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Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 25
Preview
Toulouse
Toulouse
10th place
Form
VS
20:05
7 Mar 2026
Marseille
Marseille
4th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Toulouse vs Marseille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 7 March, 2026 14:05

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
20:05
Toulouse
:
Marseille

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Toulouse
w w d l l
11 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (19 total)
xG
1.50 (16.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (158 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (34% acc)
Corners
4.9 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.3 (146 total)
Offsides
1 (11 total)
11 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (13 total)
xG
1.20 (12.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (118 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (36% acc)
Corners
4.4 (48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.1 (166 total)
Offsides
1.1 (12 total)
22 Played
8 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (32 total)
xG
1.30 (28.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (276 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (35% acc)
Corners
4.6 (102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.2 (312 total)
Offsides
1 (23 total)
Marseille
w l d l d
15 Played
9 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (35 total)
xG
1.70 (25.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (201 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (42% acc)
Corners
5 (75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
13.2 (198 total)
Offsides
1.3 (20 total)
15 Played
6 Wins
1 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (24 total)
xG
1.40 (20.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (201 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (39% acc)
Corners
4.7 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.6 (174 total)
Offsides
1.1 (16 total)
30 Played
15 Wins
4 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (59 total)
xG
1.50 (45.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (402 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (40% acc)
Corners
4.8 (145 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
12.4 (372 total)
Offsides
1.2 (36 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Toulouse will take on Marseille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-03-07 at 2026-03-07 in the famous Stadium de Toulouse. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Toulouse, and the visiting side, Marseille. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-07 Time: 20:05 Location: Stadium de Toulouse Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Marseille Saturday, Mar 7th, 2026 at 14:05 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Toulouse vs Marseille Football 7 Mar, 2026 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Marseille have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    xG Defensive Battle

    Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Toulouse vs Marseille

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Toulouse

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Marseille

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Toulouse - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Marseille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Toulouse - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Marseille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Marseille scoring first
  • Overall Result: Toulouse has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Toulouse handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.141
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.032
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.002 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Toulouse):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Marseille):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Toulouse
Marseille

Toulouse vs Marseille Head-to-head statistics for Sat 7 Mar, 2026 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Lyon
w w w w w
>
22
14
3
5
36
20
16
45
4
Marseille
w w d l d
>
22
12
4
6
48
29
19
40
5
Lille
l l l d d
>
22
10
4
8
35
31
4
34

9
Lorient
w w w l w
>
22
8
7
7
29
33
-4
31
10
Toulouse
w w d l l
>
22
8
6
8
32
26
6
30
11
Angers
l d w w l
>
22
8
5
9
22
27
-5
29
Toulouse
VS
Marseille
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
3 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (10)
2.7 (19)
xG
1.00
1.20
Shots
8.9 (62)
14.7 (103)
Shots on Target
3.7 (26)
5.1 (36)
Corners
3 (21)
5.4 (38)
Defense
Conceded
2.7 (19)
1.4 (10)
xGa
1.20
1.00
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (16)
1.9 (13)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
10.4 (73)
11.3 (79)
Offsides
1.4 (10)
1.7 (12)
29 Nov
- 20:05
Marseille
Toulouse
1.77
xG
0.70
2
2
Prob 76%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.67
6 Apr
- 18:45
Marseille
Toulouse
1.01
xG
1.23
3
2
31 Aug
- 19:00
Toulouse
Marseille
0.99
xG
0.84
1
3
21 Apr
- 17:00
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
17 Sep
- 15:05
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
19 Feb
- 19:45
Toulouse
Marseille
2
3
29 Dec
- 20:00
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
Last 6 Matches
Toulouse
VS
Marseille
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
33% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.04 Avg xG 1.13
Toulouse
W W D L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 14:00
LE Havre
2 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Angers
1 0
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
0 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Toulouse
5 1
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Toulouse
0 3
Lens
Marseille
W L D L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 16:00
Marseille
2 2
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
5 0
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Paris FC
2 2
Marseille
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Club Brugge KV
3 0
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 20:05
Marseille
3 1
Lens
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Marseille
0 3
Liverpool

Toulouse vs Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Marseille

Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Marseille
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Toulouse
Marseille
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Toulouse
Marseille
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Toulouse
Marseille
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
20% 2
60% 6
Total Corners
Toulouse
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Marseille
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Toulouse
Marseille
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Toulouse
Marseille
xG
1.17
1.42
xGa
0.96
1.77
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Marseille
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Toulouse
Marseille
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Toulouse
Marseille
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Toulouse
Marseille
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Marseille
Yes
80% 8
40% 4
No
20% 2
60% 6
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Marseille
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2
Toulouse
Marseille
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Toulouse
Marseille
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Toulouse
Marseille
0-1
70% 7
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
70% 7
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Marseille
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1.23 xG 2.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found