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7 Dec 2025-20:30
Tondela
Tondela
16th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 15:30
FC Porto
FC Porto
1st place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Tondela vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 15:30

1×2 Prediction
FC Porto
5%17%78%
TondelaDrawFC Porto
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
51%49%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
65%35%
NoYes
Team Total - Tondela
Under 1.5
91%9%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - FC Porto
Under 2.5
62%38%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/FC Porto
95%5%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Tondela +2.5
72%28%
Home +2.5NOT Home +2.5
Best Tip Value
Win to Nil - Away Win to Nil - FC Porto
Odds: 2
56.4%
EV: +12.7%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Match Winner FC Porto to Win
Odds: 1.35
78%
EV: +5.3%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.42 vs 2.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.56%
0:1
18.66%
🔥
0:2
18.21%
0:3
11.84%
0:4
5.78%
0:5
2.26%
1
1:0
1.83%
1:1
5.76%
1:2
7.75%
1:3
6.43%
1:4
3.81%
1:5
1.75%
2
2:0
0.18%
2:1
0.76%
2:2
1.4%
2:3
1.5%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
0.01%
3:1
0.06%
3:2
0.15%
3:3
0.2%
3:4
0.18%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0%
4:1
0%
4:2
0.01%
4:3
0.02%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0%
5:2
0%
5:3
0%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (18.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.6%
0
20.5%
1
24.1%
2
20.4%
3
13.7%
4
7.7%
5
3.1%
6
0.8%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Tondela
vs
FC Porto
Dec 7, 20:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
d w w w w
>
12
11
1
0
25
3
22
34
2
Sporting CP
d w w w w
>
12
10
1
1
31
6
25
31

15
Casa Pia
d l l d l
>
12
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
16
Tondela
l l d l w
>
12
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
Arouca
d l l l l
>
12
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
Last 6 Matches
Tondela
VS
FC Porto
2/6 (33%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.17 PPG 2.67
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.92 Avg xG 1.36
Tondela
L L D L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:30
GIL Vicente
0 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
0 3
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Oct 2025 - 16:30
Rio Ave
3 0
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Sep 2025 - 15:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Tondela
FC Porto
W D W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 20:30
FC Porto
1 0
Estoril
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FC Porto
3 0
Nice
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Famalicao
0 1
FC Porto
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Utrecht
1 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 20:30
FC Porto
2 1
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Oct 2025 - 20:15
Moreirense
1 2
FC Porto
4% Draw 79%
49% Over 2.5 51%
35% Both Teams Score 65%
0.34 xPTS 2.66
0.42 xG [Total: 2.60] 2.18
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 3
3 Corners [Total: 9] 6
4 Offsides [Total: 6] 2
15 Fouls [Total: 29] 14
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 10] 5
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Tondela will take on FC Porto as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Estádio João Cardoso. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Tondela, and the visiting side, FC Porto. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or FC Porto. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio João Cardoso Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Tondela vs FC Porto Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 15:30 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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High Value
Correct Score 0:1
Odds: 7.00
18.2%
EV: +27.5% Kelly: $2.30
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Best Tip Value
Win to Nil FC Porto Win to Nil
Odds: 2.00
56.4%
EV: +12.7% Kelly: $6.37
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Safe Tip Value
Match Winner FC Porto
Odds: 1.34
78%
EV: +4.5% Kelly: $6.63
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 06:40:19
spinner

Trends for Tondela vs FC Porto Football 7 Dec, 2025 15:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    FC Porto score in 2nd half 83% of matches — expect late goals

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Tondela vs FC Porto

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: FC Porto is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0).
⏰ First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Tondela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.05

✈️ FC Porto

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Tondela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33

✈️ FC Porto - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Tondela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3

✈️ FC Porto - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: FC Porto often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of FC Porto scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider FC Porto to win the first half
  • Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.141
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.075
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.006 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.005

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Tondela):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Tondela
FC Porto

Tondela vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga

Tondela vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Tondela and away matches for FC Porto

Number of goals

Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Tondela
FC Porto
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Tondela
FC Porto
1
20% 2
70% 7
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
50% 5
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Tondela
FC Porto
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
80% 8
30% 3

Total Goals

Total Goals
Tondela
FC Porto
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
20% 2
10% 1

Total Corners

Total Corners
Tondela
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Tondela
FC Porto
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Tondela
FC Porto
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Tondela
FC Porto
xG
1.22
1.47
xGa
1.65
0.71

Number of goals

Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Tondela
FC Porto
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Tondela
FC Porto
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
50% 5
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Tondela
FC Porto
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
90% 9
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Tondela
FC Porto
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Tondela
FC Porto
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Tondela
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Tondela
FC Porto
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Tondela
FC Porto
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Tondela
FC Porto
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
80% 8
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Tondela
FC Porto
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Tondela
FC Porto
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
FC Porto to Win to Nil
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.0%
Low
N/A
27.8%
Low
3.27
-2
0.1%
Low
N/A
40.4%
Low
2.54
-1.5
0.3%
Low
N/A
53.1%
Medium
1.91
-1
1.6%
Low
N/A
66.8%
Medium
1.45
-0.5
3.0%
Low
N/A
80.5%
High
1.27
+0.5
19.5%
Low
4.03
97.0%
High
N/A
+1
33.2%
Low
3.09
98.4%
High
N/A
+1.5
46.9%
Low
2.03
99.7%
High
N/A
+2
59.6%
Medium
1.57
99.9%
High
N/A
+2.5
72.2%
High
1.38
100.0%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.56.70%Low6.50
Under 1.593.30%High1.12
AwayOver 1.564.05%Medium1.46
Under 1.535.95%Low2.75
HomeOver 2.50.90%Low23.00
Under 2.599.10%High1.02
AwayOver 2.537.19%Low2.38
Under 2.562.81%Medium1.60
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Tondela
FC Porto
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 5 7 12
Wins 0 2 2
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.4 2 0.7 5 0.6 7
Goals Conceded 1.4 7 1.9 13 1.7 20
Yellow Cards 2.2 11 3 21 2.7 32
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.1 1 0.2 2
Corners 2.8 14 3.9 27 3.4 41
Fouls 13.2 66 15.4 108 14.5 174
Offsides 3.4 17 2.3 16 2.8 33
Shots 13.2 66 9.3 65 10.9 131
Shots on Goal 4.2 21 3.4 24 3.8 45
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 5 6 11
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 0 0 0
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.8 11 2.3 14 2.1 25
Goals Conceded 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.3 3
Yellow Cards 2.5 15 2.5 15 2.5 30
Red Cards 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.8 5 0.7 4 0.8 9
Corners 4.8 29 6.2 37 5.5 66
Fouls 13.2 79 14.2 85 13.7 164
Offsides 2 12 1.8 11 1.9 23
Shots 12.8 77 16.3 98 14.6 175
Shots on Goal 5.5 33 5.8 35 5.7 68
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