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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
27 Dec 2025-14:00
Torino
Torino
13th place
- : -
27 Dec 2025 9:00
Cagliari
Cagliari
15th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Torino vs Cagliari: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Torino
44%28%28%
TorinoDrawCagliari
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
59%41%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
52%48%
NoYes
Team Total - Torino
Under 1.5
62%38%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Cagliari
Under 1.5
73%27%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Torino/Draw
72%28%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Torino +0.5
71%29%
Home +0.5NOT Home +0.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Torino Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.69
61.9%
EV: +4.5%
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Torino vs Cagliari: Serie A Match Preview

Key Stakes in the Serie A Showdown

As Torino hosts Cagliari in this crucial Serie A clash, both teams are vying for vital points to improve their standings in the league. Torino sits in 13th place with 20 points, while Cagliari is just two places below in 15th with 15 points. Given their current form, securing a win could be pivotal in avoiding relegation worries as we approach the halfway mark of the season.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams have struggled recently, but their form tells different stories.

  • Torino: The Granata have had a mixed bag of results, winning just two of their last five matches. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, despite a recent away victory against Sassuolo, which might inject some confidence into their home game.
  • Cagliari: The Rossoblu have found it difficult to pick up wins, with only one victory in their last five outings. Their away form is especially troubling, having failed to win any of their last five matches on the road, scoring only 0.8 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.6.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchup between Torino and Cagliari has been closely contested, with each team having two wins in their last six encounters, alongside two draws. The recent trend suggests a relatively high-scoring affair, with an average of 2.5 goals per match in these matchups, indicating that both teams can find the net.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In this tactical battle, Torino will look to leverage their home advantage, relying on players like N. Vlašić to control the midfield and create opportunities. Cagliari, on the other hand, will depend on the likes of S. Esposito to exploit any gaps in Torino's defense. With Torino missing key defender Saúl Coco, this could provide an opportunity for Cagliari to capitalize on defensive lapses.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw
Predicted Score: 1:1
Reasoning: Based on the statistical model, both teams have shown vulnerabilities, but with Torino's recent home form and Cagliari's struggles away, a draw seems likely. The expected goals suggest that neither side will dominate, leading to a stalemate.

Betting Tips

Given the statistical insights, there are some interesting opportunities for value betting.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Under 1.5 @ 1.69 (61.9%). This bet is well-supported by the model, which indicates a high probability of low goals given both teams' recent scoring struggles.
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.46 (28% probability). The model suggests a draw as a likely outcome, but the odds offer significant value compared to the implied probability of 28.9%.

Bet responsibly.

Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
9:00
Torino W 44%
:
Cagliari W 28%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.34 vs 1.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.02%
0:1
9.68%
0:2
5.2%
0:3
1.86%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.11%
1
1:0
11.95%
1:1
12.93%
🔥
1:2
6.99%
1:3
2.52%
1:4
0.68%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
7.91%
2:1
8.63%
2:2
4.7%
2:3
1.71%
2:4
0.47%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
3.49%
3:1
3.84%
3:2
2.11%
3:3
0.77%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
1.16%
4:1
1.28%
4:2
0.71%
4:3
0.26%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.31%
5:1
0.34%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.0%
0
21.6%
1
26.0%
2
21.0%
3
12.7%
4
6.2%
5
2.4%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
Udinese
l w l w l
>
16
6
3
7
17
27
-10
21
13
Torino
l l l w w
>
16
5
5
6
16
26
-10
20
14
Lecce
d l w l w
>
15
4
4
7
11
19
-8
16
15
Cagliari
d l w l d
>
16
3
6
7
17
23
-6
15
16
Genoa
d w w l l
>
16
3
5
8
16
24
-8
14
1.17 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Torino
VS
Cagliari
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.17 PPG 1.00
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.16 Avg xG 0.89
Torino
L L L W W
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Sassuolo
0 1
Torino
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Torino
1 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Torino
2 3
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Lecce
2 1
Torino
Serie A 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Torino
1 5
Como
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Juventus
0 0
Torino
Cagliari
D L W L D
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 11:30
Cagliari
2 2
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Atalanta
2 1
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Cagliari
1 0
AS Roma
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Juventus
2 1
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Cagliari
3 3
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Como
0 0
Cagliari
Missing Players
Torino
79
f
- Injured - Jumpers knee
23
d
- Injured - International duty
5
d
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - Knee Injury
Cagliari
19
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
17
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - International duty
32
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Torino will take on Cagliari as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Torino, and the visiting side, Cagliari. The scoreline predictions suggest No predictions available. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-27 Time: 14:00 Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Torino vs Cagliari Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 9:00 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Total Home Under 1.5
Odds: 1.69
61.9%
EV: +4.5% Stake: $3.62
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Torino NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.37
75.9%
EV: +4.0% Stake: $6.76
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Cagliari +1.5
Odds: 1.28
81%
EV: +3.6% Stake: $8.93
Bet Now
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 06:15:16
spinner

