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Tondela
2
2
Santa Clara
Tondela vs Rio Ave: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 9 March, 2026 15:15
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12
Played
1
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(9 total)
xG
1.10
(13.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(131 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(30% acc)
Corners
3.3
(40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.3
(160 total)
Offsides
2.5
(30 total)
12
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(10 total)
xG
1.20
(13.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(112 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(36% acc)
Corners
4.1
(49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
15
(180 total)
Offsides
2.2
(26 total)
24
Played
4
Wins
7
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(19 total)
xG
1.10
(27.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(243 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(33% acc)
Corners
3.7
(89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.2
(340 total)
Offsides
2.3
(56 total)
12
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(11 total)
xG
1.00
(12.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.5
(114 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(38% acc)
Corners
3.8
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
1.1
(13 total)
12
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(12 total)
xG
0.70
(8.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(105 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(39% acc)
Corners
3.4
(41 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.4
(161 total)
Offsides
1.7
(20 total)
24
Played
4
Wins
9
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(23 total)
xG
0.90
(20.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(219 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(38% acc)
Corners
3.6
(86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
13
(311 total)
Offsides
1.4
(33 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.07 vs 0.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
14.53%
⭐
0:1
12.84%
⭐
0:2
5.16%
0:3
1.43%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
14.94%
🔥
⭐
1:1
13.15%
1:2
6.25%
1:3
1.9%
1:4
0.43%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
7.05%
2:1
7.3%
2:2
3.71%
2:3
1.23%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.06%
3
3:0
2.28%
3:1
2.6%
3:2
1.44%
3:3
0.52%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.55%
4:1
0.69%
4:2
0.41%
4:3
0.16%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.11%
5:1
0.14%
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (14.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Tondela will take on Rio Ave as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 25 and will take place on 2026-03-09 at 2026-03-09 in the famous Estádio João Cardoso.
The referee for the game will be H. Malheiro. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Tondela, and the visiting side, Rio Ave. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Tondela or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-09
Time: 20:15
Location: Estádio João Cardoso
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Tondela vs Rio Ave Monday, Mar 9th, 2026 at 15:15 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Tondela vs Rio Ave Football 9 Mar, 2026 15:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent home matches
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Tondela vs Rio Ave.
🏆 Match Winner — Rio Ave @ 3.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsTondela
Relegation BattleLeague
Tondela are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Rio Ave confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.87 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsTondela1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Tondela struggle to score at home (0.43/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 771%
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Rio Ave score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 88% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 888%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.78 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsTondela2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Tondela struggle to score at home (0.43/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 771%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Rio Ave Win or Draw @ 1.75 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsTondela
Relegation BattleLeague
Tondela are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends90%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Rio Ave confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsTondela1 Trends — avg 2.8 (+5% above league)Many CardsRecent
Tondela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsRio Ave2 Trends — avg 2.5 (-6% below league)High Card MatchesLeague
Rio Ave average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+13% above league avg 2.7) — rank #3 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1584.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Rio Ave receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1587%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.03 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsTondela1 Trends — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)Few CornersLeague
Tondela average 3.0 corners/match at home (-34% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 785%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.03
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Tondela vs Rio Ave
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Tondela
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Rio Ave
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Rio Ave - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Rio Ave - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Tondela has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Tondela handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.094
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rio Ave):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Tondela vs Rio Ave Head-to-head statistics for Mon 9 Mar, 2026 @ 15:15 Primeira Liga
Team comparison
Prediction
Rio Ave Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Tondela
VS
Rio Ave
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
3 (3)
xG
0.70
2.30
Shots
12 (12)
13 (13)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
7 (7)
Corners
7 (7)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
3 (3)
0 (0)
xGa
2.30
0.70
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (3)
5 (5)
Red Cards
1 (1)
1 (1)
Fouls
12 (12)
13 (13)
Offsides
3 (3)
0 (0)
Last 6 Matches
Tondela
VS
Rio Ave
1/6 (17%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
1.17
PPG
0.17
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.17
50%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.04
Avg xG
0.53
Tondela vs Rio Ave: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Tondela and away matches for Rio Ave
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Tondela
Rio Ave
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
70%
7
Double Chance
Tondela
Rio Ave
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
30%
3
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Tondela
Rio Ave
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Tondela
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Rio Ave
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Tondela
Rio Ave
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
60%
6
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Tondela
Rio Ave
xG
1.04
0.61
xGa
1.02
1.71
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Tondela
Rio Ave
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
20%
2
0%
0
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Tondela
Rio Ave
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
80%
8
100%
10
Total Goals
Tondela
Rio Ave
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Rio Ave
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Tondela
Rio Ave
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Tondela
Rio Ave
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Tondela
Rio Ave
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Tondela
Rio Ave
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
0.93
xG
0.58
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
3
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