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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Tondela
Tondela
17th place
Form
VS
18:00
18 Jan 2026
SC Braga
SC Braga
5th place
Form
AI Prediction SC Braga to Win
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Tondela vs SC Braga: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)1.59
SC Braga to Win
Probability 83%
Total Goals1.96
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score1.87
No (NG)
Probability 59%
Tondela Total1.22
Home Under 1.5
Probability 89%
SC Braga Total1.70
Away Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Double Chance1.14
Draw/SC Braga
Probability 95%
Asian Handicap1.58
SC Braga -0.5
Probability 84%
Best Tip
Value
Match Winner SC Braga to Win
Odds 1.59
Win Prob. 82.8% EV: +31.6%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18:00
Tondela W 5%
:
SC Braga W 83%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Tondela
l l l w l
8 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (6 total)
xG
1.10 (8.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (91 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32% acc)
Corners
2.9 (23 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12 (96 total)
Offsides
3.3 (26 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6 total)
xG
1.20 (11.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (94 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (33% acc)
Corners
4.3 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15.2 (137 total)
Offsides
2.6 (23 total)
17 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (12 total)
xG
1.20 (19.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (185 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (32% acc)
Corners
3.6 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.7 (233 total)
Offsides
2.9 (49 total)
SC Braga
w w l d d
13 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (27 total)
xG
1.40 (18.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (149 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (40% acc)
Corners
4.9 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.1 (118 total)
Offsides
1.2 (16 total)
14 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (27 total)
xG
1.50 (21.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (170 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (41% acc)
Corners
4.6 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.7 (150 total)
Offsides
1.1 (15 total)
27 Played
15 Wins
7 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (54 total)
xG
1.50 (40.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (319 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (40% acc)
Corners
4.8 (129 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.9 (268 total)
Offsides
1.1 (31 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.57 vs 2.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.77%
0:1
12.07%
0:2
15.29%
🔥
0:3
12.91%
0:4
8.17%
0:5
4.14%
1
1:0
1.87%
1:1
5.59%
1:2
8.14%
1:3
7.78%
1:4
5.5%
1:5
3.07%
2
2:0
0.37%
2:1
1.26%
2:2
2.09%
2:3
2.25%
2:4
1.77%
2:5
1.09%
3
3:0
0.05%
3:1
0.19%
3:2
0.35%
3:3
0.42%
3:4
0.36%
3:5
0.25%
4
4:0
0%
4:1
0.02%
4:2
0.04%
4:3
0.06%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0%
5:2
0%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:2 (15.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.8%
0
13.9%
1
21.2%
2
22.4%
3
18.2%
4
12.3%
5
5.3%
6
1.5%
7
0.3%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

TondelaHDPSC Braga
0.1%
Very Low
-2.5
38.6%
@ 5.25Low
0.4%
Very Low
-2
50.4%
@ 4.64Medium
0.6%
Very Low@ 11.00
-1.5
62.3%
@ 2.72High
2.3%
Very Low@ 9.90
-1
73.0%
@ 2.09High
4.0%
Very Low@ 5.75
-0.5
83.8%
@ 1.58Very High
16.2%
Very Low@ 2.47
+0.5
96.0%
@ 1.14Very High
27.0%
Low@ 1.85
+1
97.7%
@ 1.02Very High
37.7%
Low@ 1.50
+1.5
99.3%
@ 1.01Very High
49.6%
Medium@ 1.22
+2
99.6%
Very High
61.4%
High@ 1.16
+2.5
99.9%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

