Tondela vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 15:30
Premium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumRisky Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
Tondela
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Tondela vs FC Porto Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 15:30 Football
Value Bets
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumRisky Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumPremium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumSorted by: Ev
Trends for Tondela vs FC Porto Football 7 Dec, 2025 15:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
🧱
Defensive Fortress
FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
⚡
Second Half Surge
FC Porto score in 2nd half 83% of matches — expect late goals
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Tondela vs FC Porto, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — FC Porto @ 1.34 ✅ 
✅FC Porto
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 2.33 goals/match in away matches (+74% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%FC Porto create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
❌Tondela
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/580%Tondela struggle to score at home (0.40/match) - fail to score in 80% of matches
FC Porto(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/667%FC Porto score well (2.33/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.33 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.18 ✅ 
Tondela(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent9/1275%Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
FC Porto(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 2.33 goals/match in away matches (+74% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
🛡️ Double Chance — FC Porto Win or Draw @ 1.07 ✅ 
✅FC Porto
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
❌Tondela
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — FC Porto Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.46 ✅ 
✅FC Porto
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 2.33 goals/match in away matches (+74% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
❌Tondela
- Weak AttackLeague4/580%Tondela struggle to score at home (0.40/match) - fail to score in 80% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Tondela(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent9/1275%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
FC Porto(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent14/1688%FC Porto receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%FC Porto receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.89 ✅ 
Tondela(3 trends) — avg 2.8 (-39% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/585%Tondela average 2.8 corners/match at home (-39% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent5/5100%Tondela win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent10/1283%Tondela win 4 or fewer corners in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
FC Porto(1 trends) — avg 6.2 (+35% above league)
- Many CornersLeague6/685%FC Porto average 6.2 corners/match in away matches (+35% above league avg 4.6)
+15 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Tondela vs FC Porto
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Tondela
✈️ FC Porto
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ FC Porto - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ FC Porto - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: FC Porto often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0)
- First Goal Away: High probability of FC Porto scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider FC Porto to win the first half
- Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Tondela vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga
Tondela vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Tondela and away matches for FC Porto
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0.0% Low N/A | 27.8% Low 3.27 |
| -2 | 0.1% Low N/A | 40.4% Low 2.54 |
| -1.5 | 0.3% Low N/A | 53.1% Medium 1.91 |
| -1 | 1.6% Low N/A | 66.8% Medium 1.45 |
| -0.5 | 3.0% Low N/A | 80.5% High 1.27 |
| +0.5 | 19.5% Low 4.03 | 97.0% High N/A |
| +1 | 33.2% Low 3.09 | 98.4% High N/A |
| +1.5 | 46.9% Low 2.03 | 99.7% High N/A |
| +2 | 59.6% Medium 1.57 | 99.9% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 72.2% High 1.38 | 100.0% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 6.70% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 93.30% | High | 1.12 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 64.05% | Medium | 1.46 |
| Under 1.5 | 35.95% | Low | 2.75 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 0.90% | Low | 23.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 99.10% | High | 1.02 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 37.19% | Low | 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 62.81% | Medium | 1.60 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
0
0
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.4 | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 7 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 11 | 3 | 21 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 14 | 3.9 | 27 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 66 | 15.4 | 108 | 14.5 | 174 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 17 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 66 | 9.3 | 65 | 10.9 | 131 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 21 | 3.4 | 24 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.8 | 11 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.5 | 15 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 5 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 6.2 | 37 | 5.5 | 66 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 79 | 14.2 | 85 | 13.7 | 164 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 16.3 | 98 | 14.6 | 175 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.5 | 33 | 5.8 | 35 | 5.7 | 68 |


Primeira Liga 2025-2026