udinese vs Genoa Head-to-head statistics for Mon 8 Dec, 2025 @ 12:00 Serie A

Udinese vs Genoa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Udinese and away matches for Genoa

Number of goals

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Udinese
Genoa
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Udinese
Genoa
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
50% 5
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Udinese
Genoa
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
70% 7
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Udinese
Genoa
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
70% 7
4+
30% 3
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Udinese
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Udinese
Genoa
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Udinese
Genoa
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Udinese
Genoa
xG
1.11
1.27
xGa
1.26
1.27

Number of goals

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Udinese
Genoa
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Udinese
Genoa
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
50% 5
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Udinese
Genoa
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Udinese
Genoa
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Udinese
Genoa
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Udinese
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Udinese
Genoa
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Udinese
Genoa
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Udinese
Genoa
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Udinese
Genoa
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Udinese
Genoa
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Udinese Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.4%
Low
13.00
10.1%
Low
15.00
-2
3.8%
Low
11.50
18.1%
Low
17.00
-1.5
6.2%
Low
5.25
26.0%
Low
7.30
-1
13.4%
Low
4.43
39.1%
Low
6.40
-0.5
20.6%
Low
2.51
52.2%
Medium
3.26
+0.5
47.8%
Low
1.38
79.4%
High
1.59
+1
60.9%
Medium
1.12
86.6%
High
1.24
+1.5
74.0%
High
1.09
93.8%
High
1.16
+2
81.9%
High
1.01
96.2%
High
1.03
+2.5
89.9%
High
1.01
98.6%
High
1.02
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.518.76%Low2.90
Under 1.581.24%High1.46
AwayOver 1.541.85%Low3.50
Under 1.558.15%Medium1.34
HomeOver 2.54.60%Low7.50
Under 2.595.40%High1.11
AwayOver 2.517.38%Low11.00
Under 2.582.62%High1.06
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4 Apr
- 18:45
Genoa
Udinese
1.32
xG
1.03
1
0
1 Dec
- 11:30
Udinese
Genoa
0.17
xG
1.64
0
2
24 Feb
- 19:45
Genoa
Udinese
2
0
1 Oct
- 13:00
Udinese
Genoa
2
2
22 Jan
- 14:00
Genoa
Udinese
0
0
28 Nov
- 11:30
Udinese
Genoa
0
0
club logo
Udinese
Genoa
Played: 6
Wins
0
Draws
3
Wins
3
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
2
0.3
Goals
1.2
7
7
1.2
Goals Conceded
0.3
2
16
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
15
3
0.5
Red Cards
0.2
1
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.8
5
28
4.7
Corners
4
24
91
15.2
Fouls
14.3
86
7
1.2
Offsides
1.8
11
44
7.3
Shots
12
72
10
1.7
Shots on Goal
4
24
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 2 3 5
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 6 1.1 8 1.1 14
Goals Conceded 1.7 10 1.4 10 1.5 20
Yellow Cards 1.5 9 2.4 17 2 26
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 4.3 26 4.7 33 4.5 59
Fouls 12.7 76 14.3 100 13.5 176
Offsides 1.3 8 0.7 5 1 13
Shots 12.5 75 10.6 74 11.5 149
Shots on Goal 4 24 3.6 25 3.8 49
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.6 4 1.5 9 1 13
Goals Conceded 1.3 9 1.8 11 1.5 20
Yellow Cards 2.3 16 3 18 2.6 34
Red Cards 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0 0.2 2
Corners 3.4 24 4 24 3.7 48
Fouls 15.3 107 13.5 81 14.5 188
Offsides 1.4 10 1.5 9 1.5 19
Shots 12.4 87 10.3 62 11.5 149
Shots on Goal 3.6 25 4.2 25 3.8 50
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