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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
2 Jan 2026-19:45
Toulouse
Toulouse
7th place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Lens
Lens
1st place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Toulouse vs Lens: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 2 January, 2026 13:45

1×2 Prediction
Lens
21%23%56%
ToulouseDrawLens
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
55%45%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%42%
YesNo
Team Total - Toulouse
Under 1.5
68%32%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Lens
Over 1.5
53%47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Lens
79%21%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Lens +1
87%13%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Draw or Lens
Odds: 1.48
78.6%
EV: +16.3%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
13:45
Toulouse W 21%
:
Lens W 56%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.08 vs 1.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.78%
0:1
10.31%
0:2
9.2%
0:3
5.48%
0:4
2.44%
0:5
0.87%
1
1:0
5.58%
1:1
10.63%
🔥
1:2
10.07%
1:3
6.34%
1:4
2.99%
1:5
1.12%
2
2:0
2.7%
2:1
5.45%
2:2
5.47%
2:3
3.64%
2:4
1.8%
2:5
0.71%
3
3:0
0.87%
3:1
1.86%
3:2
1.97%
3:3
1.38%
3:4
0.72%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.21%
4:1
0.47%
4:2
0.53%
4:3
0.39%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.8%
0
15.9%
1
22.5%
2
21.9%
3
16.3%
4
10.0%
5
4.9%
6
1.9%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Lens
w w w w w
>
16
12
1
3
28
13
15
37
2
16
11
3
2
35
14
21
36

6
Rennes
w w w l w
>
16
7
6
3
27
24
3
27
7
Toulouse
d l d w w
>
16
6
5
5
24
19
5
23
8
Strasbourg
w l l l d
>
16
7
2
7
25
20
5
23
1.17 xG 1.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Last 6 Matches
Toulouse
VS
Lens
2/6 (33%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.50 PPG 3.00
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
33% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.33 Avg xG 1.94
Toulouse
D L D W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:05
Paris FC
0 3
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Toulouse
1 0
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Marseille
2 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 1
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Lorient
1 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 0
LE Havre
Lens
W W W W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Lens
2 0
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Nantes
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Angers
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Lens
1 0
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Monaco
1 4
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Lens
3 0
Lorient
Missing Players
Toulouse
- Injured - Knee Injury
17
m
- Injured - Broken Leg
9
f
- Injured - International duty
12
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Lens
24
d
- Injured - Thigh Injury
13
d
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - International duty
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Toulouse will take on Lens as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-01-02 at 2026-01-02 in the famous Stadium de Toulouse. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Toulouse, and the visiting side, Lens. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lens. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-02 Time: 19:45 Location: Stadium de Toulouse Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Lens Friday, Jan 2nd, 2026 at 13:45 Football

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-01 18:15:12
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Trends for Toulouse vs Lens Football 2 Jan, 2026 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Toulouse rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Toulouse vs Lens

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Lens is stronger in the second half (16 vs 12).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Toulouse

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Lens

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Toulouse - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Lens - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Toulouse - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Lens - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lens shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 12 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Lens winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Lens has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lens handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.075 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Toulouse):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lens):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Toulouse
Lens

Toulouse vs Lens Head-to-head statistics for Fri 2 Jan, 2026 @ 13:45 Ligue 1

Toulouse vs Lens: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Lens

Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lens
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Toulouse
Lens
1
40% 4
90% 9
X
40% 4
0% 0
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lens
12
60% 6
100% 10
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
60% 6
10% 1
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lens
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
30% 3
80% 8
4+
30% 3
10% 1
Total Corners
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lens
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Toulouse
Lens
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Toulouse
Lens
xG
1.35
1.61
xGa
1.08
1.34
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lens
Yes
0% 0
40% 4
No
100% 10
60% 6
1X2
Toulouse
Lens
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
40% 4
0% 0
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lens
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
60% 6
100% 10
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lens
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lens
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Toulouse
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Toulouse
Lens
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Toulouse
Lens
1
40% 4
70% 7
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Toulouse
Lens
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
60% 6
30% 3
Total Goals
Toulouse
Lens
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Toulouse
Lens
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Lens
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
1.6%
Low
12.50
14.2%
Low
13.00
-2
4.1%
Low
11.00
23.0%
Low
12.00
-1.5
6.5%
Low
5.35
31.7%
Low
5.50
-1
13.1%
Low
4.47
44.2%
Low
4.86
-0.5
19.6%
Low
2.64
56.7%
Medium
2.76
+0.5
43.3%
Low
1.50
80.4%
High
1.53
+1
55.8%
Medium
1.21
86.9%
High
1.23
+1.5
68.3%
Medium
1.15
93.5%
High
1.16
+2
77.0%
High
1.03
95.9%
High
1.04
+2.5
85.8%
High
1.02
98.3%
High
1.03
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.87%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.527.06%Low2.50
Under 1.572.94%High1.59
AwayOver 1.554.80%Medium2.59
Under 1.545.20%Low1.56
HomeOver 2.58.35%Low6.50
Under 2.591.65%High1.14
AwayOver 2.527.92%Low6.50
Under 2.572.08%High1.14
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
10 May
- 19:00
Toulouse
Lens
1.01
xG
0.78
1
1
5 Jan
- 14:00
Lens
Toulouse
1.41
xG
2.03
0
1
28 Jan
- 16:05
Toulouse
Lens
0
2
24 Sep
- 13:00
Lens
Toulouse
2
1
2 May
- 19:00
Toulouse
Lens
0
1
28 Oct
- 19:00
Lens
Toulouse
3
0
club logo
Toulouse
Lens
Played: 6
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
3
0.5
Goals
1.5
9
9
1.5
Goals Conceded
0.5
3
10
1.7
Yellow Cards
3.2
19
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.5
3
30
5
Corners
5
30
73
12.2
Fouls
13.5
81
4
0.7
Offsides
1.7
10
55
9.2
Shots
14.8
89
18
3
Shots on Goal
4.3
26
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 3 3 6
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.8 14 1.3 10 1.5 24
Goals Conceded 1.4 11 1 8 1.2 19
Yellow Cards 1.4 11 3.1 25 2.3 36
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.5 4 0.3 2 0.4 6
Corners 5.1 41 4 32 4.6 73
Fouls 13.4 107 14.8 118 14.1 225
Offsides 1.1 9 0.9 7 1 16
Shots 14.5 116 9.3 74 11.9 190
Shots on Goal 4.6 37 3 24 3.8 61
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 7 5 12
Draws 0 1 1
Losses 1 2 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 16 1.5 12 1.8 28
Goals Conceded 0.5 4 1.1 9 0.8 13
Yellow Cards 1.5 12 2 16 1.8 28
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.5 4 0.1 1 0.3 5
Corners 7.3 58 4.6 37 5.9 95
Fouls 11.9 95 13.9 111 12.9 206
Offsides 2.6 21 1.5 12 2.1 33
Shots 14.4 115 12.8 102 13.6 217
Shots on Goal 5.6 45 4.5 36 5.1 81
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