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Toulouse vs Nice: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 12:00
Prediction League
9
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(14 total)
xG
1.50
(13.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(124 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(31% acc)
Corners
4.8
(43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.7
(123 total)
Offsides
1
(9 total)
8
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(10 total)
xG
1.20
(9.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(74 total)
Shots on Target
3
(32% acc)
Corners
4
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.8
(118 total)
Offsides
0.9
(7 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(24 total)
xG
1.40
(23.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(198 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(32% acc)
Corners
4.4
(75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.2
(241 total)
Offsides
0.9
(16 total)
13
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(14 total)
xG
1.20
(15.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(163 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.5
(137 total)
Offsides
1.8
(24 total)
12
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(10 total)
xG
0.90
(10.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(106 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(27% acc)
Corners
4.2
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.8
(154 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
25
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
17
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(24 total)
xG
1.00
(26.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(269 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.5
(112 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.6
(291 total)
Offsides
1.4
(35 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.72 vs 1.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.2%
0:1
6.64%
0:2
3.55%
0:3
1.27%
0:4
0.34%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
10.23%
1:1
11.38%
🔥
1:2
6.32%
1:3
2.34%
1:4
0.65%
1:5
0.14%
2
2:0
8.44%
2:1
9.75%
2:2
5.61%
2:3
2.15%
2:4
0.62%
2:5
0.14%
3
3:0
4.64%
3:1
5.56%
3:2
3.32%
3:3
1.31%
3:4
0.39%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
1.92%
4:1
2.37%
4:2
1.46%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.18%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.63%
5:1
0.81%
5:2
0.52%
5:3
0.22%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Toulouse will take on Nice as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Stadium de Toulouse.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Toulouse, and the visiting side, Nice. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Toulouse or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 18:00
Location: Stadium de Toulouse
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Nice Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Toulouse vs Nice Football 17 Jan, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Toulouse create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Toulouse vs Nice, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Toulouse @ 1.97 ⚠️ 
Toulouse
- Above League AverageLeague8/871.5%Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
Nice
- Not WinH2H6/786%Nice have not won in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches
Toulouse confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.74 ⚠️ 
Nice(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%Nice score (1.00/match) and concede (2.25/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 49%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.03 ⚠️
Toulouse(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/871.5%Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H6/785.7%Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 H2H matches (85.7%%)
Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Toulouse Win or Draw @ 1.28 ⚠️ 
Nice
- Not WinH2H6/786%Nice have not won in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches
Toulouse confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Toulouse Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
Toulouse
- Above League AverageLeague8/871.5%Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
Toulouse's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Toulouse(2 trends) — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Toulouse receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1687.5%Toulouse average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
Nice(3 trends) — avg 1.9 (-3% below league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Nice receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1683%Nice average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0) — rank #5 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1681%Nice receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
+12 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Toulouse vs Nice
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Nice is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Toulouse is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Toulouse is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Toulouse
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Nice
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Toulouse - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Nice - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Toulouse - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Nice - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Nice often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Nice scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (13 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Nice to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Toulouse excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Toulouse scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Toulouse has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Toulouse handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.09
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.022
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.083 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Toulouse):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nice):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Toulouse vs Nice Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
▲
7
3
7
26
21
5
24
8
▼
6
5
6
24
22
2
23
9
7
2
8
27
30
-3
23
13
▲
4
6
7
15
23
-8
18
14
▼
5
3
9
20
30
-10
18
15
▼
4
4
9
22
31
-9
16
Team comparison
Prediction
Nice AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Toulouse
VS
Nice
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
4
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (6)
0.7 (5)
xG
1.00
1.20
Shots
12.9 (90)
12.1 (85)
Shots on Target
3.7 (26)
4 (28)
Corners
4.7 (33)
4.7 (33)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (5)
0.9 (6)
xGa
1.20
1.00
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (16)
2 (14)
Fouls
16 (112)
11 (77)
Offsides
0.6 (4)
0.7 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Toulouse
VS
Nice
2/6 (33%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
1.33
PPG
0.17
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
33%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.24
Avg xG
1.21
Toulouse vs Nice: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Nice
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Nice
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Toulouse
Nice
1
30%
3
0%
0
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
30%
3
90%
9
Double Chance
Toulouse
Nice
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
70%
7
10%
1
X2
70%
7
100%
10
Total Goals
Toulouse
Nice
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Toulouse
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Nice
Yes
40%
4
0%
0
No
60%
6
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Toulouse
Nice
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
70%
7
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Toulouse
Nice
xG
1.33
1.12
xGa
1.13
1.6
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Nice
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2
Toulouse
Nice
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
30%
3
80%
8
Double Chance
Toulouse
Nice
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
70%
7
20%
2
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Toulouse
Nice
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Nice
Yes
70%
7
20%
2
No
30%
3
80%
8
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Nice
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Toulouse
Nice
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Toulouse
Nice
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Toulouse
Nice
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Nice
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1.82
xG
1.00
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found