Tondela vs Guimaraes Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 8 November, 2025 12:00

📋 Preview: Tondela vs Guimaraes | Primeira Liga 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📖 Introduction

This Matchweek 11 clash in the Primeira Liga sees Tondela, languishing at the bottom of the table with 6 points, host Guimaraes, who sit in 8th place with 11 points. With both teams struggling to find form, the stakes are high as Tondela looks for a much-needed victory to revive their season, while Guimaraes aims to shake off recent disappointments.

🏠 Tondela Analysis

Tondela's recent form shows a mixed bag, with only one win in their last five matches (DLLWD). At home, their struggles are palpable; they have yet to secure a victory, drawing two and losing two of their last four fixtures at their stadium. Their offensive output has been less than impressive, averaging just 0.5 goals per home match, while their defense has been breached 1.5 times on average. The expected goals (xG) data indicates they are creating slightly more than they are finishing, with an xG of 1.27 at home, demonstrating potential that has yet to materialize. Their last outing ended in a 2-2 draw against AVS, and they will be eager to build on that performance before facing GIL Vicente away next.

✈️ Guimaraes Analysis

Guimaraes enters this match on a downward trend, having recorded just one win in their last five matches (LLWLD). Their away form is particularly concerning, with four losses in their last five outings, including a disappointing performance against Benfica where they failed to score and conceded three. On average, they have managed to find the net only 0.4 times per away match, while defensively they've conceded 1.8 goals. Their xG of 0.84 suggests they are struggling to create meaningful chances on the road. Following the loss to Benfica, Guimaraes will look to bounce back with a strong showing against Tondela before returning home to face AVS.

🔄 Head-to-Head

In terms of their head-to-head record, Tondela and Guimaraes are yet to register a win against each other, with their past encounters yielding no victories for either side. The average goals per meeting stand at a stark 0, indicating that these matchups tend to be tightly contested and low-scoring.

🔑 Key Factors

One of the critical aspects to consider in this matchup is the contrasting momentum of both teams. Tondela will be buoyed by their recent draw, which could provide a psychological boost, while Guimaraes is grappling with a lack of confidence after a series of poor results. Additionally, the expected goals figures hint at potential regression for both teams; Tondela's offense may finally convert their chances given their xG of 1.14, while Guimaraes might be due for a positive turnaround in form. The home advantage could play a significant role, especially given Tondela's need for points to escape the relegation zone.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome Draw 32.3%, scoreline 1-1, justified by both teams' struggles to score and their defensive vulnerabilities as highlighted by their respective goals conceded averages.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Double Chance @ 1.47 (73.9%). This bet offers good value considering the statistical likelihood of a draw or an away victory based on current form. Bet responsibly.

📋 Preview: Tondela vs Guimaraes | Primeira Liga 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📖 Introduction

This Matchweek 11 clash in the Primeira Liga sees Tondela, languishing at the bottom of the table with 6 points, host Guimaraes, who sit in 8th place with 11 points. With both teams struggling to find form, the stakes are high as Tondela looks for a much-needed victory to revive their season, while Guimaraes aims to shake off recent disappointments.

🏠 Tondela Analysis

Tondela's recent form shows a mixed bag, with only one win in their last five matches (DLLWD). At home, their struggles are palpable; they have yet to secure a victory, drawing two and losing two of their last four fixtures at their stadium. Their offensive output has been less than impressive, averaging just 0.5 goals per home match, while their defense has been breached 1.5 times on average. The expected goals (xG) data indicates they are creating slightly more than they are finishing, with an xG of 1.27 at home, demonstrating potential that has yet to materialize. Their last outing ended in a 2-2 draw against AVS, and they will be eager to build on that performance before facing GIL Vicente away next.

✈️ Guimaraes Analysis

Guimaraes enters this match on a downward trend, having recorded just one win in their last five matches (LLWLD). Their away form is particularly concerning, with four losses in their last five outings, including a disappointing performance against Benfica where they failed to score and conceded three. On average, they have managed to find the net only 0.4 times per away match, while defensively they've conceded 1.8 goals. Their xG of 0.84 suggests they are struggling to create meaningful chances on the road. Following the loss to Benfica, Guimaraes will look to bounce back with a strong showing against Tondela before returning home to face AVS.

🔄 Head-to-Head

In terms of their head-to-head record, Tondela and Guimaraes are yet to register a win against each other, with their past encounters yielding no victories for either side. The average goals per meeting stand at a stark 0, indicating that these matchups tend to be tightly contested and low-scoring.

🔑 Key Factors

One of the critical aspects to consider in this matchup is the contrasting momentum of both teams. Tondela will be buoyed by their recent draw, which could provide a psychological boost, while Guimaraes is grappling with a lack of confidence after a series of poor results. Additionally, the expected goals figures hint at potential regression for both teams; Tondela's offense may finally convert their chances given their xG of 1.14, while Guimaraes might be due for a positive turnaround in form. The home advantage could play a significant role, especially given Tondela's need for points to escape the relegation zone.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome Draw 32.3%, scoreline 1-1, justified by both teams' struggles to score and their defensive vulnerabilities as highlighted by their respective goals conceded averages.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Double Chance @ 1.47 (73.9%). This bet offers good value considering the statistical likelihood of a draw or an away victory based on current form. Bet responsibly.