Toulouse vs Lens: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 2 January, 2026 13:45
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Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.
| Category | Points | Condition |
|---|---|---|
| Exact Score | 5 | Your prediction matches the final score exactly. |
| Outcome (1X2) | 2 | You correctly predicted the winner or a draw. |
| BTTS Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't). |
| Total Goals Bonus | +1 | You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5. |
Examples:
- Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
• Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
• Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch) - Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
• Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
• Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
• Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
Toulouse
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Toulouse vs Lens Friday, Jan 2nd, 2026 at 13:45 Football
Trends for Toulouse vs Lens Football 2 Jan, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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📈
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
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🔐
Chance Suppression
Toulouse rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Toulouse vs Lens, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Lens @ 2.79 ✅ 
✅Lens
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Lens are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%Lens are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
❌Toulouse
- Not WinH2H5/683%Toulouse have not won in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.75 
Lens(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Lens score (1.50/match) and concede (1.13/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ⚠️ 
Toulouse(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/871.5%Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)

Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🛡️ Double Chance — Lens Win or Draw @ 1.52 ✅ 
✅Lens
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Lens are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Lens are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%Lens are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1675%Lens are undefeated at half time in their last 12 16 matches
❌Toulouse
- Not WinH2H5/683%Toulouse have not won in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Toulouse Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.50 ⚠️ 
✅Toulouse
- Above League AverageLeague8/871.5%Toulouse score 1.75 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
Toulouse(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+7% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1687.5%Toulouse average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
Lens(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/6100%Lens receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches

Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
Lens(2 trends) — avg 5.3 (+13% above league)
- Many CornersH2H4/580%Lens win 6+ corners in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches
- Many CornersLeague8/878%Lens average 5.3 corners/match in away matches (+13% above league avg 4.7)
+9 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Toulouse vs Lens
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Toulouse
✈️ Lens
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Toulouse - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Lens - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Toulouse - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Lens - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lens shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Lens winning the second half
- Overall Result: Lens has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Lens handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Toulouse):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lens):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Toulouse vs Lens Head-to-head statistics for Fri 2 Jan, 2026 @ 13:45 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lens: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Toulouse and away matches for Lens
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1.6% Low 12.50 | 14.2% Low 13.00 |
| -2 | 4.1% Low 11.00 | 23.0% Low 12.00 |
| -1.5 | 6.5% Low 5.35 | 31.7% Low 5.50 |
| -1 | 13.1% Low 4.47 | 44.2% Low 4.86 |
| -0.5 | 19.6% Low 2.64 | 56.7% Medium 2.76 |
| +0.5 | 43.3% Low 1.50 | 80.4% High 1.53 |
| +1 | 55.8% Medium 1.21 | 86.9% High 1.23 |
| +1.5 | 68.3% Medium 1.15 | 93.5% High 1.16 |
| +2 | 77.0% High 1.03 | 95.9% High 1.04 |
| +2.5 | 85.8% High 1.02 | 98.3% High 1.03 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.87%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 27.06% | Low | 2.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 72.94% | High | 1.59 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 54.80% | Medium | 2.59 |
| Under 1.5 | 45.20% | Low | 1.56 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 8.35% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 91.65% | High | 1.14 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 27.92% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 72.08% | High | 1.14 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
1
1
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.8 | 14 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.5 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 1.2 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 3.1 | 25 | 2.3 | 36 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 41 | 4 | 32 | 4.6 | 73 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 107 | 14.8 | 118 | 14.1 | 225 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 9 | 0.9 | 7 | 1 | 16 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 116 | 9.3 | 74 | 11.9 | 190 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 37 | 3 | 24 | 3.8 | 61 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 16 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.8 | 28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 4 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.8 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 1.8 | 28 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 7.3 | 58 | 4.6 | 37 | 5.9 | 95 |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 95 | 13.9 | 111 | 12.9 | 206 |
| Offsides | 2.6 | 21 | 1.5 | 12 | 2.1 | 33 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 115 | 12.8 | 102 | 13.6 | 217 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.6 | 45 | 4.5 | 36 | 5.1 | 81 |


Ligue 1 2025-2026