TondelaOutcomeSC Braga
43.5%
Medium@ 1.72
Over 0.5
93.4%
@ 1.15Very High
56.6%
Medium@ 2.25
Under 0.5
6.7%
@ 5.50Very Low
11.2%
Very Low@ 4.50
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.78High
88.8%
Very High@ 1.22
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 2.11Low
2.0%
Very Low@ 15.00
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 3.40Medium
98.0%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.33Medium
0.3%
Very Low@ 51.00
Over 3.5
28.8%
@ 7.00Low
99.7%
Very High@ 1.00
Under 3.5
71.2%
@ 1.10High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Tondela will take on SC Braga as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Estádio João Cardoso. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Tondela, and the visiting side, SC Braga. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or SC Braga. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-18 Time: 18:00 Location: Estádio João Cardoso Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Tondela vs SC Braga Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 12:00 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Asian Handicap SC Braga -1.5
High Value
Prob: 62.3%
EV: +69.3%
Stake: $1.45
2.72
Premium Tip SC Braga -1
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Win to Nil SC Braga Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 52.2%
EV: +35.6%
Stake: $1.56
2.60
Match Winner SC Braga
High Value
Prob: 82.8%
EV: +34.9%
Stake: $3.97
1.63
Away Total SC Braga Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 75.3%
EV: +28.0%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Total Away Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 75.3%
EV: +28.0%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 62.5%
EV: +25.0%
Stake: $2.50
2.00
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 87.5%
EV: +11.1%
Stake: $9.26
1.27
BTTS No
Value
Prob: 58.8%
EV: +10.0%
Stake: $2.87
1.87
Correct Score 0:2
Value
Prob: 14.4%
EV: +3.8%
Stake: $0.40
7.20
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:37:16
spinner

Trends for Tondela vs SC Braga Football 18 Jan, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent home matches

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    SC Braga create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Tondela vs SC Braga

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: SC Braga is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: SC Braga is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Tondela is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Tondela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
17
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.06

✈️ SC Braga

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Tondela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.06
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ SC Braga - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Tondela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ SC Braga - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: SC Braga often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of SC Braga scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: SC Braga is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider SC Braga to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Tondela excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Tondela scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: SC Braga has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider SC Braga handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.187
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.002 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Tondela):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Braga):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Tondela
SC Braga

Tondela vs SC Braga Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
GIL Vicente
d d d d d
>
17
7
7
3
22
12
10
28
5
SC Braga
w w l d d
>
17
7
6
4
31
18
13
27
6
Moreirense
d l d w w
>
17
8
3
6
24
24
0
27

16
Arouca
l w d d l
>
17
3
5
9
18
42
-24
14
17
Tondela
l l l w l
>
17
3
3
11
12
29
-17
12
18
AVS
l l d l l
>
17
0
4
13
11
43
-32
4
Team comparison
Prediction
SC Braga to Win
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Tondela
VS
SC Braga
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
3 (3)
xG
0.50
2.00
Shots
5 (5)
8 (8)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
6 (6)
Corners
2 (2)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
3 (3)
0 (0)
xGa
2.00
0.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (3)
1 (1)
Fouls
9 (9)
10 (10)
Offsides
6 (6)
3 (3)
10 Aug
- 19:30
SC Braga
Tondela
2.03
xG
0.45
3
0
Last 6 Matches
Tondela
VS
SC Braga
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.00 PPG 1.83
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.25 Avg xG 1.93
Tondela
L L L W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Moreirense
1 0
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
1 2
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Tondela
0 2
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:30
GIL Vicente
0 1
Tondela
SC Braga
W W L D D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Estrela
3 3
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 18:00
SC Braga
2 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
1 0
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 18:45
SC Braga
1 0
Santa Clara
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Nice
0 1
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Famalicao
1 2
SC Braga

Tondela vs SC Braga: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Tondela and away matches for SC Braga

Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Tondela
SC Braga
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Tondela
SC Braga
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
70% 7
20% 2
Double Chance
Tondela
SC Braga
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
30% 3
80% 8
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Tondela
SC Braga
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Tondela
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
SC Braga
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Tondela
SC Braga
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
50% 5
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Tondela
SC Braga
xG
1.12
2.09
xGa
1.36
1.09
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Tondela
SC Braga
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Tondela
SC Braga
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Tondela
SC Braga
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Tondela
SC Braga
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
SC Braga
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Tondela
SC Braga
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Tondela
SC Braga
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
70% 7
20% 2
Double Chance
Tondela
SC Braga
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
30% 3
80% 8
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Tondela
SC Braga
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Tondela
SC Braga
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
0.62 xG 2.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
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