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Toulouse
Toulouse vs Paris FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 12:00
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11
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(19 total)
xG
1.50
(16.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.4
(158 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(34% acc)
Corners
4.9
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.3
(146 total)
Offsides
1
(11 total)
11
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(13 total)
xG
1.20
(12.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(118 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(36% acc)
Corners
4.4
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.1
(166 total)
Offsides
1.1
(12 total)
22
Played
8
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(32 total)
xG
1.30
(28.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(276 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(35% acc)
Corners
4.6
(102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.2
(312 total)
Offsides
1
(23 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(14 total)
xG
1.30
(14.7 total)
Shots per Match
13
(143 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(29% acc)
Corners
5.3
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.4
(125 total)
Offsides
2.7
(30 total)
11
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(12 total)
xG
1.00
(11.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(103 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(35% acc)
Corners
3
(33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.9
(120 total)
Offsides
1.5
(16 total)
22
Played
5
Wins
7
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(26 total)
xG
1.20
(26.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(246 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(32% acc)
Corners
4.1
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.1
(245 total)
Offsides
2.1
(46 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.97 vs 1.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.51%
0:1
4.93%
0:2
3.46%
0:3
1.62%
⭐
0:4
0.57%
⭐
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
5.6%
1:1
9.18%
🔥
1:2
7.37%
⭐
1:3
3.89%
⭐
1:4
1.52%
⭐
1:5
0.47%
⭐
2
2:0
4.46%
2:1
8.37%
2:2
7.6%
⭐
2:3
4.48%
⭐
2:4
1.94%
⭐
2:5
0.66%
⭐
3
3:0
2.37%
3:1
5.01%
3:2
5.09%
⭐
3:3
3.33%
⭐
3:4
1.59%
⭐
3:5
0.59%
4
4:0
0.95%
4:1
2.22%
⭐
4:2
2.5%
⭐
4:3
1.81%
⭐
4:4
0.95%
⭐
4:5
0.39%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.78%
⭐
5:2
0.96%
⭐
5:3
0.76%
⭐
5:4
0.44%
5:5
0.19%
Hotspot:
1:1 (9.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Toulouse will take on Paris FC as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Stadium de Toulouse.
The referee for the game will be B. Millot. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Toulouse, and the visiting side, Paris FC. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Toulouse or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 18:00
Location: Stadium de Toulouse
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Paris FC Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Toulouse vs Paris FC Football 21 Feb, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Toulouse create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Chance Suppression
Toulouse rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Toulouse vs Paris FC.
🏆 Match Winner — Toulouse @ 1.96 ✅ 
Toulouse
Above League AverageLeague
Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
8 / 871.5%
Paris FC
Not WinRecent
Paris FC have not won in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
12 / 1675%
💡Toulouse confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.01 
Paris FC1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Paris FC score (1.13/match) and concede (1.75/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
5 / 863%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ⚠️
Toulouse1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
8 / 871.5%
💡Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Toulouse Win or Draw @ 1.25 ⚠️ 
Paris FC
Not WinRecent
Paris FC have not won in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
12 / 1675%
💡Toulouse confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Toulouse Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.15 ⚠️
Toulouse
Above League AverageLeague
Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
8 / 871.5%
💡Toulouse's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Toulouse1 Trends — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Toulouse average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
16 / 1687.5%
💡Paris FC disciplined play balances Toulouse aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
Paris FC1 Trends — avg 3.2 (-30% below league)Few CornersLeague
Paris FC average 3.2 corners/match in away matches (-30% below league avg 4.7)
8 / 885%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.70
🎯 Betting Analysis
Toulouse vs Paris FC
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Toulouse is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Toulouse
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Paris FC
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Toulouse - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Paris FC - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Toulouse - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Paris FC - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Toulouse often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Toulouse scoring first
- Overall Result: Toulouse has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Toulouse handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.157
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.039
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Toulouse):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris FC):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Toulouse vs Paris FC Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 12:00 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
8
7
7
29
33
-4
31
10
8
6
8
32
26
6
30
11
▲
8
6
9
31
34
-3
30
14
6
5
11
27
40
-13
23
15
5
7
10
26
39
-13
22
16
4
5
13
17
30
-13
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Paris FC AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Toulouse
VS
Paris FC
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
3 (3)
0 (0)
xG
2.20
0.40
Shots
6 (6)
9 (9)
Shots on Target
4 (4)
2 (2)
Corners
4 (4)
7 (7)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
3 (3)
xGa
0.40
2.20
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
3 (3)
Fouls
14 (14)
12 (12)
Offsides
2 (2)
2 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Toulouse
VS
Paris FC
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.00
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
33%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.04
Avg xG
0.98
Toulouse vs Paris FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Paris FC
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Paris FC
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Toulouse
Paris FC
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Toulouse
Paris FC
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Toulouse
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Paris FC
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Toulouse
Paris FC
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Toulouse
Paris FC
xG
1.17
1.03
xGa
0.96
1.68
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Paris FC
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Toulouse
Paris FC
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Toulouse
Paris FC
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Paris FC
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Paris FC
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Toulouse
Paris FC
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Toulouse
Paris FC
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Paris FC
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Broken Leg
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
1.48
xG
1.28
60%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found