Trends for Torino vs Cagliari Football 27 Dec, 2025 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Torino convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

🎯 Betting Analysis

Torino vs Cagliari

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Cagliari is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Cagliari is stronger in the second half (12 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Cagliari is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Torino

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.02

✈️ Cagliari

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Torino - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1

✈️ Cagliari - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Torino - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Cagliari - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Cagliari is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Cagliari to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Cagliari shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 4 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Cagliari winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Cagliari excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 2 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Cagliari scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Cagliari has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Cagliari handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.204
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.084
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Torino):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Cagliari):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Torino
Cagliari

Torino vs Cagliari Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Serie A

Torino vs Cagliari: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Torino and away matches for Cagliari

Number of goals
Torino
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Torino
Cagliari
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Torino
Cagliari
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Torino
Cagliari
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Torino
Cagliari
0-1
50% 5
20% 2
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Torino
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Torino
Cagliari
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Torino
Cagliari
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Torino
Cagliari
xG
1.18
0.82
xGa
1.32
1.34
Number of goals
Torino
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Torino
Cagliari
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Torino
Cagliari
1
30% 3
0% 0
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
Torino
Cagliari
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
70% 7
100% 10
Total Goals
Torino
Cagliari
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Torino
Cagliari
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Number of goals
Torino
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Torino
Cagliari
Yes
0% 0
50% 5
No
100% 10
50% 5
1X2
Torino
Cagliari
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Torino
Cagliari
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Torino
Cagliari
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Torino
Cagliari
Yes
80% 8
30% 3
No
20% 2
70% 7
Team comparison
Prediction
Torino Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
6.6%
Low
7.50
3.1%
Low
N/A
-2
12.8%
Low
7.00
7.0%
Low
N/A
-1.5
19.0%
Low
3.91
10.9%
Low
9.50
-1
30.7%
Low
3.02
20.2%
Low
8.40
-0.5
42.3%
Low
2.02
29.4%
Low
4.23
+0.5
70.6%
High
1.25
57.7%
Medium
1.92
+1
79.8%
High
1.03
69.3%
Medium
1.43
+1.5
89.1%
High
1.04
81.0%
High
1.28
+2
93.0%
High
N/A
87.2%
High
1.10
+2.5
96.9%
High
N/A
93.4%
High
1.06
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.536.56%Low2.24
Under 1.563.44%Medium1.69
AwayOver 1.527.08%Low3.80
Under 1.572.92%High1.27
HomeOver 2.513.80%Low5.20
Under 2.586.20%High1.18
AwayOver 2.58.36%Low13.00
Under 2.591.64%High1.05
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
24 Jan
- 19:45
Torino
Cagliari
1.56
xG
0.36
2
0
20 Oct
- 16:00
Cagliari
Torino
1.67
xG
1.44
3
2
26 Jan
- 19:45
Cagliari
Torino
1
2
21 Aug
- 16:30
Torino
Cagliari
0
0
27 Feb
- 11:35
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
6 Dec
- 19:45
Cagliari
Torino
1
1
club logo
Torino
Cagliari
Played: 6
Wins
2
Draws
2
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
1.3
Goals
1.2
7
7
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.3
8
14
2.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
11
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
34
5.7
Corners
5.3
32
79
13.2
Fouls
12.5
75
21
3.5
Offsides
1.5
9
85
14.2
Shots
13.7
82
28
4.7
Shots on Goal
4
24
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 3 2 5
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.1 9 0.9 7 1 16
Goals Conceded 1.8 14 1.5 12 1.6 26
Yellow Cards 1.3 10 2.1 17 1.7 27
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.5 4 0.4 7
Corners 4.1 33 4 32 4.1 65
Fouls 12.9 103 14.8 118 13.8 221
Offsides 1.3 10 1.6 13 1.4 23
Shots 11.5 92 11.4 91 11.4 183
Shots on Goal 4 32 4.3 34 4.1 66
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 3 3 6
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 10 0.9 7 1.1 17
Goals Conceded 1.5 12 1.4 11 1.4 23
Yellow Cards 2.6 21 2.5 20 2.6 41
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.1 1 0.2 3
Corners 3.5 28 3.3 26 3.4 54
Fouls 14.9 119 15.1 121 15 240
Offsides 2.3 18 1.5 12 1.9 30
Shots 10.4 83 9.3 74 9.8 157
Shots on Goal 4.1 33 2.9 23 3.5 56
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